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Tennis is a popular sport worldwide, boasting millions of fans and numerous national and international tournaments. Like many sports, tennis has benefitted from the popularity of rigorous record-keeping of game and player information, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Zijian Gao , Amanda Kowalczyk

Machine learning, classification and prediction models have applications across a range of fields. Sport analytics is an increasingly popular application, but most existing work is focused on automated refereeing in mainstream sports and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Sophie Chiang , Gyorgy Denes

Cricket is unarguably one of the most popular sports in the world. Predicting the outcome of a cricket match has become a fundamental problem as we are advancing in the field of machine learning. Multiple researchers have tried to predict…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Harsh Mittal , Deepak Rikhari , Jitendra Kumar , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

We show that information on the first server influences the expected total number of games and margin in a tennis match under the standard assumption that each player's serve point win probability remains constant, and identify the exact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Ali Mohammadi

With the aid of mathematical modelling (basic tool is the random walk with absorbing barriers) we derive subsequent formulas to study the effect of different versions of possible rules. For different rules the probability of winning a game,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-30 G. Szigeti

In professional tennis, it is often acknowledged that the server has an initial advantage. Indeed, the majority of points are won by the server, making the serve one of the most important elements in this sport. In this paper, we focus on…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-10 Silvia Montagna , Vanessa Orani , Raffaele Argiento

Predicting player behavior in strategic games, especially complex ones like chess, presents a significant challenge. The difficulty arises from several factors. First, the sheer number of potential outcomes stemming from even a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Benny Skidanov , Daniel Erbesfeld , Gera Weiss , Achiya Elyasaf

The spread in the use of tracking systems in sport has made fine-grained spatiotemporal analysis a primary focus of an emerging sports analytics industry. Recently publicized tracking data for men's professional tennis allows for the first…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Stephanie A. Kovalchik , Jim Albert

Tennis is one of the world's biggest and most popular sports. Multiple researchers have, with limited success, modeled the outcome of matches using probability modelling or machine learning approaches. The approach presented here predicts…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-09 Martin Illum , Hans Christian Bechsøfft Mikkelsen , Emil Hovad

This paper discusses match result prediction ability of ATP ranking points, which is official ranking points for men's professional tennis players. The structure of overall ATP World Tour and the ranking point attribution system leads that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-18 Eiji Konaka

Probabilistic properties of tennis scoring systems are examined and compared with best-of-K systems. A model, where each player has his/her own probability of winning his/her service point and which remains invariant for the duration of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Edsel A. Pena , Dip Das , Yuexuan Wu

This paper represents an analysis on the momentum of tennis match. And due to Generalization performance of it, it can be helpful in constructing a system to predict the result of sports game and analyze the performance of player based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Jingdi Lei , Tianqi Kang , Yuluan Cao , Shiwei Ren

We show that the Brier game of prediction is mixable and find the optimal learning rate and substitution function for it. The resulting prediction algorithm is applied to predict results of football and tennis matches. The theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-11-02 Vladimir Vovk , Fedor Zhdanov

Esports has emerged as a popular genre for players as well as spectators, supporting a global entertainment industry. Esports analytics has evolved to address the requirement for data-driven feedback, and is focused on cyber-athlete…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Victoria Hodge , Sam Devlin , Nick Sephton , Florian Block , Anders Drachen , Peter Cowling

Success in sports is a complex phenomenon that has only garnered limited research attention. In particular, we lack a deep scientific understanding of success in sports like tennis and the factors that contribute to it. Here, we study the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-11 Chiara Zappalà , Sandro Sousa , Tiago Cunha , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda , Roberta Sinatra

We establish a general formula for the distribution of the score in table tennis. We use this formula to derive the probability distribution (and hence the expectation and variance) of the number of rallies necessary to achieve any given…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-02 Yves Dominicy , Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan

In the 2023 Wimbledon Gentlemen's final, Carlos Alcaraz defeated Novak Djokovic. This study aims to predict athletes' performance through five key aspects: first, a mul-ti-classification model based on logistic regression was established,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-11 Chuangqi Li

Over the past two decades, Machine Learning (ML) techniques have been increasingly utilized for the purpose of predicting outcomes in sport. In this paper, we provide a review of studies that have used ML for predicting results in team…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Rory Bunker , Teo Susnjak

In the light of the need to achieve a ranking which is understood by all tennis supporters, the ATP ranking is exposed to constant complaints from players and at the same time exposes new players to be benefited with a good tournament to be…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Alex Aronson

Who are the most significant players in the history of men tennis? Is the official ATP ranking system fair in evaluating players scores? Which players deserved the most contemplation looking at their match records? Which players have never…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-24 Umberto Michieli
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