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This study explores a physics-data driven hybrid approach for sea-ice column physics models, in which a machine learning (ML) component acts as a state-dependent parameterization of forecast errors. We examine how perturbations in snow…

Machine learning-based weather forecasting models have quickly emerged as a promising methodology for accurate medium-range global weather forecasting. Here, we introduce the Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS), a data driven…

Operational forecasting of the ionosphere remains a critical space weather challenge due to sparse observations, complex coupling across geospatial layers, and a growing need for timely, accurate predictions that support Global Navigation…

Accurate and efficient prediction of aeroengine performance is of paramount importance for engine design, maintenance, and optimization endeavours. However, existing methodologies often struggle to strike an optimal balance among predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Tong Mo , Shiran Dai , An Fu , Xiaomeng Zhu , Shuxiao Li

Meteorologists use shapes and movements of clouds in satellite images as indicators of several major types of severe storms. Satellite imaginary data are in increasingly higher resolution, both spatially and temporally, making it impossible…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Xinye Zheng , Jianbo Ye , Yukun Chen , Stephen Wistar , Jia Li , Jose A. Piedra-Fernández , Michael A. Steinberg , James Z. Wang

Long-range forecasting of heat/cold waves is a topical issue nowadays. High computational complexity of the design of numerical and statistical models is a bottleneck for the forecast process. In this work, Windows Server 2012 R2 virtual…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-12-21 Dmytro Zubov

Probabilistic weather forecasting requires not only accurate trajectories, but calibrated distributions over plausible atmospheric futures. Recent data-driven systems have achieved remarkable deterministic skill, and diffusion-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Fan Xu , Yuan Gao , Kun Wang , Rui Su , Fenghua Ling , Hao Wu , Wanli Ouyang

Operational ocean forecasting systems conventionally employ dynamical ocean models driven by atmospheric forcing derived from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence and machine learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-10 Xiaobing Zhou , Frank Colberg , Debra Hudson , Yonghong Yin , Griffith Young , Christopher Bladwell , Catherine Deburgh-Day

For monitoring the night sky conditions, wide-angle all-sky cameras are used in most astronomical observatories to monitor the sky cloudiness. In this manuscript, we apply a deep-learning approach for automating the identification of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-25 Mohammad H. Zhoolideh Haghighi , Alireza Ghasrimanesh , Habib Khosroshahi

Seamless forecasting that produces warning information at continuum timescales based on only one system is a long-standing pursuit for weather-climate service. While the rapid advancement of deep learning has induced revolutionary changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Fenghua Ling , Kang Chen , Jiye Wu , Tao Han , Jing-Jia Luo , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Diffusion models offer a physically grounded framework for probabilistic weather forecasting, but their typical reliance on slow, iterative solvers during inference makes them impractical for subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) applications where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Jason Stock , Troy Arcomano , Rao Kotamarthi

Deep learning has revolutionized weather forecasting, but many challenges remain, including climate modeling. Moreover, the current landscape remains fragmented: highly specialized models are typically trained individually for distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Michael Aich , Andreas Fürst , Florian Sestak , Carlos Ruiz-Gonzalez , Niklas Boers , Johannes Brandstetter

Water must condense into ice clouds in the coldest brown dwarfs and exoplanets. When they form, these icy clouds change the emergent spectra, temperature structure, and albedo of the substellar atmosphere. The properties of clouds are…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-14 James Mang , Caroline V. Morley , Tyler D. Robinson , Peter Gao

Real-time high-resolution wind predictions are beneficial for various applications including safe manned and unmanned aviation. Current weather models require too much compute and lack the necessary predictive capabilities as they are valid…

Short-term air traffic flow prediction in terminal airspace is essential for proactive air traffic management. Existing approaches predominantly model traffic flow as aggregated time series, despite traffic dynamics being governed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Bin Wang , Anqi Liu , Jiangtao Zhao , Yanyong Huang , Peilan He , Guiyuan Jiang , Feng Hong , Yanwei Yu , Tianrui Li

We introduce GAIA (Geospatial Artificial Intelligence for Atmospheres), a hybrid self-supervised geospatial foundation model that fuses Masked Autoencoders (MAE) with self-distillation with no labels (DINO) to generate semantically rich…

Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is critical for assessing the impacts of climate change and especially of extreme events like floods and droughts. In existing ESMs, precipitation is not resolved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Michael Aich , Sebastian Bathiany , Philipp Hess , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

Environmental science plays a pivotal role in safeguarding ecosystems, a domain driven by large-scale, heterogeneous data. In the big data era, artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformative tool for learning patterns and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Jimeng Shi

Air pollution, a pressing global problem, threatens public health, environmental sustainability, and climate stability. Achieving accurate and scalable forecasting across spatially distributed monitoring stations is challenging due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Junxin Lu , Shiliang Sun

We present a regime-switching vector-autoregressive method for very-short-term wind speed forecasting at multiple locations with regimes based on large-scale meteorological phenomena. Statistical methods short-term wind forecasting…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-31 Jethro Browell , Daniel R. Drew , Kostas Philippopoulos