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Many biological, social and man-made systems are better described in terms of temporal networks, i.e. networks whose links are only present at certain points in time, rather than by static ones. In particular, it has been found that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-22 Oliver E. Williams , Fabrizio Lillo , Vito Latora

The partial sum of the states of a Markov chain or more generally a Markov source is asymptotically normally distributed under suitable conditions. One of these conditions is that the variance is unbounded. A simple combinatorial…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Sara Kropf

A new object of the probability theory, two-sided chain of events (symbols), is introduced. A theory of multi-steps Markov chains with long-range memory, proposed earlier in Phys. Rev. E 68, 06117 (2003), is developed and used to establish…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. S. Apostolov , Z. A. Mayzelis , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii

In this note, a general approach to the study of non-stationary Markov chains with catastrophes and the corresponding queuing models is considered, as well as to obtain estimates of the limiting regime itself. As an illustration, an example…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Alexander Zeifman

We develop a general theory of Markov chains realizable as random walks on $\mathscr R$-trivial monoids. It provides explicit and simple formulas for the eigenvalues of the transition matrix, for multiplicities of the eigenvalues via…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-03-30 Arvind Ayyer , Anne Schilling , Benjamin Steinberg , Nicolas M. Thiery

If $(C_n)$ is a Markov chain on a discrete state space ${\mathcal{S}}$, a Markov chain $(C_n,M_n)$ on the product space ${\mathcal{S}}\times{\mathcal{S}}$, the cat and mouse Markov chain, is constructed. The first coordinate of this Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-08 Nelly Litvak , Philippe Robert

In [4], we examined the use of coupling to obtain bounds on the mixing time of statistics on Markov chains. In the present paper, we consider the same general problem, but using strong stationary times rather than coupling. We discuss…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Graham White

Pathways of diffusion observed in real-world systems often require stochastic processes going beyond first-order Markov models, as implicitly assumed in network theory. In this work, we focus on second-order Markov models, and derive an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-03 Renaud Lambiotte , Vsevolod Salnikov , Martin Rosvall

Semi-Markov processes are Markovian processes in which the firing time of the transitions is modelled by probabilistic distributions over positive reals interpreted as the probability of firing a transition at a certain moment in time. In…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Mathias Ruggaard Pedersen , Nathanaël Fijalkow , Giorgio Bacci , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Radu Mardare

An analytical expression is derived for the transition path time distribution for a one-dimensional particle crossing of a parabolic barrier. Two cases are analyzed: (i) A non-Markovian process described by a generalized Langevin equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-29 E. Carlon , H. Orland , T. Sakaue , C. Vanderzande

Scaled type Markov renewal processes generalize classical renewal processes: renewal times come from a one parameter family of probability laws and the sequence of the parameters is the trajectory of an ergodic Markov chain. Our primary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Zsolt Pajor-Gyulai , Domokos Szász

We present a semi-Markov model of random walk on complex networks in discrete and continuous-time scenario. In the general setting of the semi-Markov chains, the duration of stay at given node - the sojourn time - is random, and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-20 Lasko Basnarkov

Fluctuations in stochastic systems are usually characterized by the full counting statistics, which analyzes the distribution of the number of events taking place in the fixed time interval. In an alternative approach, the distribution of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-24 Krzysztof Ptaszynski

In this work, we consider an inhomogeneous (discrete time) Markov chain and are interested in its long time behavior. We provide sufficient conditions to ensure that some of its asymptotic properties can be related to the ones of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-09 Michel Benaïm , Florian Bouguet , Bertrand Cloez

. Markov chains in time, such as simple random walks, are at the heart of probability. In space, due to the absence of an obvious definition of past and future, a range of definitions of Markovianity have been proposed. In this paper, after…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 M. N. M. van Lieshout

Perturbation analysis of Markov chains provides bounds on the effect that a change in a Markov transition matrix has on the corresponding stationary distribution. This paper compares and analyzes bounds found in the literature for finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Karim Abbas , Joost Berkhout , Bernd Heidergott

The asymptotic variance is an important criterion to evaluate the performance of Markov chains, especially for the central limit theorems. We give the variational formulas for the asymptotic variance of discrete-time (non-reversible) Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lu-Jing Huang , Yong-Hua Mao

For downward skip-free continuous-time Markov chains on non-negative integers stopped at zero, existence of a quasi-stationary distribution is studied. The scale function for these processes is introduced and the boundary is classified by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Kosuke Yamato

We consider random processes that are history-dependent, in the sense that the distribution of the next step of the process at any time depends upon the entire past history of the process. In general, therefore, the Markov property cannot…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Peter Clifford , David Stirzaker

This paper proposes a new type of recurrence where we divide the Markov chains into intervals that start when the chain enters into a subset A, then sample another subset B far away from A and end when the chain again return to A. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-24 Lars Holden
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