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Performativity means that the deployment of a predictive model incentivizes agents to strategically adapt their behavior, thereby inducing a model-dependent distribution shift. Practitioners often repeatedly retrain the model on data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Siyi Wang , Zifan Wang , Karl H. Johansson

Algorithmic stability is a central concept in statistics and learning theory that measures how sensitive an algorithm's output is to small changes in the training data. Stability plays a crucial role in understanding generalization,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Abhinav Chakraborty , Yuetian Luo , Rina Foygel Barber

Distribution shifts have long been regarded as troublesome external forces that a decision-maker should either counteract or conform to. An intriguing feedback phenomenon termed decision dependence arises when the deployed decision affects…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Zhiyu He , Saverio Bolognani , Florian Dörfler , Michael Muehlebach

We explore an active learning approach for dynamic fair resource allocation problems. Unlike previous work that assumes full feedback from all agents on their allocations, we consider feedback from a select subset of agents at each epoch of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Thanh Nguyen , Will Wei Sun , Mohit Tawarmalani

In performative prediction, the deployment of a predictive model triggers a shift in the data distribution. As these shifts are typically unknown ahead of time, the learner needs to deploy a model to get feedback about the distribution it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Meena Jagadeesan , Tijana Zrnic , Celestine Mendler-Dünner

Performativity, the phenomenon where outcomes are influenced by predictions, is particularly prevalent in social contexts where individuals strategically respond to a deployed model. In order to preserve the high accuracy of machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-31 Nikita Tsoy , Ivan Kirev , Negin Rahimiyazdi , Nikola Konstantinov

Most reinforcement learning methods are based upon the key assumption that the transition dynamics and reward functions are fixed, that is, the underlying Markov decision process is stationary. However, in many real-world applications, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-23 Yash Chandak , Georgios Theocharous , Shiv Shankar , Martha White , Sridhar Mahadevan , Philip S. Thomas

World models aim to improve robotic decision making by predicting the consequences of actions. However, in practice, their predictions often become unreliable once the robot encounters states outside the training distribution, limiting…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Tuo An , Jindou Jia , Gen Li , Jingliang Li , Chuhao Zhou , Pengfei Liu , Bofan Lyu , Jiaqi Bai , Xinying Guo , Geng Li , Jianfei Yang

The utilization of online stochastic algorithms is popular in large-scale learning settings due to their ability to compute updates on the fly, without the need to store and process data in large batches. When a constant step-size is used,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Stefan Vlaski , Elsa Rizk , Ali H. Sayed

Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

Performative distribution shift captures the setting where the choice of which ML model is deployed changes the data distribution. For example, a bank which uses the number of open credit lines to determine a customer's risk of default on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Zachary Izzo , Lexing Ying , James Zou

We consider regression in which one predicts a response $Y$ with a set of predictors $X$ across different experiments or environments. This is a common setup in many data-driven scientific fields and we argue that statistical inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Niklas Pfister , Evan G. Williams , Jonas Peters , Ruedi Aebersold , Peter Bühlmann

In many prediction problems, the predictive model affects the distribution of the prediction target. This phenomenon is known as performativity and is often caused by the behavior of individuals with vested interests in the outcome of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-03 Seamus Somerstep , Ya'acov Ritov , Yuekai Sun

In many real-world applications of machine learning such as recommendations, hiring, and lending, deployed models influence the data they are trained on, leading to feedback loops between predictions and data distribution. The performative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Kun Jin , Tian Xie , Yang Liu , Xueru Zhang

The typical offline protocol to evaluate recommendation algorithms is to collect a dataset of user-item interactions and then use a part of this dataset to train a model, and the remaining data to measure how closely the model…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Maria João Lavoura , Robert Jungnickel , João Vinagre

Dynamic and evolving operational and economic environments present significant challenges for decision-making. We explore a simulation optimization problem characterized by non-stationary input distributions with regime-switching dynamics…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Jianglin Xia , Haowei Wang , Songhao Wang , Szu Hui Ng

We study the generalization performance of online learning algorithms trained on samples coming from a dependent source of data. We show that the generalization error of any stable online algorithm concentrates around its regret--an easily…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-08 Alekh Agarwal , John C. Duchi

The recent framework of performative prediction is aimed at capturing settings where predictions influence the target/outcome they want to predict. In this paper, we introduce a natural multi-agent version of this framework, where multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Georgios Piliouras , Fang-Yi Yu

Online decision making aims to learn the optimal decision rule by making personalized decisions and updating the decision rule recursively. It has become easier than before with the help of big data, but new challenges also come along.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-16 Haoyu Chen , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

This paper considers the stability of online learning algorithms and its implications for learnability (bounded regret). We introduce a novel quantity called {\em forward regret} that intuitively measures how good an online learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-11-28 Ankan Saha , Prateek Jain , Ambuj Tewari