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The electricity sector is undergoing substantial transformations due to the rising electrification of demand, enhanced integration of renewable energy resources, and the emergence of new technologies. These changes are rendering the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Ali Menati , Fatemeh Doudi , Dileep Kalathil , Le Xie

Accurate grid load forecasting is safety-critical: under-predictions risk supply shortfalls, while symmetric error metrics can mask this operational asymmetry. We introduce an operator-legible evaluation framework -- Under-Prediction Rate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Sunki Hong , Jisoo Lee

Understanding the robustness of deep learning models for multivariate long-term time series forecasting (M-LTSF) remains challenging, as evaluations typically rely on real-world datasets with unknown noise properties. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Nick Janssen , Melanie Schaller , Bodo Rosenhahn

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy generation is fundamental to enhancing the dynamic performance of modern power grids, especially under high renewable penetration. This paper presents Channel-Time Patch Time-Series Transformer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Kuan Lu , Menghao Huo , Yuxiao Li , Qiang Zhu , Zhenrui Chen

Long-short range time series forecasting is essential for predicting future trends and patterns over extended periods. While deep learning models such as Transformers have made significant strides in advancing time series forecasting, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Wenqing Zhang , Junming Huang , Ruotong Wang , Changsong Wei , Wenqian Huang , Yuxin Qiao

Transformers have become one of the foundational architectures in point cloud analysis tasks due to their excellent global modeling ability. However, the attention mechanism has quadratic complexity, making the design of a linear complexity…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Dingkang Liang , Xin Zhou , Wei Xu , Xingkui Zhu , Zhikang Zou , Xiaoqing Ye , Xiao Tan , Xiang Bai

Wind speed is a powerful source of renewable energy, which can be used as an alternative to the non-renewable resources for production of electricity. Renewable sources are clean, infinite and do not impact the environment negatively during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Swayamjit Saha

Transformers dominate NLP and IR; but their inference inefficiencies and challenges in extrapolating to longer contexts have sparked interest in alternative model architectures. Among these, state space models (SSMs) like Mamba offer…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Zhichao Xu , Jinghua Yan , Ashim Gupta , Vivek Srikumar

State space models, such as Mamba, have recently garnered attention in time series forecasting due to their ability to capture sequence patterns. However, in electricity consumption benchmarks, Mamba forecasts exhibit a mean error of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-08 Pedro Pessoa , Paul Campitelli , Douglas P. Shepherd , S. Banu Ozkan , Steve Pressé

Accurate short-term power load forecasting is important to effectively manage, optimize, and ensure the robustness of modern power systems. This paper performs an empirical evaluation of a traditional statistical model and deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Suhasnadh Reddy Veluru , Sai Teja Erukude , Viswa Chaitanya Marella

Time series forecasting has made significant advances, including with Transformer-based models. The attention mechanism in Transformer effectively captures temporal dependencies by attending to all past inputs simultaneously. However, its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Xiongxiao Xu , Canyu Chen , Yueqing Liang , Baixiang Huang , Guangji Bai , Liang Zhao , Kai Shu

Long-range time series forecasting remains challenging, as it requires capturing non-stationary and multi-scale temporal dependencies while maintaining noise robustness, efficiency, and stability. Transformer-based architectures such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Stefan-Alexandru Jura , Mihai Udrescu , Alexandru Topirceanu

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) provides longer insights into future trends and patterns. Over the past few years, deep learning models especially Transformers have achieved advanced performance in LTSF tasks. However, LTSF faces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Aobo Liang , Xingguo Jiang , Yan Sun , Xiaohou Shi , Ke Li

State Space Models (SSMs) have emerged as a promising alternative to Transformers for long-context sequence modeling, offering linear $O(N)$ computational complexity compared to the Transformer's quadratic $O(N^2)$ scaling. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Abidemi Koledoye , Chinemerem Unachukwu , Gold Nwobu , Hasin Rana

Long-term multivariate time series forecasting (LTSF) plays a crucial role in various high-performance computing applications, including real-time energy grid management and large-scale traffic flow simulation. However, existing solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Qianyang Li , Xingjun Zhang , Shaoxun Wang , Jia Wei , Yueqi Xing

In recent years, Transformers have become the de-facto architecture for long-term sequence forecasting (LTSF), but faces challenges such as quadratic complexity and permutation invariant bias. A recent model, Mamba, based on selective state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Xiuding Cai , Yaoyao Zhu , Xueyao Wang , Yu Yao

Rising global energy demand from population growth raises concerns about the sustainability of fossil fuels. Consequently, the energy sector has increasingly transitioned to renewable energy sources like solar and wind, which are naturally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-30 Afsaneh Mollasalehi , Armin Farhadi

In the post-deep learning era, the Transformer architecture has demonstrated its powerful performance across pre-trained big models and various downstream tasks. However, the enormous computational demands of this architecture have deterred…

Transformers are the current architecture of choice for NLP, but their attention layers do not scale well to long contexts. Recent works propose to replace attention with linear recurrent layers -- this is the case for state space models,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Hugo Pitorro , Pavlo Vasylenko , Marcos Treviso , André F. T. Martins

We propose an efficient design of Transformer-based models for multivariate time series forecasting and self-supervised representation learning. It is based on two key components: (i) segmentation of time series into subseries-level patches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Yuqi Nie , Nam H. Nguyen , Phanwadee Sinthong , Jayant Kalagnanam
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