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Stochastic iterative methods are useful in a variety of large-scale numerical linear algebraic, machine learning, and statistical problems, in part due to their low-memory footprint. They are frequently used in a variety of applications,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Toby Anderson , Max Collins , Jamie Haddock , Jackie Lok , Elizaveta Rebrova

We consider a priori generalization bounds developed in terms of cross-validation estimates and the stability of learners. In particular, we first derive an exponential Efron-Stein type tail inequality for the concentration of a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-20 Karim Abou-Moustafa , Csaba Szepesvari

We study generalisations of a simple, combinatorial proof of a Chernoff bound similar to the one by Impagliazzo and Kabanets (RANDOM, 2010). In particular, we prove a randomized version of the hitting property of expander random walks and…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-01-16 Jan Hązła , Thomas Holenstein

Random-effects meta-analyses have been widely applied in evidence synthesis for various types of medical studies. However, standard inference methods (e.g. restricted maximum likelihood estimation) usually underestimate statistical errors…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-13 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hisashi Noma

We establish theoretical guarantees for the expected prediction error of the exponential weighting aggregate in the case of multivariate regression that is when the label vector is multidimensional. We consider the regression model with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Arnak S. Dalalyan

We obtain a Bernstein-type inequality for sums of Banach-valued random variables satisfying a weak dependence assumption of general type and under certain smoothness assumptions of the underlying Banach norm. We use this inequality in order…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Gilles Blanchard , Oleksandr Zadorozhnyi

Ferromagnetic exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are random graph models under which the presence of certain small structures (such as triangles) is encouraged; they can be constructed by tilting an Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi model by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Vilas Winstein

For a Markov semigroup $P_t$ with invariant probability measure $\mu$, a constant $\ll>0$ is called a lower bound of the ultra-exponential convergence rate of $P_t$ to $\mu$, if there exists a constant $C\in (0,\infty)$ such that $$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Feng-Yu Wang

We develop a new formulation of Stein's method to obtain computable upper bounds on the total variation distance between the geometric distribution and a distribution of interest. Our framework reduces the problem to the construction of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

A consequence of de Finetti's representation theorem is that for every infinite sequence of exchangeable 0-1 random variables $(X_k)_{k\geq1}$, there exists a probability measure $\mu$ on the Borel sets of $[0,1]$ such that $\bar X_n =…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Guillaume Mijoule , Giovanni Peccati , Yvik Swan

We introduce a dimension-free Bernstein-type tail inequality for self-normalised martingales, where the normalisation uses the predictable quadratic variation and the radius depends on the information gain of the observed covariance. As…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Arya Akhavan , Amitis Shidani , Alex Ayoub , David Janz

We provide a simple, general argument to obtain improvements of concentration-type inequalities starting from improvements of their corresponding isoperimetric-type inequalities. We apply this argument to obtain robust improvements of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-14 Eric A. Carlen , Francesco Maggi

This paper is devoted to establishing exponential bounds for the probabilities of deviation of a sample sum from its expectation, when the variables involved in the summation are obtained by sampling in a finite population according to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-13 Patrice Bertail , Stephan Clémençon

The nonparametric regression model with normal errors has been extensively studied, both from the frequentist and Bayesian viewpoint. A central result in Bayesian nonparametrics is that under assumptions on the prior, the data-generating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Paul Rosa

Let $n$ be a sufficiently large natural number and let $B$ be an origin-symmetric convex body in $R^n$ in the $\ell$-position, and such that the normed space $(R^n,\|\cdot\|_B)$ admits a $1$-unconditional basis. Then for any…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2017-02-21 Konstantin Tikhomirov

We consider the following data perturbation model, where the covariates incur multiplicative errors. For two $n \times m$ random matrices $U, X$, we denote by $U \circ X$ the Hadamard or Schur product, which is defined as $(U \circ X)_{ij}…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Shuheng Zhou

We consider the three dimensional array $\mathcal{A} = \{a_{i,j,k}\}_{1\le i,j,k \le n}$, with $a_{i,j,k} \in [0,1]$, and the two random statistics $T_{1}:= \sum_{i=1}^n \sum_{j=1}^n a_{i,j,\sigma(i)}$ and $T_{2}:= \sum_{i=1}^{n}…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Debapratim Banerjee , Matteo Sordello

Finite sample properties of random covariance-type matrices have been the subject of much research. In this paper we focus on the "lower tail" of such a matrix, and prove that it is subgaussian under a simple fourth moment assumption on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-11 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

We study the spectral gap of subgraphs of the hypercube induced by monotone subsets of vertices. For a monotone subset $A\subseteq\{0,1\}^{n}$ of density $\mu(A)$, the previous best lower bound on the spectral gap, due to Cohen, was…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Yumou Fei , Renato Ferreira Pinto

The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Leonid , Kontorovich , Kavita Ramanan