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In the classical contamination models, such as the gross-error (Huber and Tukey contamination model or Case-wise Contamination), observations are considered as the units to be identified as outliers or not. This model is very useful when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-11 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli

For algorithms based on interacting particle systems that admit a mean-field description, convergence analysis is often more accessible at the mean-field level. In order to transfer convergence results obtained at the mean-field level to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Nicolai Jurek Gerber , Franca Hoffmann , Urbain Vaes

Generalizing treatment effects from a randomized trial to a target population requires the assumption that potential outcome distributions are invariant across populations after conditioning on observed covariates. This assumption fails…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Amir Asiaee , Samhita Pal , Cole Beck , Jared D. Huling

Generalization under distribution shift remains a core challenge in modern machine learning, yet existing learning bound theory is limited to narrow, idealized settings and is non-estimable from samples. In this paper, we bridge the gap…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-25 Hongbo Chen , Li Charlie Xia

The problem of communicating sensor measurements over shared networks is prevalent in many modern large-scale distributed systems such as cyber-physical systems, wireless sensor networks, and the internet of things. Due to bandwidth…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-14 Marcos M. Vasconcelos

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

The Laplace approximation is a popular method for constructing a Gaussian approximation to the Bayesian posterior and thereby approximating the posterior mean and variance. But approximation quality is a concern. One might consider using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Mikołaj J. Kasprzak , Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick

This paper studies the construction of adaptive confidence intervals under Huber's contamination model when the contamination proportion is unknown. For the robust confidence interval of a Gaussian mean, we show that the optimal length of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Yuetian Luo , Chao Gao

In classical statistics and distribution testing, it is often assumed that elements can be sampled from some distribution $P$, and that when an element $x$ is sampled, the probability $P$ of sampling $x$ is also known. Recent work in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Talya Eden , Jakob Bæk Tejs Houen , Shyam Narayanan , Will Rosenbaum , Jakub Tětek

This paper proposes a Bayesian method for estimating the parameters of a normal distribution when only limited summary statistics (sample mean, minimum, maximum, and sample size) are available. To estimate the parameters of a normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Tomoki Matsumoto

We propose a general framework for regularization in M-estimation problems under time dependent (absolutely regular-mixing) data which encompasses many of the existing estimators. We derive non-asymptotic concentration bounds for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Demian Pouzo

We consider a Gaussian contamination (i.e., mixture) model where the contamination manifests itself as a change in variance. We study this model in various asymptotic regimes, in parallel with the work of Ingster (1997) and Donoho and Jin…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-31 Ery Arias-Castro , Rong Huang

When machine learning models are deployed on a test distribution different from the training distribution, they can perform poorly, but overestimate their performance. In this work, we aim to better estimate a model's performance under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Ching-Yao Chuang , Antonio Torralba , Stefanie Jegelka

Diffusion probabilistic models have been successfully used to generate data from noise. However, most diffusion models are computationally expensive and difficult to interpret with a lack of theoretical justification. Random feature models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-11 Esha Saha , Giang Tran

Complex biological processes are usually experimented along time among a collection of individuals. Longitudinal data are then available and the statistical challenge is to better understand the underlying biological mechanisms. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Pierre Barbillon , Célia Barthélémy , Adeline Samson

We describe a general technique that yields the first {\em Statistical Query lower bounds} for a range of fundamental high-dimensional learning problems involving Gaussian distributions. Our main results are for the problems of (1) learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Alistair Stewart

This paper studies active learning in the context of robust statistics. Specifically, we propose a variant of the Best Arm Identification problem for \emph{contaminated bandits}, where each arm pull has probability $\varepsilon$ of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Jason Altschuler , Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , Alan Malek

We obtain a limit of a hierarchical Bayes estimator of a finite population mean when the sample size is large. The limit is in the sense of ordinary calculus, where the sample observations are treated as fixed quantities. Our result…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 P. Lahiri , Kanchan Mukherjee

We study the problem of mean estimation for high-dimensional distributions, assuming access to a statistical query oracle for the distribution. For a normed space $X = (\mathbb{R}^d, \|\cdot\|_X)$ and a distribution supported on vectors $x…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-02-08 Jerry Li , Aleksandar Nikolov , Ilya Razenshteyn , Erik Waingarten

The Median-of-Means (MoM) is a robust estimator widely used in machine learning that is known to be (minimax) optimal in scenarios where samples are i.i.d. In more grave scenarios, samples are contaminated by an adversary that can inspect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-10 Xabier de Juan , Santiago Mazuelas
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