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We propose a framework which generalizes "decision making with structured observations" by allowing robust (i.e. multivalued) models. In this framework, each model associates each decision with a convex set of probability distributions over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Alexander Appel , Vanessa Kosoy

This paper studies regret minimization with randomized value functions in reinforcement learning. In tabular finite-horizon Markov Decision Processes, we introduce a clipping variant of one classical Thompson Sampling (TS)-like algorithm,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Priyank Agrawal , Jinglin Chen , Nan Jiang

This work introduces the first small-loss and gradual-variation regret bounds for online portfolio selection, marking the first instances of data-dependent bounds for online convex optimization with non-Lipschitz, non-smooth losses. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Chung-En Tsai , Ying-Ting Lin , Yen-Huan Li

We study model-based reinforcement learning in an unknown finite communicating Markov decision process. We propose a simple algorithm that leverages a variance based confidence interval. We show that the proposed algorithm, UCRL-V, achieves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Aristide Tossou , Debabrota Basu , Christos Dimitrakakis

Model selection is often performed by empirical risk minimization. The quality of selection in a given situation can be assessed by risk bounds, which require assumptions both on the margin and the tails of the losses used. Starting with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Charles Mitchell , Sara van de Geer

We consider the setting of online logistic regression and consider the regret with respect to the 2-ball of radius B. It is known (see [Hazan et al., 2014]) that any proper algorithm which has logarithmic regret in the number of samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Rémi Jézéquel , Pierre Gaillard , Alessandro Rudi

This paper initiates the study of data-dependent regret bounds in constrained MAB settings. These bounds depend on the sequence of losses that characterize the problem instance. Thus, they can be much smaller than classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Gianmarco Genalti , Francesco Emanuele Stradi , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti

Towards bridging classical optimal control and online learning, regret minimization has recently been proposed as a control design criterion. This competitive paradigm penalizes the loss relative to the optimal control actions chosen by a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-27 Andrea Martin , Luca Furieri , Florian Dörfler , John Lygeros , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

We develop new methods to integrate experimental and observational data in causal inference. While randomized controlled trials offer strong internal validity, they are often costly and therefore limited in sample size. Observational data,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Xuelin Yang , Licong Lin , Susan Athey , Michael I. Jordan , Guido W. Imbens

We consider the predict-then-optimize paradigm for decision-making in which a practitioner (1) trains a supervised learning model on historical data of decisions, contexts, and rewards, and then (2) uses the resulting model to make future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Samuel Tan , Peter I. Frazier

The reduced basis method is a model reduction technique yielding substantial savings of computational time when a solution to a parametrized equation has to be computed for many values of the parameter. Certification of the approximation is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-05-16 Fabien Casenave , Alexandre Ern , Tony Lelièvre

This paper considers batch Reinforcement Learning (RL) with general value function approximation. Our study investigates the minimal assumptions to reliably estimate/minimize Bellman error, and characterizes the generalization performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Yaqi Duan , Chi Jin , Zhiyuan Li

We analyze the practices of reservoir computing in the framework of statistical learning theory. In particular, we derive finite sample upper bounds for the generalization error committed by specific families of reservoir computing systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Lukas Gonon , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We develop minimax optimal risk bounds for the general learning task consisting in predicting as well as the best function in a reference set G up to the smallest possible additive term, called the convergence rate. When the reference set…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-04 Jean-Yves Audibert

Large language models can answer causal questions correctly for the wrong reasons. Current RL methods reward \emph{what} a model concludes but ignore \emph{why}, reinforcing correlational shortcuts -- a failure we call \emph{Reward…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Edward Y. Chang , Longling Geng

This paper extends the standard chaining technique to prove excess risk upper bounds for empirical risk minimization with random design settings even if the magnitude of the noise and the estimates is unbounded. The bound applies to many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 Gábor Balázs , András György , Csaba Szepesvári

In this paper we propose a novel experimental design-based algorithm to minimize regret in online stochastic linear and combinatorial bandits. While existing literature tends to focus on optimism-based algorithms--which have been shown to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Andrew Wagenmaker , Julian Katz-Samuels , Kevin Jamieson

We develop minimax optimal risk bounds for the general learning task consisting in predicting as well as the best function in a reference set $\mathcal{G}$ up to the smallest possible additive term, called the convergence rate. When the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-09 Jean-Yves Audibert

Considering the problem of risk-sensitive parameter estimation, we propose a fairly wide family of lower bounds on the exponential moments of the quadratic error, both in the Bayesian and the non--Bayesian regime. This family of bounds,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-02 Neri Merhav

In this paper, we study the Empirical Risk Minimization problem in the non-interactive local model of differential privacy. In the case of constant or low dimensionality ($p\ll n$), we first show that if the ERM loss function is $(\infty,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Di Wang , Marco Gaboardi , Jinhui Xu