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Standard tabular benchmarks mainly focus on the evaluation of a model's capability to interpolate values inside a data manifold, where models good at performing local statistical smoothing are rewarded. However, there exists a very large…
Random feature models (RFMs), two-layer networks with a randomly initialized fixed first layer and a trained linear readout, are among the simplest nonlinear predictors. Prior asymptotic analyses in the proportional high-dimensional regime…
Graph foundation models represent a transformative paradigm for learning transferable representations across diverse graph domains. Recent methods leverage large language models to unify graph and text modalities into a shared…
We tested 14 very different classification algorithms (random forest, gradient boosting machines, SVM - linear, polynomial, and RBF - 1-hidden-layer neural nets, extreme learning machines, k-nearest neighbors and a bagging of knn, naive…
Several studies have shown that combining machine learning models in an appropriate way will introduce improvements in the individual predictions made by the base models. The key to make well-performing ensemble model is in the diversity of…
Neural network ensembles, such as Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), have shown success in the areas of uncertainty estimation and robustness. However, a crucial challenge prohibits their use in practice. BNNs require a large number of…
Spectral polynomial approximation of smooth functions allows real-time manipulation of and computation with them, as in the Chebfun system. Extension of the technique to two-dimensional and three-dimensional functions on hyperrectangles has…
The Random Forest (RF) algorithm can be applied to a broad spectrum of problems, including time series prediction. However, neither the classical IID (Independent and Identically distributed) bootstrap nor block bootstrapping strategies (as…
Many real-world applications generate continuous data streams for regression. Hoeffding trees and their variants have a long-standing tradition due to their effectiveness, either alone or as base models in broader ensembles. Recent…
We formalize Rollout Informativeness under a Fixed Budget (RIFB) as the expected non-vanishing policy-gradient mass that a tool-use rollout set injects into Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO). We prove that any budget-agnostic…
Regression models for supervised learning problems with a continuous target are commonly understood as models for the conditional mean of the target given predictors. This notion is simple and therefore appealing for interpretation and…
Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) models have been widely used by statisticians for non-linear time series forecasting during the past few decades, due to their simplicity and mathematical properties. On the other hand, in the forecasting…
The random vector functional link (RVFL) network is a prominent classification model with strong generalization ability. However, RVFL treats all samples uniformly, ignoring whether they are pure or noisy, and its scalability is limited due…
The smoothing task is core to many signal processing applications. A widely popular smoother is the Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) algorithm, which achieves minimal mean-squared error recovery with low complexity for linear Gaussian state space…
Thanks to their easy implementation via Radial Basis Functions (RBFs), meshfree kernel methods have been proved to be an effective tool for e.g. scattered data interpolation, PDE collocation, classification and regression tasks. Their…
The estimation of functions with varying degrees of smoothness is a challenging problem in the nonparametric function estimation. In this paper, we propose the LABS (L\'{e}vy Adaptive B-Spline regression) model, an extension of the LARK…
SVM with an RBF kernel is usually one of the best classification algorithms for most data sets, but it is important to tune the two hyperparameters $C$ and $\gamma$ to the data itself. In general, the selection of the hyperparameters is a…
Financial time series forecasting is particularly challenging for transformer-based time series foundation models (TSFMs) due to non-stationarity, heavy-tailed distributions, and high-frequency noise present in data. Low-rank adaptation…
Conditional density estimation (CDE) - recovering the full conditional distribution of a response given tabular covariates - is essential in settings with heteroscedasticity, multimodality, or asymmetric uncertainty. Recent tabular…
A new approach called ABRF (the attention-based random forest) and its modifications for applying the attention mechanism to the random forest (RF) for regression and classification are proposed. The main idea behind the proposed ABRF…