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The ability to understand causality from data is one of the major milestones of human-level intelligence. Causal Discovery (CD) algorithms can identify the cause-effect relationships among the variables of a system from related…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Uzma Hasan , Emam Hossain , Md Osman Gani

Time-series anomaly detection (TSAD) has played a vital role in a variety of fields, including healthcare, finance, and sensor-based condition monitoring. Prior methods, which mainly focus on training domain-specific models on numerical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Zelin He , Sarah Alnegheimish , Matthew Reimherr

This work presents Causal Drift Generator (CaDrift), a time-dependent synthetic data generator framework based on Structural Causal Models (SCMs). The framework produces a virtually infinite combination of data streams with controlled shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Eduardo V. L. Barboza , Jean Paul Barddal , Robert Sabourin , Rafael M. O. Cruz

Time series data often contain initial transient periods before reaching a stable state, posing challenges in analysis and interpretation. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to detect and estimate the end of the initial transient in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Leonardo Scandurra , Pavlos Alexias , Eugene de Villiers

Causal discovery from observational data is an important tool in many branches of science. Under certain assumptions it allows scientists to explain phenomena, predict, and make decisions. In the large sample limit, sound and complete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-13 Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Raanan Y. Rohekar , Gal Novik

The expanding instrumentation of processes throughout society with sensors yields a proliferation of time series data that may in turn enable important applications, e.g., related to transportation infrastructures or power grids.…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Hao Miao , Ziqiao Liu , Yan Zhao , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Kai Zheng , Christian S. Jensen

This paper introduces temporal-conditioned normalizing flows (tcNF), a novel framework that addresses anomaly detection in time series data with accurate modeling of temporal dependencies and uncertainty. By conditioning normalizing flows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 David Baumgartner , Helge Langseth , Kenth Engø-Monsen , Heri Ramampiaro

Discovering causal relationships in complex multivariate time series is a fundamental scientific challenge. Traditional methods often falter, either by relying on restrictive linear assumptions or on conditional independence tests that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Gian Marco Paldino , Gianluca Bontempi

In the last fifteen years, data series motif and discord discovery have emerged as two useful and well-used primitives for data series mining, with applications to many domains, including robotics, entomology, seismology, medicine, and…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Michele Linardi , Yan Zhu , Themis Palpanas , Eamonn Keogh

Complex systems with intricate causal dependencies challenge accurate prediction. Effective modeling requires precise physical process representation, integration of interdependent factors, and incorporation of multi-resolution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Xuechun Li , Shan Gao , Susu Xu

Learning causal relationships from time series data is an important but challenging problem. Existing synthetic datasets often contain hidden artifacts that can be exploited by causal discovery methods, reducing their usefulness for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Xiaoyu He , Petr Ryšavý , Jakub Mareček

While feedback loops are known to play important roles in many complex systems, their existence is ignored in a large part of the causal discovery literature, as systems are typically assumed to be acyclic from the outset. When applying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Joris M. Mooij , Tom Claassen

Our goal is to estimate causal interactions in multivariate time series. Using vector autoregressive (VAR) models, these can be defined based on non-vanishing coefficients belonging to respective time-lagged instances. As in most cases a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-13 Stefan Haufe , Guido Nolte , Klaus-Robert Mueller , Nicole Kraemer

Causal Discovery (CD) is a powerful framework for scientific inquiry. Yet, its practical adoption is hindered by a reliance on strong, often unverifiable assumptions and a lack of robust performance assessment. To address these limitations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Gideon Stein , Niklas Penzel , Tristan Piater , Joachim Denzler

We introduce an approach which allows detecting causal relationships between variables for which the time evolution is available. Causality is assessed by a variational scheme based on the Information Imbalance of distance ranks, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-07 Vittorio Del Tatto , Gianfranco Fortunato , Domenica Bueti , Alessandro Laio

We propose a novel framework that leverages LLMs for full causal graph discovery. While previous LLM-based methods have used a pairwise query approach, this requires a quadratic number of queries which quickly becomes impractical for larger…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Thomas Jiralerspong , Xiaoyin Chen , Yash More , Vedant Shah , Yoshua Bengio

The role of data in building AI systems has recently been emphasized by the emerging concept of data-centric AI. Unfortunately, in the real-world, datasets may contain dirty samples, such as poisoned samples from backdoor attack, noisy…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Zihao Zhu , Mingda Zhang , Shaokui Wei , Bingzhe Wu , Baoyuan Wu

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

Video captioning is a critical task in the field of multimodal machine learning, aiming to generate descriptive and coherent textual narratives for video content. While large vision-language models (LVLMs) have shown significant progress,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Ji-jun Park , Soo-joon Choi

Large Language Models (LLMs) and their multimodal variants (LVLMs) hold immense promise for scientific and engineering applications, particularly in processing visual information like scientific diagrams. However, their practical deployment…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Minghao Zhou , Rafael Souza , Yaqian Hu , Luming Che