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We examine the performance of efficient and AIPW estimators under two-phase sampling when the complete-data model is nearly correctly specified, in the sense that the misspecification is not reliably detectable from the data by any possible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Thomas Lumley

We consider the problem of detecting an elevated mean on an interval with unknown location and length in the univariate Gaussian sequence model. Recent results have shown that using scale-dependent critical values for the scan statistic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Guenther Walther , Andrew Perry

A large class of problems in sciences and engineering can be formulated as the general problem of constructing random intervals with pre-specified coverage probabilities for the mean. Wee propose a general approach for statistical inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Xinjia Chen

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

Conformal prediction is a framework for predictive inference with a distribution-free, finite-sample guarantee. However, it tends to provide uninformative prediction sets when calibration data are scarce. This paper introduces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Meshi Bashari , Roy Maor Lotan , Yonghoon Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Yaniv Romano

We propose a general semi-supervised inference framework focused on the estimation of the population mean. As usual in semi-supervised settings, there exists an unlabeled sample of covariate vectors and a labeled sample consisting of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-15 Anru Zhang , Lawrence D. Brown , T. Tony Cai

We consider Gini's mean difference statistic as an alternative to the empirical variance in the settings of finite populations where simple random samples are drawn without replacement. In particular, we discuss specific (in the finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-10 Andrius Čiginas , Dalius Pumputis

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

We consider the range-based localization problem, which involves estimating an object's position by using $m$ sensors, hoping that as the number $m$ of sensors increases, the estimate converges to the true position with the minimum…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-04 Guangyang Zeng , Biqiang Mu , Jiming Chen , Zhiguo Shi , Junfeng Wu

We study distribution-free predictive inference for data with group symmetries, aiming to establish near-conditional coverage guarantees beyond exchangeability for structured data. While many predictive inference methods achieve a target…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yichen Shen , Mengxin Yu

We prove the validity of using subsampling method for inference under a two-way clustered panel in which the time effects are serially correlated. Subsamples should be drawn without replacement from randomly partitioned individual index set…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-01 Haonan Miao

In this paper, we propose a novel Mixed-Integer Non-Linear Optimization formulation to construct a risk score, where we optimize the logistic loss with sparsity constraints. Previous approaches are typically designed to handle binary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Cristina Molero-Río , Claudia D'Ambrosio

In statistical inference, confidence set procedures are typically evaluated based on their validity and width properties. Even when procedures achieve rate-optimal widths, confidence sets can still be excessively wide in practice due to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Kenta Takatsu

We consider the \mnk{classical} problem of a controller activating (or sampling) sequentially from a finite number of $N \geq 2$ populations, specified by unknown distributions. Over some time horizon, at each time $n = 1, 2, \ldots$, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-18 Wesley Cowan , Michael N. Katehakis

This paper investigates the use of stratified sampling as a variance reduction technique for approximating integrals over large dimensional spaces. The accuracy of this method critically depends on the choice of the space partition, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-15 Pierre Etoré , Gersende Fort , Benjamin Jourdain , Eric Moulines

Model performance evaluation is a critical and expensive task in machine learning and computer vision. Without clear guidelines, practitioners often estimate model accuracy using a one-time completely random selection of the data. However,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Riccardo Fogliato , Pratik Patil , Mathew Monfort , Pietro Perona

We propose a new analysis framework for clustering $M$ items into an unknown number of $K$ distinct groups using noisy and actively collected responses. At each time step, an agent is allowed to query pairs of items and observe bandit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Rachel S. Y. Teo , P. N. Karthik , Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We propose an orthogonal series density estimator for complex surveys, where samples are neither independent nor identically distributed. The proposed estimator is proved to be design-unbiased and asymptotically design-consistent. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Shangyuan Ye , Ye Liang , Ibrahim A. Ahmad

Social inequality manifested across different strata of human existence can be quantified in several ways. Here we compute non-entropic measures of inequality such as Lorenz curve, Gini index and the recently introduced $k$ index…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-17 Jun-ichi Inoue , Asim Ghosh , Arnab Chatterjee , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

We propose a two-step estimating procedure for generalized additive partially linear models with clustered data using estimating equations. Our proposed method applies to the case that the number of observations per cluster is allowed to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-20 Shujie Ma