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Recent lightweight MLP-based models have achieved strong performance in time series forecasting by capturing stable trends and seasonal patterns. However, their effectiveness hinges on an implicit assumption of local stationarity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Zhiyu Chen , Minhao Liu , Yanru Zhang

We consider the scenario where the parameters of a probabilistic model are expected to vary over time. We construct a novel prior distribution that promotes sparsity and adapts the strength of correlation between parameters at successive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-10 Dani Yogatama , Bryan R. Routledge , Noah A. Smith

This paper investigates channel estimation for linear time-varying (LTV) wireless channels under double sparsity, i.e., sparsity in both the delay and Doppler domains. An on-grid approximation is first considered, enabling rigorous…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Wissal Benzine , Ali Bemani , Nassar Ksairi , Dirk Slock

Real-world time series often exhibit complex interdependencies that cannot be captured in isolation. Global models that model past data from multiple related time series globally while producing series-specific forecasts locally are now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Abishek Sriramulu , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Coastal flooding poses increasing threats to communities worldwide, necessitating accurate and hyper-local inundation forecasting for effective emergency response. However, real-world deployment of forecasting systems is often constrained…

The task of multi-channel time series forecasting is ubiquitous in numerous fields such as finance, supply chain management, and energy planning. It is critical to effectively capture complex dynamic dependencies within and between channels…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Lei Gao , Hengda Bao , Jingfei Fang , Guangzheng Wu , Weihua Zhou , Yun Zhou

Time series forecasting is critical for decision-making across dynamic domains such as energy, finance, transportation, and cloud computing. However, real-world time series often exhibit non-stationarity, including temporal distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Junkai Lu , Peng Chen , Chenjuan Guo , Yang Shu , Meng Wang , Bin Yang

As multimodal data proliferates across diverse real-world applications, leveraging heterogeneous information such as texts and timestamps for accurate time series forecasting (TSF) has become a critical challenge. While diffusion models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Da Zhang , Bingyu Li , Zhuyuan Zhao , Junyu Gao , Feiping Nie , Xuelong Li

Time-series foundation models (TSFMs) have achieved strong univariate forecasting through large-scale pre-training, yet effectively extending this success to multivariate forecasting remains challenging. To address this, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Jinpeng Li , Zhongyi Pei , Huaze Xue , Bojian Zheng , Chen Wang , Jianmin Wang

Sparse hyperspectral unmixing from large spectral libraries has been considered to circumvent limitations of endmember extraction algorithms in many applications. This strategy often leads to ill-posed inverse problems, which can benefit…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Ricardo Augusto Borsoi , Tales Imbiriba , José Carlos Moreira Bermudez , Cédric Richard

We present a generic framework for spatio-temporal (ST) data modeling, analysis, and forecasting, with a special focus on data that is sparse in both space and time. Our multi-scaled framework is a seamless coupling of two major components:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-04 Bao Wang , Xiyang Luo , Fangbo Zhang , Baichuan Yuan , Andrea L. Bertozzi , P. Jeffrey Brantingham

Computations for the softmax function are significantly expensive when the number of output classes is large. In this paper, we present a novel softmax inference speedup method, Doubly Sparse Softmax (DS-Softmax), that leverages sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-04 Shun Liao , Ting Chen , Tian Lin , Denny Zhou , Chong Wang

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

Vector autogressions (VARs) are widely applied when it comes to modeling and forecasting macroeconomic variables. In high dimensions, however, they are prone to overfitting. Bayesian methods, more concretely shrinkage priors, have shown to…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-27 Luis Gruber , Gregor Kastner

For compressive sensing of dynamic sparse signals, we develop an iterative pursuit algorithm. A dynamic sparse signal process is characterized by varying sparsity patterns over time/space. For such signals, the developed algorithm is able…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-15 Dave Zachariah , Saikat Chatterjee , Magnus Jansson

Time series analysis plays a critical role in numerous applications, supporting tasks such as forecasting, classification, anomaly detection, and imputation. In this work, we present the time series pattern machine (TSPM), a model designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Shiyu Wang , Jiawei Li , Xiaoming Shi , Zhou Ye , Baichuan Mo , Wenze Lin , Shengtong Ju , Zhixuan Chu , Ming Jin

The imputation of missing values represents a significant obstacle for many real-world data analysis pipelines. Here, we focus on time series data and put forward SSSD, an imputation model that relies on two emerging technologies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Juan Miguel Lopez Alcaraz , Nils Strodthoff

In probabilistic classification, a discriminative model based on the softmax function has a potential limitation in that it assumes unimodality for each class in the feature space. The mixture model can address this issue, although it leads…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Hideaki Hayashi , Seiichi Uchida

In the transformative landscape of smart cities, the integration of the cutting-edge web technologies into time series forecasting presents a pivotal opportunity to enhance urban planning, sustainability, and economic growth. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

Multivariate time series forecasting is essential in domains such as finance, transportation, climate, and energy. However, existing patch-based methods typically adopt fixed-length segmentation, overlooking the heterogeneity of local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Chunyi Hou , Zheya Wang , Lei Wang , Zhengxin Yang , Jianfeng Zhan
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