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Learning dynamical models from data is not only fundamental but also holds great promise for advancing principle discovery, time-series prediction, and controller design. Among various approaches, Gaussian Process State-Space Models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Haipeng Chen , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong , Xu Huang

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful tools for nonlinear classification in which latent GPs are combined with link functions. But GPs do not scale well to large training data. This is compounded for classification where the latent GPs…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-28 Andrew Cooper , Annie S. Booth , Robert B. Gramacy

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots

Existing spatio-temporal Hawkes process models typically rely on either parametric or semiparametric assumptions, limiting the model's ability to capture complex endogenous and exogenous event dynamics. We propose a fully Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Wenqing Liu , Xenia Miscouridou , Déborah Sulem

Gaussian Processes (GPs) provide a flexible and statistically principled foundation for modelling spatiotemporal phenomena, but their $O(N^3)$ scaling makes them intractable for large datasets. Approximate methods such as variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Jhonathan Navott , Daniel Jenson , Seth Flaxman , Elizaveta Semenova

Discrete automated processes in industrial and cyber-physical systems often exhibit a repetitive structure in which successive repetitions follow a common trajectory while differing in duration, amplitude, and fine-scale dynamics. Such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Elias Reich , Saverio Messineo , Stefan Huber

We introduce a Bayesian Gaussian process latent variable model that explicitly captures spatial correlations in data using a parameterized spatial kernel and leveraging structure-exploiting algebra on the model covariance matrices for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-23 Steven Atkinson , Nicholas Zabaras

This paper introduces an active learning framework for manifold Gaussian Process (GP) regression, combining manifold learning with strategic data selection to improve accuracy in high-dimensional spaces. Our method jointly optimizes a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yuanxing Cheng , Lulu Kang , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

Learning-based model predictive control (MPC) can enhance control performance by correcting for model inaccuracies, enabling more precise state trajectory predictions than traditional MPC. A common approach is to model unknown residual…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-19 Lars Bartels , Amon Lahr , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Differential equations are important mechanistic models that are integral to many scientific and engineering applications. With the abundance of available data there has been a growing interest in data-driven physics-informed models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Oliver Hamelijnck , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are popular surrogate models for complex nonstationary computer experiments. DGPs use one or more latent Gaussian processes (GPs) to warp the input space into a plausibly stationary regime, then use typical GP…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Annie S. Booth

The Gaussian Process with a deep kernel is an extension of the classic GP regression model and this extended model usually constructs a new kernel function by deploying deep learning techniques like long short-term memory networks. A…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-27 Yong Shi , Wei Dai , Wen Long , Bo Li

In this paper, we investigate a class of approximate Gaussian processes (GP) obtained by taking a linear combination of compactly supported basis functions with the basis coefficients endowed with a dependent Gaussian prior distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Jaehoan Kim , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

In this paper, we introduce an efficient sparse Gaussian process (E-SGP) for the surrogate modelling of fluid mechanics. This novel Bayesian machine learning algorithm allows efficient model training using databases of different structures.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Yu Duan , Matthew Eaton , Michael Bluck

The growing demand for accurate, efficient, and scalable solutions in computational mechanics highlights the need for advanced operator learning algorithms that can efficiently handle large datasets while providing reliable uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-18 Sawan Kumar , Rajdip Nayek , Souvik Chakraborty

The Gaussian process (GP) regression model is a widely employed surrogate modeling technique for computer experiments, offering precise predictions and statistical inference for the computer simulators that generate experimental data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Lulu Kang , Yuanxing Cheng , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

Accurate human motion prediction with well-calibrated uncertainty is critical for safe human-robot collaboration (HRC), where robots must anticipate and react to human movements in real time. We propose a structured multitask variational…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Jinger Chong , Xiaotong Zhang , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible class of priors for nonparametric Bayesian regression, but popular GP posterior inference methods are typically prohibitively slow or lack desirable finite-data guarantees on quality. We develop an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-28 Jonathan H. Huggins , Trevor Campbell , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Tamara Broderick

We introduce a novel stochastic variational inference method for Gaussian process ($\mathcal{GP}$) regression, by deriving a posterior over a learnable set of coresets: i.e., over pseudo-input/output, weighted pairs. Unlike former free-form…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Mert Ketenci , Adler Perotte , Noémie Elhadad , Iñigo Urteaga
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