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We study the drivers and spatial diffusion of U.S. state population growth using a dynamic spatial model for 49 states, 1965-2017. Methodologically, we recover the spatial network structure from the data, rather than imposing it a priori…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Sebastian Kripfganz , Vasilis Sarafidis

Many public health interventions are conducted in settings where individuals are connected to one another and the intervention assigned to randomly selected individuals may spill over to other individuals they are connected to. In these…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Junhan Fang , Donna Spiegelman , Ashley Buchanan , Laura Forastiere

Supply chain disruptions constitute an often underestimated risk for financial stability. As in financial networks, systemic risks in production networks arises when the local failure of one firm impacts the production of others and might…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Jan Fialkowski , Christian Diem , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

We propose a new nonparametric modeling framework for causal inference when outcomes depend on how agents are linked in a social or economic network. Such network interference describes a large literature on treatment spillovers, social…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-25 Eric Auerbach , Hongchang Guo , Max Tabord-Meehan

Multiplex networks (a system of multiple networks that have different types of links but share a common set of nodes) arise naturally in a wide spectrum of fields. Theoretical studies show that in such multiplex networks, correlated edge…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-19 Vikram S. Vijayaraghavan , Pierre-André Noël , Zeev Maoz , Raissa M. D'Souza

Understanding the high-tech industrial agglomeration from a spatial-spillover perspective is essential for cities to gain economic and technological competitive advantages. Along with rapid urbanization and the development of fast…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-11 Chen Wang , Lu Wang , Yanbo Xue , Ruiqi Li

Spreading broadly refers to the notion of an entity propagating throughout a networked system via its interacting components. Evidence of its ubiquity and severity can be seen in a range of phenomena, from disease epidemics to financial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-25 Christos Ellinas

With companies, states, and countries targeting net-zero emissions around midcentury, there are questions about how these targets alter household welfare and finances, including distributional effects across income groups. This paper…

The 2023 U.S. banking crisis propagated not through direct financial linkages but through a high-frequency, information-based contagion channel. This paper moves beyond exploration analysis to test the "too-similar-to-fail" hypothesis,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-06 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu S Sua , Jaime Ortiz , Jinshyang Roan , Bahram Alidaee

To successfully implement the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), it is necessary to understand the process by which the achievement of one goal has a spillover effect in a development system. While existing research studies synergies and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Gaurav Kottari , Niteesh Sahni

Understanding disaggregate channels in the transmission of monetary policy is of crucial importance for effectively implementing policy measures. We extend the empirical econometric literature on the role of production networks in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-11 Niko Hauzenberger , Michael Pfarrhofer

We consider weighted directed networks for analysing, over the period 2000-2013, the interdependencies between volatilities of a large panel of stocks belonging to the S\&P100 index. In particular, we focus on the so-called {\it Long-Run…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Marc Hallin

I study identification, estimation and inference for spillover effects in experiments where units' outcomes may depend on the treatment assignments of other units within a group. I show that the commonly-used reduced-form linear-in-means…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-21 Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare

Many economic activities are embedded in networks: sets of agents and the (often) rivalrous relationships connecting them to one another. Input sourcing by firms, interbank lending, scientific research, and job search are four examples,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-16 Bryan S. Graham

Economic models with input-output networks assume that firm or sector (unit) growth is driven by a weighted sum of trade partners' growth and an independently-drawn idiosyncratic shock. I show that the idiosyncratic risk assumption in a…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-03 Victor Sellemi

This paper investigates the relationship between private and public investment in R&D, while taking into account the effect of several instruments policies such as subsidies and taxes. We design a new look of knowledge spillovers and R&D…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-10 Sadraoui Tarek , Naceur Ben Zina

Social and professional networks affect labor market dynamics, knowledge diffusion and new business creation. To understand the determinants of how these networks are formed in the first place, we analyze a unique dataset of business cards…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-04 Juan Nelson Martínez Dahbura , Shota Komatsu , Takanori Nishida , Angelo Mele

We review and conceptualize recent advances in causal inference under network interference, drawing on a complex and diverse body of work that ranges from causal inference, statistical network analysis, economics, the health sciences, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Subhankar Bhadra , Michael Schweinberger

Social interactions determine many economic behaviors, but information on social ties does not exist in most publicly available and widely used datasets. We present results on the identification of social networks from observational panel…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-12 Aureo de Paula , Imran Rasul , Pedro Souza

This paper studies the identification and estimation of heterogeneous effects of an endogenous treatment under interference and spillovers in a large single-network setting. We model endogenous treatment selection as an equilibrium outcome…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Lin Chen , Yuya Sasaki