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Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

Accurate forecasting of infectious disease dynamics is critical for public health planning and intervention. Human mobility plays a central role in shaping the spatial spread of epidemics, but mobility data are noisy, indirect, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Suhan Guo , Jiahong Deng , Furao Shen

Future Event Prediction (FEP) is an essential activity whose demand and application range across multiple domains. While traditional methods like simulations, predictive and time-series forecasting have demonstrated promising outcomes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Anisha Saha , Adam Jatowt

Prediction of couriers' delivery timely rates in advance is essential to the logistics industry, enabling companies to take preemptive measures to ensure the normal operation of delivery services. This becomes even more critical during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Jinhui Yi , Huan Yan , Haotian Wang , Jian Yuan , Yong Li

The ubiquity of missing data in urban intelligence systems, attributable to adverse environmental conditions and equipment failures, poses a significant challenge to the efficacy of downstream applications, notably in the realms of traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Songyu Ke , Chenyu Wu , Yuxuan Liang , Huiling Qin , Junbo Zhang , Yu Zheng

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

Online Surgical Phase Recognition (SPR) models can reach high frame-wise accuracy, yet their predictions often lack temporal stability, fragmenting workflow understanding and reducing the reliability of downstream assistance. We show that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yang Liu , Ning Zhu , Jingjing Peng , Xiwu Chen , Alejandro Granados , Guotai Wang , Sebastien Ourselin

Electronic health records (EHR) are irregular, asynchronous multivariate time series. As time-series foundation models increasingly tokenize events rather than discretizing time, the input layout becomes a key design choice. Grids expose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Joohyung Lee , Kwanhyung Lee , Changhun Kim , Eunho Yang

Recently, pre-trained state space models have shown great potential for video classification, which sequentially compresses visual tokens in videos with linear complexity, thereby improving the processing efficiency of video data while…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Jiahuan Zhou , Kai Zhu , Zhenyu Cui , Zichen Liu , Xu Zou , Gang Hua

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases or regional positivity rates. Although observing their changes over time is critical…

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

Among various spatio-temporal prediction tasks, epidemic forecasting plays a critical role in public health management. Recent studies have demonstrated the strong potential of spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) in extracting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yufan Zheng , Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Alexander Zhou , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Choujun Zhan , Hongzhi Yin

The surprisingly mercurial Covid-19 pandemic has highlighted the need to not only accelerate research on infectious disease, but to also study them using novel techniques and perspectives. A major contributor to the difficulty of containing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-21 Aminur Rahman , Angela Peace , Ramesh Kesawan , Souparno Ghosh

Emergent-scene safety is the key milestone for fully autonomous driving, and reliable on-time prediction is essential to maintain safety in emergency scenarios. However, these emergency scenarios are long-tailed and hard to collect, which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Dingrui Wang , Zheyuan Lai , Yuda Li , Yi Wu , Yuexin Ma , Johannes Betz , Ruigang Yang , Wei Li

Cooperative multi-robot missions often require teams of robots to traverse environments where traversal risk evolves due to adversary patrols or shifting hazards with stochastic dynamics. While support coordination--where robots assist…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Manshi Limbu , Xuan Wang , Gregory J. Stein , Daigo Shishika , Xuesu Xiao

The development of robust and generalisable models for encoding the spatio-temporal dynamics of human brain activity is crucial for advancing neuroscientific discoveries. However, significant individual variation in the organisation of the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-12 Simon Dahan , Logan Z. J. Williams , Yourong Guo , Daniel Rueckert , Emma C. Robinson

Accurate epidemic forecasting is critical for informing public health decisions and timely interventions. While Physics-Informed Neural Networks have shown promise in various scientific domains, their potential application to real-time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-20 Martina Rama , Gabriele Santin , Giulia Cencetti , Michele Tizzoni , Bruno Lepri

Unpredictable sensor-to-estimator delays fundamentally distort what matters for wireless remote state estimation: not just freshness, but how delay interacts with sensor informativeness and energy efficiency. In this paper, we present a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Nho-Duc Tran , Aamir Mahmood , Mikael Gidlund

Video prediction aims to predict future frames by modeling the complex spatiotemporal dynamics in videos. However, most of the existing methods only model the temporal information and the spatial information for videos in an independent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Zheng Chang , Xinfeng Zhang , Shanshe Wang , Siwei Ma , Wen Gao
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