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This paper studies distributed estimation and support recovery for high-dimensional linear regression model with heavy-tailed noise. To deal with heavy-tailed noise whose variance can be infinite, we adopt the quantile regression loss…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-21 Xi Chen , Weidong Liu , Xiaojun Mao , Zhuoyi Yang

Low-rank tensor models are widely used in statistics. However, most existing methods rely heavily on the assumption that data follows a sub-Gaussian distribution. To address the challenges associated with heavy-tailed distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Xiaoyu Zhang , Di Wang , Guodong Li , Defeng Sun

Estimating causal effects from observational data is challenging due to selection bias, which leads to imbalanced covariate distributions across treatment groups. Propensity score-based weighting methods are widely used to address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Ahmad Saeed Khan , Erik Schaffernicht , Johannes Andreas Stork

Causal inference with time-to-event outcomes is fundamental in various scientific studies. In a static setup with fitted propensity scores, weighted Kaplan-Meier estimation for survival probabilities and weighted Breslow-Peto estimation for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Wenfu Xu , Yi Zhang , Tobias Gerhard , Zhiqiang Tan

We present a novel physics-constrained polynomial chaos expansion as a surrogate modeling method capable of performing both scientific machine learning (SciML) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks. The proposed method possesses a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-14 Himanshu Sharma , Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields

High-dimensional data subject to heavy-tailed phenomena and heterogeneity are commonly encountered in various scientific fields and bring new challenges to the classical statistical methods. In this paper, we combine the asymmetric square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Jun Zhao , Guan'ao Yan , Yi Zhang

Time series forecasting is critical across various domains, such as weather, finance and real estate forecasting, as accurate forecasts support informed decision-making and risk mitigation. While recent deep learning models have improved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Jianfei Wu , Wenmian Yang , Bingning Liu , Weijia Jia

This article considers the $\mathcal{H}_\infty$ static output-feedback control for linear time-invariant uncertain systems with polynomial dependence on probabilistic time-invariant parametric uncertainties. By applying polynomial chaos…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-02 Yiming Wan , Dongying E. Shen , Sergio Lucia , Rolf Findeisen , Richard D. Braatz

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are widely used in the framework of uncertainty quantification. However, when dealing with high dimensional complex problems, challenging issues need to be faced. For instance, high-order polynomials may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-02 Chu V. Mai , Bruno Sudret

This work investigates the exponential stability of neural networks (NNs) systems with time delays. By considering orthogonal polynomials with weighted terms, a new weighted integral inequality is presented. This inequality extend several…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Yuanyuan Zhang , Han Xue , Kachong Lao , Chonkit Chan , Chenyang Shi , Seakweng Vong

We present a hybrid sampling-surrogate approach for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty quantification in nonlinear dynamical systems. Our motivation is to enable rapid uncertainty quantification in complex mechanical systems…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-27 Hang Yang , Yuji Fujii , K. W. Wang , Alex A. Gorodetsky

Conformal prediction (CP) provides a framework for constructing prediction sets with guaranteed coverage, assuming exchangeable data. However, real-world scenarios often involve distribution shifts that violate exchangeability, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Shadi Alijani , Homayoun Najjaran

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

Distribution system state estimation (DSSE) is paramount for effective state monitoring and control. However, stochastic outputs of renewables and asynchronous streaming of multi-rate measurements in practical systems largely degrade the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-23 Ying Zhang , Junbo Zhao , Di Shi , Sungjoo Chung

We consider the effect of multiple stochastic parameters on the time-average quantities of chaotic systems. We employ the recently proposed \cite{Kantarakias_Papadakis_2023} sensitivity-enhanced generalized polynomial chaos expansion,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-02 George Papadakis , Kyriakos D. Kantarakias

To accommodate numerous practical scenarios, in this paper we extend statistical inference for smoothed quantile estimators from finite domains to infinite domains. We accomplish the task with the help of a newly designed truncation…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-07 Daoping Yu , Vytaras Brazauskas , Ricardas Zitikis

When we are interested in high-dimensional system and focus on classification performance, the $\ell_{1}$-penalized logistic regression is becoming important and popular. However, the Lasso estimates could be problematic when penalties of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Huamei Huang , Yujing Gao , Huiming Zhang , Bo Li

Although sparse training has been successfully used in various resource-limited deep learning tasks to save memory, accelerate training, and reduce inference time, the reliability of the produced sparse models remains unexplored. Previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Bowen Lei , Ruqi Zhang , Dongkuan Xu , Bani Mallick

We develop a probabilistic method for assessing the tail behavior and geometric stability of one-dimensional n i.i.d. samples by tracking how their span contracts when the most extreme points are trimmed. Central to our approach is the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-03 Erwan Dereure , Emmanuel Akame Mfoumou , David Holcman

Robust and sparse estimation of linear regression coefficients is investigated. The situation addressed by the present paper is that covariates and noises are sampled from heavy-tailed distributions, and the covariates and noises are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-11 Takeyuki Sasai
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