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When developing risk prediction models, shrinkage methods are recommended, especially when the sample size is limited. Several earlier studies have shown that the shrinkage of model coefficients can reduce overfitting of the prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-29 Ben Van Calster , Maarten van Smeden , Ewout W. Steyerberg

Randomized algorithms depend on accurate sampling from probability distributions, as their correctness and performance hinge on the quality of the generated samples. However, even for common distributions like Binomial, exact sampling is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-17 Uddalok Sarkar , Sourav Chakraborty , Kuldeep S. Meel

In existing deep learning methods, almost all loss functions assume that sample data values used to be predicted are the only correct ones. This assumption does not hold for laboratory test data. Test results are often within tolerable or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Mei Wang , Jianwen Su , Zhihua Lin

Many medical decisions involve the use of dynamic information collected on individual patients toward predicting likely transitions in their future health status. If accurate predictions are developed, then a prognostic mode can identify…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-22 Aasthaa Bansal , Patrick J. Heagerty

Large-sample data became prevalent as data acquisition became cheaper and easier. While a large sample size has theoretical advantages for many statistical methods, it presents computational challenges. Sketching, or compression, is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-11 Alexander F. Lapanowski , Irina Gaynanova

In robust optimization, we would like to find a solution that is immunized against all scenarios that are modeled in an uncertainty set. Which scenarios to include in such a set is therefore of central importance for the tractability of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-14 Jamie Fairbrother , Marc Goerigk , Mohammad Khosravi

Randomized experiments or randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are gold standards for causal inference, yet cost and sample-size constraints limit power. We introduce CALM (Causal Analysis leveraging Language Models), a statistical framework…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Xinrui Ruan , Xinwei Ma , Yingfei Wang , Waverly Wei , Jingshen Wang

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

Advances in data collecting technologies in genomics have significantly increased the need for tools designed to study the genetic basis of many diseases. Effective statistical methods should excel in both prediction accuracy and biomarker…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Anthony-Alexander Christidis , Stefan Van Aelst , Ruben Zamar

The use of mathematical models to make predictions about tumor growth and response to treatment has become increasingly more prevalent in the clinical setting. The level of complexity within these models ranges broadly, and the calibration…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-28 Allison L. Lewis , Kathleen M. Storey , Heyrim Cho , Anna C. Zittle

Conformal prediction provides a principled framework for constructing predictive sets with finite-sample validity. While much of the focus has been on univariate response variables, existing multivariate methods either impose rigid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-19 Sacha Braun , Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach

Optimization problems with the objective function in the form of weighted sum and linear equality constraints are considered. Given that the number of local cost functions can be large as well as the number of constraints, a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Nataša Krejić , Nataša Krklec Jerinkić , Sanja Rapajić , Luka Rutešić

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate human behavior, but common practices to use LLM-generated data are inefficient. Treating an LLM's output ("model choice") as a single data point underutilizes the information…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Hongshen Sun , Juanjuan Zhang

When can reliable inference be drawn in the "Big Data" context? This paper presents a framework for answering this fundamental question in the context of correlation mining, with implications for general large scale inference. In large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Alfred O. Hero , Bala Rajaratnam

Clinician scheduling remains a persistent challenge due to limited clinical resources and fluctuating demands. This complexity is especially acute in large academic anesthesiology departments as physicians balance responsibilities across…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Anjali Jha , Wanqing Chen , Maxim Eckmann , Ian Stockwell , Jianwu Wang , Kai Sun

Mixed outcome endpoints that combine multiple continuous and discrete components to form co-primary, multiple primary or composite endpoints are often employed as primary outcome measures in clinical trials. There are many advantages to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-12 Martina McMenamin , Jessica K. Barrett , Anna Berglind , James M. S. Wason

Simulations are valuable tools for empirically evaluating the properties of statistical methods and are primarily employed in methodological research to draw general conclusions about methods. In addition, they can often be useful to…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-10-08 Anne-Laure Boulesteix , Patrick Callahan , Luzia Hanssum , Vincent Gaertner , Eva Hoster

Gaussian process (GP) models are commonly used statistical metamodels for emulating expensive computer simulators. Fitting a GP model can be numerically unstable if any pair of design points in the input space are close together. Ranjan,…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-20 Blake MacDonald , Pritam Ranjan , Hugh Chipman

Prediction sets provide a means of quantifying the uncertainty in predictive tasks. Using held out calibration data, conformal prediction and risk control can produce prediction sets that exhibit statistically valid error control in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Bror Hultberg , Dave Zachariah , Antônio H. Ribeiro

Sampling-based Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a flexible control framework that can reason about non-smooth dynamics and cost functions. Recently, significant work has focused on the use of machine learning to improve the performance of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Jacob Sacks , Byron Boots
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