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Density ratio estimation (DRE) is a fundamental machine learning technique for comparing two probability distributions. However, existing methods struggle in high-dimensional settings, as it is difficult to accurately compare probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Kristy Choi , Chenlin Meng , Yang Song , Stefano Ermon

This paper is concerned with probabilistic techniques for forecasting dynamical systems described by partial differential equations (such as, for example, the Navier-Stokes equations). In particular, it is investigating and comparing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Hans Harder , Abhijeet Vishwasrao , Luca Guastoni , Ricardo Vinuesa , Sebastian Peitz

Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

The density ratio of two probability distributions is one of the fundamental tools in mathematical and computational statistics and machine learning, and it has a variety of known applications. Therefore, density ratio estimation from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-28 Masanari Kimura , Howard Bondell

In this work, we develop a new approach to generative density estimation for exchangeable, non-i.i.d. data. The proposed framework, FlowScan, combines invertible flow transformations with a sorted scan to flexibly model the data while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Christopher Bender , Kevin O'Connor , Yang Li , Juan Jose Garcia , Manzil Zaheer , Junier Oliva

Uncertainty is prevalent in robotics. Due to measurement noise and complex dynamics, we cannot estimate the exact system and environment state. Since conservative motion planners are not guaranteed to find a safe control strategy in a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Laura Lützow , Yue Meng , Andres Chavez Armijos , Chuchu Fan

Generative AI has achieved remarkable empirical success, but from the perspective of statistics it often remains opaque: its predictions may be accurate, yet the underlying mechanism is difficult to interpret, analyze, and trust. This book…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Shinto Eguchi

The choice of approximate posterior distribution is one of the core problems in variational inference. Most applications of variational inference employ simple families of posterior approximations in order to allow for efficient inference,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-15 Danilo Jimenez Rezende , Shakir Mohamed

Several interesting generative learning algorithms involve a complex probability distribution over many random variables, involving intractable normalization constants or latent variable normalization. Some of them may even not have an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-13 Yoshua Bengio , Li Yao , Kyunghyun Cho

Normalizing Flows (NFs) are able to model complicated distributions p(y) with strong inter-dimensional correlations and high multimodality by transforming a simple base density p(z) through an invertible neural network under the change of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Christina Winkler , Daniel Worrall , Emiel Hoogeboom , Max Welling

We propose a function-valued evaluation metric for generative models based on the relative density ratio (RDR) designed to characterize distributional differences between real and generated samples. As an evaluation metric, the RDR function…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Yuliang Xu , Yun Wei , Li Ma

A generative model based on a continuous-time normalizing flow between any pair of base and target probability densities is proposed. The velocity field of this flow is inferred from the probability current of a time-dependent density that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Michael S. Albergo , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Volumetry is one of the principal downstream applications of 3D medical image segmentation, for example, to detect abnormal tissue growth or for surgery planning. Conformal Prediction is a promising framework for uncertainty quantification,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Benjamin Lambert , Florence Forbes , Senan Doyle , Michel Dojat

Robustness of routing policies for networks is a central problem which is gaining increased attention with a growing awareness to safeguard critical infrastructure networks against natural and man-induced disruptions. Routing under limited…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Giacomo Como , Ketan Savla , Daron Acemoglu , Munther A. Dahleh , Emilio Frazzoli

Over the last years, deep learning methods have become an increasingly popular choice to solve tasks from the field of inverse problems. Many of these new data-driven methods have produced impressive results, although most only give point…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-28 Alexander Denker , Maximilian Schmidt , Johannes Leuschner , Peter Maass

Normalizing flows are a powerful tool to create flexible probability distributions with a wide range of potential applications in cosmology. Here we are studying normalizing flows which represent cosmological observables at field level,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-26 Adam Rouhiainen , Utkarsh Giri , Moritz Münchmeyer

This study presents a conditional flow matching framework for solving physics-constrained Bayesian inverse problems. In this setting, samples from the joint distribution of inferred variables and measurements are assumed available, while…

In the context of stochastic two-phase flow in porous media, we introduce a novel and efficient method to estimate the probability distribution of the wetting saturation field under uncertain rock properties in highly heterogeneous porous…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-08-22 Fayadhoi Ibrahima , Hamdi A. Tchelepi , Daniel W. Meyer

Flow matching has recently emerged as a powerful paradigm for generative modeling and has been extended to probabilistic time series forecasting in latent spaces. However, the impact of the specific choice of probability path model on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Soon Hoe Lim , Yijin Wang , Annan Yu , Emma Hart , Michael W. Mahoney , Xiaoye S. Li , N. Benjamin Erichson

Current discriminative depth estimation methods often produce blurry artifacts, while generative approaches suffer from slow sampling due to curvatures in the noise-to-depth transport. Our method addresses these challenges by framing depth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Ming Gui , Johannes Schusterbauer , Ulrich Prestel , Pingchuan Ma , Dmytro Kotovenko , Olga Grebenkova , Stefan Andreas Baumann , Vincent Tao Hu , Björn Ommer