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Chronic diseases often progress differently across patients. Rather than randomly varying, there are typically a small number of subtypes for how a disease progresses across patients. To capture this structured heterogeneity, the Subtype…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Hongtao Hao , Joseph L. Austerweil

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are commonly used in longitudinal studies to forecast disease trajectories over time. Despite the many advantages of joint modeling, the standard forms suffer from limitations that arise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-10 Bryan Lim , Mihaela van der Schaar

Continuous-time multistate models are widely used for analyzing interval-censored data on disease progression over time. Sometimes, diseases manifest differently and what appears to be a coherent collection of symptoms is the expression of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Yidan Shi , Leilei Zeng , Mary E. Thompson , Suzanne L. Tyas

Progressive diseases worsen over time and are characterised by monotonic change in features that track disease progression. Here we connect ideas from two formerly separate methodologies -- event-based and hidden Markov modelling -- to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Peter A. Wijeratne , Daniel C. Alexander

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a degenerative brain disease impairing a person's ability to perform day to day activities. The clinical manifestations of Alzheimer's disease are characterized by heterogeneity in age, disease span, progression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-07 Vipul Satone , Rachneet Kaur , Faraz Faghri , Mike A Nalls , Andrew B Singleton , Roy H Campbell

Disease progression models infer group-level temporal trajectories of change in patients' features as a chronic degenerative condition plays out. They provide unique insight into disease biology and staging systems with individual-level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Peter A. Wijeratne , Daniel C. Alexander

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are commonly used in longitudinal studies to forecast disease trajectories over time. While there are many advantages to joint modeling, the standard forms suffer from limitations that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-09 Bryan Lim , Mihaela van der Schaar

Background. Alzheimer's disease and related dementia (ADRD) are characterized by multiple and progressive anatomo clinical changes. Yet, modeling changes over disease course from cohort data is challenging as the usual timescales are…

Intense debate in the Neurology community before 2010 culminated in hypothetical models of Alzheimer's disease progression: a pathophysiological cascade of biomarkers, each dynamic for only a segment of the full disease timeline. Inspired…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-14 Neil P. Oxtoby

The progression of chronic diseases often follows highly variable trajectories, and the underlying factors remain poorly understood. Standard mixed-effects models typically represent inter-patient differences as random deviations around a…

A particular challenge for disease progression modeling is the heterogeneity of a disease and its manifestations in the patients. Existing approaches often assume the presence of a single disease progression characteristics which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Taha Ceritli , Andrew P. Creagh , David A. Clifton

Studies of Alzheimer's disease (AD) often collect multiple longitudinal clinical outcomes, which are correlated and predictive of AD progression. It is of great scientific interest to investigate the association between the outcomes and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Cai Li , Luo Xiao , Sheng Luo

In order to find effective treatments for Alzheimer's disease (AD), we need to identify subjects at risk of AD as early as possible. To this end, recently developed disease progression models can be used to perform early diagnosis, as well…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-11 Razvan V. Marinescu

Mixed Models for Repeated Measures (MMRMs) are ubiquitous when analyzing outcomes of clinical trials. However, the linearity of the fixed-effect structure in these models largely restrict their use to estimating treatment effects that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Lars Lau Raket

The ability to predict the future trajectory of a patient is a key step toward the development of therapeutics for complex diseases such as Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, most machine learning approaches developed for prediction of…

Pre-symptomatic (or Preclinical) Alzheimer's Disease is defined by biomarker evidence of fibrillar amyloid beta pathology in the absence of clinical symptoms. Clinical trials in this early phase of disease are challenging due to the slow…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-10 Dan Li , Samuel Iddi , Paul S. Aisen , Wesley K. Thompson , Michael C. Donohue

Alzheimer's disease (AD) exhibits substantial clinical and biological heterogeneity, complicating efforts in treatment and intervention development. While new computational methods offer insights into AD progression, the reproducibility of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-06 Emma Prevot , Cameron Shand , Neil Oxtoby , for Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative

Recent studies on modelling the progression of Alzheimer's disease use a single modality for their predictions while ignoring the time dimension. However, the nature of patient data is heterogeneous and time dependent which requires models…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Sofia Lahrichi , Maryem Rhanoui , Mounia Mikram , Bouchra El Asri

In this review paper, some applications of the mixed effect modeling in medial image processing and longitudinal analysis is studied. For this purpose, a general structure is extracted from some of the researches in the literature. This…

Medical Physics · Physics 2018-03-13 Fatemeh Nasiri , Oscar Acosta-Tamayo

In this study, we employ a transformer encoder model to characterize the significance of longitudinal patient data for forecasting the progression of Alzheimer's Disease (AD). Our model, Longitudinal Forecasting Model for Alzheimer's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Batuhan K. Karaman , Mert R. Sabuncu
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