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Perceptual judgments of sequential stimuli are systematically biased by prior expectations and by the temporal structure of sensory input. In haptic discrimination tasks, these effects often manifest as time-order asymmetries, whereby the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-22 Gastón Avetta , Jose Lobera , Juan José Zárate , Inés Samengo , Damián G. Hernández

This paper offers a qualitative insight into the convergence of Bayesian parameter inference in a setup which mimics the modeling of the spread of a disease with associated disease measurements. Specifically, we are interested in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-08 Samuel Bronstein , Stefan Engblom , Robin Marin

In reacting flow systems, thermoacoustic instability characterized by high amplitude pressure fluctuations, is driven by a positive coupling between the unsteady heat release rate and the acoustic field of the combustor. When the underlying…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-02-16 Jayesh Dhadphale , Vishnu R. Unni , Abhishek Saha , R. I. Sujith

We propose a general framework for studying optimal impulse control problem in the presence of uncertainty on the parameters. Given a prior on the distribution of the unknown parameters, we explain how it should evolve according to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-06 N. Baradel , B. Bouchard , Ngoc Minh Dang

The problem of mixed signals occurs in many different contexts; one of the most familiar being acoustics. The forward problem in acoustics consists of finding the sound pressure levels at various detectors resulting from sound signals…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Kevin H. Knuth

This work proposes a Bayesian inference method for the reduced-order modeling of time-dependent systems. Informed by the structure of the governing equations, the task of learning a reduced-order model from data is posed as a Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Mengwu Guo , Shane A. McQuarrie , Karen E. Willcox

The design of spacecraft thermal protection systems (TPS) requires accurate knowledge of thermal transport properties across wide ranges of temperature and pressure. For fibrous insulation, conventional measurement techniques in laboratory…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-01-23 Alex Alberts , Akshay Jacob Thomas , Kamran Daryabeigi , Ilias Bilionis

Pulse profile modelling is a relativistic ray-tracing technique that can be used to infer masses, radii and geometric parameters of neutron stars. In a previous study, we looked at the performance of this technique when applied to…

In this paper, we present a theoretical and computational workflow for the non-parametric Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion functions of autonomous diffusion processes. We base the inference on the partial differential equations…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Maximilian Kruse , Sebastian Krumscheid

In axion models, interactions between axions and electromagnetic waves induce frequency-dependent time delays determined by the axion mass and decay constant. These small delays are difficult to detect, limiting the effectiveness of…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-10-29 Haihao Shi , Zhenyang Huang , Qiyu Yan , Jun Li , Guoliang Lü , Xuefei Chen

Industrial dynamical systems often exhibit multi-scale response due to material heterogeneities, operation conditions and complex environmental loadings. In such problems, it is the case that the smallest length-scale of the systems…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-18 Waad Subber , Sayan Ghosh , Piyush Pandita , Yiming Zhang , Liping Wang

We target the problem of accuracy and robustness in causal inference from finite data sets. Some state-of-the-art algorithms produce clear output complete with solid theoretical guarantees but are susceptible to propagating erroneous…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Tom Claassen , Tom Heskes

Nonlinear dynamics are ubiquitous in science and engineering applications, but the physics of most complex systems is far from being fully understood. Discovering interpretable governing equations from measurement data can help us…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Luning Sun , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Hao Sun , Jian-Xun Wang

Robust control of a quantum system is essential to utilize the current noisy quantum hardware to their full potential, such as quantum algorithms. To achieve such a goal, systematic search for an optimal control for any given experiment is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-04-16 Sohail Reddy

This paper proposes a probabilistic Bayesian formulation for system identification (ID) and estimation of nonseparable Hamiltonian systems using stochastic dynamic models. Nonseparable Hamiltonian systems arise in models from diverse…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Harsh Sharma , Nicholas Galioto , Alex A. Gorodetsky , Boris Kramer

A Bayesian approach is developed for the inference of an eddy-diffusivity field from Lagrangian trajectory data. The motion of Lagrangian particles is modelled by a stochastic differential equation associated with the advection-diffusion…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Y. K. Ying , J. R. Maddison , J. Vanneste

In this paper, we use the Bayesian inversion approach to study the data assimilation problem for a family of tumor growth models described by porous-medium type equations. The models contain uncertain parameters and are indexed by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Yu Feng , Liu Liu , Zhennan Zhou

We develop a spatio-temporal model to forecast sensor output at five locations in North East England. The signal is described using coupled dynamic linear models, with spatial effects specified by a Gaussian process. Data streams are…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-15 Yingying Lai , Andrew Golightly , Richard Boys

Gaussian processes regression is applied to augment experimental data of transfer-path analysis (TPA) by known information about the underlying physical properties of the system under investigation. The approach can be used as an…

Classical Physics · Physics 2019-05-21 Christopher Albert

A method for sequential inference of the fixed parameters of a dynamic latent Gaussian models is proposed and evaluated that is based on the iterated Laplace approximation. The method provides a useful trade-off between computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-29 Tiep Mai , Simon Wilson
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