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A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

We conduct a thorough analysis of the relationship between the out-of-sample performance and the Bayesian evidence (marginal likelihood) of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), as well as looking at the performance of ensembles of BNNs, both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-16 Kamran Javid , Will Handley , Mike Hobson , Anthony Lasenby

We propose a Bayesian network model to make inferences and predictions about cardiovascular risk. Both the structure and the probability tables in the underlying model are built using a large dataset collected in Spain from annual work…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-01 J. M. Ordovas , D. Rios Insua , A. Santos-Lozano , A. Lucia , A. Torres , A. Kosgodagan , J. M. Camacho

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

The willingness to trust predictions formulated by automatic algorithms is key in a vast number of domains. However, a vast number of deep architectures are only able to formulate predictions without an associated uncertainty. In this…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-28 Matteo Ferrante , Tommaso Boccato , Nicola Toschi

Gene and protein networks are very important to model complex large-scale systems in molecular biology. Inferring or reverseengineering such networks can be defined as the process of identifying gene/protein interactions from experimental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Stefano Beretta , Mauro Castelli , Ivo Goncalves , Ivan Merelli , Daniele Ramazzotti

We study the problem of learning Bayesian network structures from data. We develop an algorithm for finding the k-best Bayesian network structures. We propose to compute the posterior probabilities of hypotheses of interest by Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Jin Tian , Ru He , Lavanya Ram

Infectious diseases are studied to understand their spreading mechanisms, to evaluate control strategies and to predict the risk and course of future outbreaks. Because people only interact with a small number of individuals, and because…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-05 Ritabrata Dutta , Antonietta Mira , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Gaussian graphical models provide a powerful framework to reveal the conditional dependency structure between multivariate variables. The process of uncovering the conditional dependency network is known as structure learning. Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Lucas Vogels , Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , S. Ilker Birbil

Reconstructing transmission networks is essential for identifying key factors like superspreaders and high-risk locations, which are critical for developing effective pandemic prevention strategies. In this study, we developed a Bayesian…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-10 Jianing Xu , Huimin Hu , Gregory Ellison , Lili Yu , Christopher Whalen , Liang Liu

The development of chemical reaction models aids understanding and prediction in areas ranging from biology to electrochemistry and combustion. A systematic approach to building reaction network models uses observational data not only to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Nikhil Galagali , Youssef M. Marzouk

We focus on an interpolation method referred to Bayesian reconstruction in this paper. Whereas in standard interpolation methods missing data are interpolated deterministically, in Bayesian reconstruction, missing data are interpolated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-27 Shun Kataoka , Muneki Yasuda , Kazuyuki Tanaka

We explore the issue of refining an existent Bayesian network structure using new data which might mention only a subset of the variables. Most previous works have only considered the refinement of the network's conditional probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Wai Lam , Fahiem Bacchus

When studying social, economic and biological systems, one has often access to only limited information about the structure of the underlying networks. An example of paramount importance is provided by financial systems: information on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-31 Tiziano Squartini , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini , Andrea Gabrielli , Diego Garlaschelli

Deep learning-based image reconstruction approaches have demonstrated impressive empirical performance in many imaging modalities. These approaches usually require a large amount of high-quality paired training data, which is often not…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-21 Riccardo Barbano , Zeljko Kereta , Andreas Hauptmann , Simon R. Arridge , Bangti Jin

Accessing the network through which a propagation dynamics diffuse is essential for understanding and controlling it. In a few cases, such information is available through direct experiments or thanks to the very nature of propagation data.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-15 Alfredo Braunstein , Alessandro Ingrosso , Anna Paola Muntoni

We propose a sampling algorithm to perform system identification from a set of input-output graph signal pairs. The dynamics of the systems we study are given by a partially known adjacency matrix and a generic parametric graph filter of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-01 Martín Sevilla , Santiago Segarra

We present a novel method to reconstruct complex network from partial information. We assume to know the links only for a subset of the nodes and to know some non-topological quantity (fitness) characterising every node. The missing links…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-11 Nicoló Musmeci , Stefano Battiston , Guido Caldarelli , Michelangelo Puliga , Andrea Gabrielli

We study several bayesian inference problems for irreversible stochastic epidemic models on networks from a statistical physics viewpoint. We derive equations which allow to accurately compute the posterior distribution of the time…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-28 Fabrizio Altarelli , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta , Alejandro Lage-Castellanos , Riccardo Zecchina

In many domains, we are interested in analyzing the structure of the underlying distribution, e.g., whether one variable is a direct parent of the other. Bayesian model-selection attempts to find the MAP model and use its structure to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Nir Friedman , Daphne Koller