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Opinion evolution and judgment revision are mediated through social influence. Based on a large crowdsourced in vitro experiment (n=861), it is shown how a consensus model can be used to predict opinion evolution in online collective…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Corentin Vande Kerckhove , Samuel Martin , Pascal Gend , Peter J. Rentfrow , Julien M. Hendrickx , Vincent D. Blondel

The widespread use of generative models has created a feedback loop, in which each generation of models is trained on data partially produced by its predecessors. This process has raised concerns about model collapse: A critical degradation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-27 Daniel Barzilai , Ohad Shamir

Selective Prediction is the task of rejecting inputs a model would predict incorrectly on. This involves a trade-off between input space coverage (how many data points are accepted) and model utility (how good is the performance on accepted…

The problem of continuous machine learning is studied. Within the framework of the game-theoretic approach, when for calculating the next forecast, no assumptions about the stochastic nature of the source that generates the data flow are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Vladimir V'yugin , Vladimir Trunov

Score-based generative models like the diffusion model have been testified to be effective in modeling multi-modal data from image generation to reinforcement learning (RL). However, the inference process of diffusion model can be slow,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Zihan Ding , Chi Jin

We study a dynamic game where an expert sends probabilistic forecasts to a decision-maker. The decision-maker verifies these forecasts using a calibration test based on past data. How should the expert send forecasts to maximize her payoff…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-13 Atulya Jain , Vianney Perchet

Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

Social predictions do not passively describe the future; they actively shape it. They inform actions and change individual expectations in ways that influence the likelihood of the predicted outcome. Given these dynamics, to what extent can…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Juan C. Perdomo

This paper studies a risk minimization problem with decision dependent data distribution. The problem pertains to the performative prediction setting in which a trained model can affect the outcome estimated by the model. Such dependency…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Qiang Li , Hoi-To Wai

Data-driven control strategies for dynamical systems with unknown parameters are popular in theory and applications. An essential problem is to prevent stochastic linear systems becoming destabilized, due to the uncertainty of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

Robust data-driven controllers typically rely on datasets from previous experiments, which embed information on the variability of the system parameters across past operational conditions. Complementarily, data collected online can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Ignacio Sanchez , Filiberto Fele , Daniel Limon

We incorporate future information in the form of the estimated value of future gradients in online convex optimization. This is motivated by demand response in power systems, where forecasts about the current round, e.g., the weather or the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-14 Antoine Lesage-Landry , Iman Shames , Joshua A. Taylor

In this paper, we introduce a data-driven modeling approach for dynamics problems with latent variables. The state-space of the proposed model includes artificial latent variables, in addition to observed variables that can be fitted to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Yushuang Luo , Xiantao Li , Wenrui Hao

Reinforcement learning (RL) has exceeded human performance in many synthetic settings such as video games and Go. However, real-world deployment of end-to-end RL models is less common, as RL models can be very sensitive to slight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Jing Dong , Jingwei Li , Baoxiang Wang , Jingzhao Zhang

This paper addresses the design and analysis of feedback-based online algorithms to control systems or networked systems based on performance objectives and engineering constraints that may evolve over time. The emerging time-varying convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Andrey Bernstein , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Andrea Simonetto

This paper presents extensions of finite-time stability results to some prototypical adaptive control and estimation frameworks. First, we present a novel scheme of online parameter estimation that guarantees convergence of the estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Kunal Garg , Parag Bobade , Dimitra Panagou

The research area of algorithms with predictions has seen recent success showing how to incorporate machine learning into algorithm design to improve performance when the predictions are correct, while retaining worst-case guarantees when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Michael Dinitz , Sungjin Im , Thomas Lavastida , Benjamin Moseley , Sergei Vassilvitskii

Online conformal prediction has demonstrated its capability to construct a prediction set for each incoming data point that covers the true label with a predetermined probability. To cope with potential distribution shift, multi-model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

For constrained linear systems with bounded disturbances and parametric uncertainty, we propose a robust adaptive model predictive control strategy with online parameter estimation. Constraints enforcing persistently exciting closed loop…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Xiaonan Lu , Mark Cannon

Numerous online services are data-driven: the behavior of users affects the system's parameters, and the system's parameters affect the users' experience of the service, which in turn affects the way users may interact with the system. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Sarah Dean , Mihaela Curmei , Lillian J. Ratliff , Jamie Morgenstern , Maryam Fazel