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Drawing on the Data and Predictions strand of the Indicazioni Nazionali per il curricolo 2012, this study proposes a problem based instructional approach to the teaching of probability. More specifically, the study adopts a design based…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2026-04-24 Luigia Caputo , Aniello Buonocore

Recent advances leverage post-training to enhance model reasoning performance, which typically requires costly training pipelines and still suffers from inefficient, overly lengthy outputs. We introduce Speculative Thinking, a training-free…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Wang Yang , Xiang Yue , Vipin Chaudhary , Xiaotian Han

We contemplate an experimental situation in a $2^k$-factorial experiment with acute resource crunch so that we need to conduct just a saturated design [SD] - with the understanding that precision of the estimates cannot be estimated from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Francois Domagni , Samad Hedayat , Sinha Bikas

In mechanical design, there is often unavoidable uncertainty in estimates of design performance. Evaluation of design alternatives requires consideration of the impact of this uncertainty. Expert heuristics embody assumptions regarding the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Deborah L. Thurston , Yun Qi Tian

Design Fiction is known for its provocative and often dystopian speculations about the future. In this paper, we present an alternative approach that focuses primarily on the positive. We propose to imagine, enact, and evaluate utopia with…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Judith Dörrenbächer , Matthias Laschke , Diana Löffler , Ronda Ringfort , Sabrina Großkopp , Marc Hassenzahl

What does it mean to create a new concept, rather than retrieve a familiar one? Repeatedly sampling a generative model at the same prompt produces variations with similar styles and typical content. We propose that creativity is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Mengye Ren

Machine learning-based design has gained traction in the sciences, most notably in the design of small molecules, materials, and proteins, with societal implications spanning drug development and manufacturing, plastic degradation, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Clara Fannjiang , Jennifer Listgarten

Design-based frameworks of uncertainty are frequently used in settings where the treatment is (conditionally) randomly assigned. This paper develops a design-based framework suitable for analyzing quasi-experimental settings in the social…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-17 Ashesh Rambachan , Jonathan Roth

Surprise describes a range of phenomena from unexpected events to behavioral responses. We propose a measure of surprise and use it for surprise-driven learning. Our surprise measure takes into account data likelihood as well as the degree…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-03 Mohammadjavad Faraji , Kerstin Preuschoff , Wulfram Gerstner

The issue of dark patterns and deceptive designs (DPs) in everyday interfaces and interactions continues to grow. DPs are manipulative and malicious elements within user interfaces that deceive users into making unintended choices. In…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Weichen Joe Chang , Katie Seaborn , Andrew A. Adams

Open source software (OSS) often prioritizes technical functionality over usability and UX design. This imbalance limits OSS adoption among broader, non-technical users. Key underlying factors contributing to this issue are the shortage of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Rozhan Hozhabri Nezhad , Jin L. C. Guo , Jinghui Cheng

The publication process both determines which research receives the most attention, and influences the supply of research through its impact on researchers' private incentives. We introduce a framework to study optimal publication decisions…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-25 Ravi Jagadeesan , Davide Viviano

What if we take a broader view of what it means to run an education experiment? In this paper, we explore opportunities that arise when we think beyond the commonly-held notion that the purpose of an experiment is to either accept or reject…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Mohi Reza , Akmar Chowdhury , Aidan Li , Mahathi Gandhamaneni , Joseph Jay Williams

We present a system for bottom-up cumulative learning of myriad concepts corresponding to meaningful character strings, and their part-related and prediction edges. The learning is self-supervised in that the concepts discovered are used as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Omid Madani

Reproducibility should be a cornerstone of scientific research and is a growing concern among the scientific community and the public. Understanding how to design services and tools that support documentation, preservation and sharing is…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-03-15 Sebastian S. Feger , Sünje Dallmeier-Tiessen , Albrecht Schmidt , Paweł W. Woźniak

A growing number of people are using catch-up TV services rather than watching simultaneously with other audience members at the time of broadcast. However, computational support for such catching-up users has not been well explored. In…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Riku Arakawa , Hiromu Yakura

The term serendipity describes a creative process that develops, in context, with the active participation of a creative agent, but not entirely within that agent's control. While a system cannot be made to perform serendipitously on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Joseph Corneli , Anna Jordanous , Christian Guckelsberger , Alison Pease , Simon Colton

Patterns embody repeating phenomena, and, as such, they are partly but not fully detachable from their context. 'Design patterns' and 'pattern languages' are established methods for working with patterns. They have been applied in…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Raymond Puzio , Paola Ricaurte , Charles Jeffrey Danoff , Charlotte Pierce , Analua Dutka-Chirichetti , Vitor Bruno , Hermano Cintra , Joseph Corneli

These lectures deal with the problem of inductive inference, that is, the problem of reasoning under conditions of incomplete information. Is there a general method for handling uncertainty? Or, at least, are there rules that could in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Ariel Caticha