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A new framework for nonlinear system identification is presented in terms of optimal fitting of stable nonlinear state space equations to input/output/state data, with a performance objective defined as a measure of robustness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Jennifer Wang , Alexandre Megretski , Russ Tedrake

This paper discusses a novel initialization algorithm for the estimation of nonlinear state-space models. Good initial values for the model parameters are obtained by identifying separately the linear dynamics and the nonlinear terms in the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-25 A. Marconato , J. Sjöberg , J. A. K. Suykens , J. Schoukens

The identification of black-box nonlinear state-space models requires a flexible representation of the state and output equation. Artificial neural networks have proven to provide such a representation. However, as in many identification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Maarten Schoukens

Nonlinear state-space identification for dynamical systems is most often performed by minimizing the simulation error to reduce the effect of model errors. This optimization problem becomes computationally expensive for large datasets.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-29 Gerben Beintema , Roland Toth , Maarten Schoukens

Estimating the parameters of nonlinear block-oriented state-space models from input-output data typically involves solving a highly non-convex optimization problem, which is prone to poor local minima and slow convergence. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Merijn Floren , Jean-Philippe Noël , Jan Swevers

This paper introduces new techniques for using convex optimization to fit input-output data to a class of stable nonlinear dynamical models. We present an algorithm that guarantees consistent estimates of models in this class when a small…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Alexandre Megretski

The identification of a nonlinear dynamic model is an open topic in control theory, especially from sparse input-output measurements. A fundamental challenge of this problem is that very few to zero prior knowledge is available on both the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-13 Steeven Janny , Quentin Possamai , Laurent Bako , Madiha Nadri , Christian Wolf

The identification of states and parameters from noisy measurements of a dynamical system is of great practical significance and has received a lot of attention. Classically, this problem is expressed as optimization over a class of models.…

In applications of nonlinear and complex dynamical systems, a common situation is that the system can be measured but its structure and the detailed rules of dynamical evolution are unknown. The inverse problem is to determine the system…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Ying-Cheng Lai

Model instability and poor prediction of long-term behavior are common problems when modeling dynamical systems using nonlinear "black-box" techniques. Direct optimization of the long-term predictions, often called simulation error…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Alexandre Megretski

This paper considers parameter estimation for nonlinear state-space models, which is an important but challenging problem. We address this challenge by employing a variational inference (VI) approach, which is a principled method that has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-15 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

We propose a convex optimization procedure for black-box identification of nonlinear state-space models for systems that exhibit stable limit cycles (unforced periodic solutions). It extends the "robust identification error" framework in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Ian R. Manchester , Mark M. Tobenkin , Jennifer Wang

We introduce a nonlinear stochastic model reduction technique for high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems that have a low-dimensional invariant effective manifold with slow dynamics, and high-dimensional, large fast modes. Given only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Felix X. -F. Ye , Sichen Yang , Mauro Maggioni

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

The empirical success of machine learning models with many more parameters than measurements has generated an interest in the theory of overparameterisation, i.e., underdetermined models. This paradigm has recently been studied in domains…

State estimation aims at approximately reconstructing the solution $u$ to a parametrized partial differential equation from $m$ linear measurements, when the parameter vector $y$ is unknown. Fast numerical recovery methods have been…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Albert Cohen , Wolfgang Dahmen , Olga Mula , James Nichols

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

In this paper, we propose a unified framework for identifying interpretable nonlinear dynamical models that preserve physical properties. The proposed approach integrates physical principles with black-box basis functions to compensate for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Cesare Donati , Martina Mammarella , Fabrizio Dabbene , Carlo Novara , Constantino Lagoa

Nonlinear dynamical systems with regime transitions are typically described by ordinary differential equations with jumping parameters parameters. Traditional methods often treat change-point detection and parameter estimation as separate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-29 Yuhe Bai , Chengli Tan , Jiaqi Li , Xiangjun Wang , Zhikun Zhang

This paper introduces a novel approach to system identification for nonlinear input-output models that minimizes the simulation error and frames the problem as a constrained optimization task. The proposed method addresses vanishing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Vito Cerone , Sophie M. Fosson , Simone Pirrera , Diego Regruto
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