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We give concentration inequalities in Wasserstein distance for the empirical measure of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with values in a Polish space E. These inequalities involve the covering…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Jérôme Dedecker , Aurélie Fischer , Bertrand Michel

We establish a general concentration result for the 1-Wasserstein distance between the empirical measure of a sequence of random variables and its expectation. Unlike standard results that rely on independence (e.g., Sanov's theorem) or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Arash A. Amini , Luciano Vinas

This paper provides a precise error analysis for the maximum likelihood estimate $\hat{a}_{\text{ML}}(u_1^n)$ of the parameter $a$ given samples $u_1^n = (u_1, \ldots, u_n)'$ drawn from a nonstationary Gauss-Markov process $U_i = a U_{i-1}…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Peida Tian , Victoria Kostina

Under the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck semigroup $\{U_t\}$, any non-negative measurable $f : \mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R_+$ exhibits a uniform tail bound better than that implied by Markov's inequality and conservation of mass: For every $\alpha \geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Ronen Eldan , James R. Lee

We establish an Azuma type inequality under a Lipshitz condition for martingales in the framework of noncommutative probability spaces and apply it to deduce a noncommutative Heoffding inequality as well as a noncommutative McDiarmid type…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Ghadir Sadeghi , Mohammad Sal Moslehian

We consider a Markov chain on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with invariant measure $\mu$. We are interested in the rate of convergence of the empirical measures towards the invariant measure with respect to various dual distances, including in particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Adrian Riekert

We derive a new closed-form variance-adaptive confidence sequence (CS) for estimating the average conditional mean of a sequence of bounded random variables. Empirically, it yields the tightest closed-form CS we have found for tracking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas

A well-known open problem on the behavior of optimal paths in random graphs in the strong disorder regime, formulated by statistical physicists, and supported by a large amount of numerical evidence over the last decade [31,32,38,70] is as…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-15 Shankar Bhamidi , Sanchayan Sen

This article considers Bayesian model selection via mean-field (MF) variational approximation. Towards this goal, we study the non-asymptotic properties of MF inference under the Bayesian framework that allows latent variables and model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Yangfan Zhang , Yun Yang

We prove a Chernoff-type bound for sums of matrix-valued random variables sampled via a regular (aperiodic and irreducible) finite Markov chain. Specially, consider a random walk on a regular Markov chain and a Hermitian matrix-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-30 Jiezhong Qiu , Chi Wang , Ben Liao , Richard Peng , Jie Tang

This paper derives exponential tail bounds and polynomial moment inequalities for the spectral norm deviation of a random matrix from its mean value. The argument depends on a matrix extension of Stein's method of exchangeable pairs for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-06 Daniel Paulin , Lester Mackey , Joel A. Tropp

We consider $N\times N$ Hermitian random matrices with independent identically distributed entries (Wigner matrices). The matrices are normalized so that the average spacing between consecutive eigenvalues is of order $1/N$. Under suitable…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-05-13 Laszlo Erdos , Benjamin Schlein , Horng-Tzer Yau

Many problems in combinatorial linear algebra require upper bounds on the number of solutions to an underdetermined system of linear equations $Ax = b$, where the coordinates of the vector $x$ are restricted to take values in some small…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Asaf Ferber , Vishesh Jain , Yufei Zhao

We obtain non-asymptotic Gaussian concentration bounds for the difference between the invariant measure $\nu$ of an ergodic Brownian diffusion process and the empirical distribution of an approximating scheme with decreasing time step along…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-28 Igor Honoré , Stephane Menozzi , Gilles Pagès

An infinite urn scheme is defined by a probability mass function $(p_j)_{j\geq1}$ over positive integers. A random allocation consists of a sample of $N$ independent drawings according to this probability distribution where $N$ may be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Anna Ben-Hamou , Stéphane Boucheron , Mesrob I. Ohannessian

This paper develops a general concentration inequality for the suprema of empirical processes with dependent data. The concentration inequality is obtained by combining generic chaining with a coupling-based strategy. Our framework…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Chiara Amorino , Christian Brownlees , Ankita Ghosh

We present a new concentration of measure inequality for sums of independent bounded random variables, which we name a split-kl inequality. The inequality is particularly well-suited for ternary random variables, which naturally show up in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-18 Yi-Shan Wu , Yevgeny Seldin

We show how to extend several basic concentration inequalities for simple random tensors $X = x_1 \otimes \cdots \otimes x_d$ where all $x_k$ are independent random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^n$ with independent coefficients. The new results…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Roman Vershynin

We introduce a nonasymptotic framework for sub-Poisson distributions with moment generating function dominated by that of a Poisson distribution. At its core is a new notion of optimal sub-Poisson variance proxy, analogous to the variance…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Lasse Leskelä , Ian Välimaa

Novel concentration inequalities are obtained for the missing mass, i.e. the total probability mass of the outcomes not observed in the sample. We derive distribution-free deviation bounds with sublinear exponents in deviation size for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-02 Bahman Yari Saeed Khanloo
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