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In this article, we introduce the concept of model confidence bounds (MCB) for variable selection in the context of nested models. Similarly to the endpoints in the familiar confidence interval for parameter estimation, the MCB identifies…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-27 Yang Li , Yuetian Luo , Davide Ferrari , Xiaonan Hu , Yichen Qin

We design a Universal Automatic Elbow Detector (UAED) for deciding the effective number of components in model selection problems. The relationship with the information criteria widely employed in the literature is also discussed. The…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-08-22 E. Morgado , L. Martino , R. San Millan-Castillo

The expected value of information (EVI) is the most powerful measure of sensitivity to uncertainty in a decision model: it measures the potential of information to improve the decision, and hence measures the expected value of outcome.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Tom Chavez , Max Henrion

With the growing adoption of deep learning models in different real-world domains, including computational biology, it is often necessary to understand which data features are essential for the model's decision. Despite extensive recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Prashnna K Gyawali , Xiaoxia Liu , James Zou , Zihuai He

Inspired by the concept of active learning, we propose active inference$\unicode{x2013}$a methodology for statistical inference with machine-learning-assisted data collection. Assuming a budget on the number of labels that can be collected,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-09 Tijana Zrnic , Emmanuel J. Candès

Despite increasing popularity in empirical studies, the integration of machine learning generated variables into regression models for statistical inference suffers from the measurement error problem, which can bias estimation and threaten…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-23 Gordon Burtch , Edward McFowland , Mochen Yang , Gediminas Adomavicius

The Expected Normalized Calibration Error (ENCE) is a popular calibration statistic used in Machine Learning to assess the quality of prediction uncertainties for regression problems. Estimation of the ENCE is based on the binning of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Pascal Pernot

This article initiates the study of a basic question about model pruning. Given a vector $s$ of importance scores assigned to model components, how many of the scored components could be discarded without sacrificing performance? We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Yixuan Wang , Dan P. Guralnik , Saiedeh Akbari , Warren E. Dixon

Clinical prediction models are estimated using a sample of limited size from the target population, leading to uncertainty in predictions, even when the model is correctly specified. Generally, not all patient profiles are observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Doranne Thomassen , Saskia le Cessie , Hans van Houwelingen , Ewout Steyerberg

Model-based clustering integrated with variable selection is a powerful tool for uncovering latent structures within complex data. However, its effectiveness is often hindered by challenges such as identifying relevant variables that define…

In order to predict and fill in the gaps in categorical datasets, this research looked into the use of machine learning algorithms. The emphasis was on ensemble models constructed using the Error Correction Output Codes framework, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Muhammad Ishaq , Sana Zahir , Laila Iftikhar , Mohammad Farhad Bulbul , Seungmin Rho , Mi Young Lee

Machine learning models provide statistically impressive results which might be individually unreliable. To provide reliability, we propose an Epistemic Classifier (EC) that can provide justification of its belief using support from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Chitresh Bhushan , Zhaoyuan Yang , Nurali Virani , Naresh Iyer

Model selection aims to identify a sufficiently well performing model that is possibly simpler than the most complex model among a pool of candidates. However, the decision-making process itself can inadvertently introduce non-negligible…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Yann McLatchie , Aki Vehtari

We present a simple comparative framework for testing and developing uncertainty modeling in uncertain marching cubes implementations. The selection of a model to represent the probability distribution of uncertain values directly…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Robert Sisneros , Tushar M. Athawale , David Pugmire , Kenneth Moreland

Confusion matrices and derived metrics provide a comprehensive framework for the evaluation of model performance in machine learning. These are well-known and extensively employed in the supervised learning domain, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Pablo Andretta Jaskowiak , Ivan Gesteira Costa

Variable selection, also known as feature selection in machine learning, plays an important role in modeling high dimensional data and is key to data-driven scientific discoveries. We consider here the problem of detecting influential…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-24 Bo Jiang , Jun S. Liu

Estimating information-theoretic quantities such as entropy and mutual information is central to many problems in statistics and machine learning, but challenging in high dimensions. This paper presents estimators of entropy via inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Feras A. Saad , Marco Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

In cases of uncertainty, a multi-class classifier preferably returns a set of candidate classes instead of predicting a single class label with little guarantee. More precisely, the classifier should strive for an optimal balance between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Thomas Mortier , Marek Wydmuch , Krzysztof Dembczyński , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

Entity Matching (EM) is a core data cleaning task, aiming to identify different mentions of the same real-world entity. Active learning is one way to address the challenge of scarce labeled data in practice, by dynamically collecting the…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Venkata Vamsikrishna Meduri , Lucian Popa , Prithviraj Sen , Mohamed Sarwat

Deep learning approaches process data in a layer-by-layer way with intermediate (or latent) features. We aim at designing a general solution to optimize the latent manifolds to improve the performance on classification, segmentation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Yida Wang , David Joseph Tan , Nassir Navab , Federico Tombari
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