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This paper establishes a rigorous measurement science for AI agent reliability, providing a foundational framework for quantifying consistency under semantically preserving perturbations. By leveraging $U$-statistics for output-level…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Harsh Raj , Niranjan Orkat , Suvrorup Mukherjee , Aritra Guha , Cheryl Flynn , Subhabrata Majumdar

AI agents dynamically acquire tools, orchestrate sub-agents, and transact across organizational boundaries, yet no existing security layer verifies what an agent can do, whether it executed what it claims, or what happened in a multi-agent…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Ziling Zhou

Edge artificial intelligence (AI) will be a central part of 6G, with powerful edge servers supporting devices in performing machine learning (ML) inference. However, it is challenging to deliver the latency and accuracy guarantees required…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Anders E. Kalør , Tomoaki Ohtsuki

AI agents are rapidly advancing from passive language models to autonomous systems executing complex, multi-step tasks. Yet their overconfidence in failure remains a fundamental barrier to deployment in high-stakes settings. Existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Jiaxin Zhang , Caiming Xiong , Chien-Sheng Wu

Science and technology have a growing need for effective mechanisms that ensure reliable, controlled performance from black-box machine learning algorithms. These performance guarantees should ideally hold conditionally on the input-that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Vincent Blot , Anastasios N Angelopoulos , Michael I Jordan , Nicolas J-B Brunel

A cornerstone of machine learning evaluation is the (often hidden) assumption that model and human responses are reliable enough to evaluate models against unitary, authoritative, ``gold standard'' data, via simple metrics such as accuracy,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Christopher Homan , Flip Korn , Deepak Pandita , Chris Welty

Context: ChatGPT and other large language models (LLMs) are widely used across healthcare, business, economics, engineering, and software engineering (SE). Despite their popularity, concerns persist about their reliability, especially their…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Vahid Garousi

Constructing valid confidence sets is a crucial task in statistical inference, yet traditional methods often face challenges when dealing with complex models or limited observed sample sizes. These challenges are frequently encountered in…

Black-box machine learning models are now routinely used in high-risk settings, like medical diagnostics, which demand uncertainty quantification to avoid consequential model failures. Conformal prediction is a user-friendly paradigm for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates

In the context of Visual Question Answering (VQA) and Agentic AI, calibration refers to how closely an AI system's confidence in its answers reflects their actual correctness. This aspect becomes especially important when such systems…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Ayush Pandey , Jai Bardhan , Ishita Jain , Ramya S Hebbalaguppe , Rohan Raju Dhanakshirur , Lovekesh Vig

Existing benchmarks for tool-using LLM agents primarily report single-run success rates and miss reliability properties required in production. We introduce \textbf{ReliabilityBench}, a benchmark for evaluating agent reliability across…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Aayush Gupta

User-configured chatbots built on top of large language models are increasingly available through centralized marketplaces such as OpenAI's GPT Store. While these platforms enforce usage policies intended to prevent harmful or inappropriate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-22 David Rodriguez , William Seymour , Jose M. Del Alamo , Jose Such

Estimating uncertainty or confidence in the responses of a model can be significant in evaluating trust not only in the responses, but also in the model as a whole. In this paper, we explore the problem of estimating confidence for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Tejaswini Pedapati , Amit Dhurandhar , Soumya Ghosh , Soham Dan , Prasanna Sattigeri

Generative AI (Gen AI) with large language models (LLMs) are being widely adopted across the industry, academia and government. Cybersecurity is one of the key sectors where LLMs can be and/or are already being used. There are a number of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Aditya Patwardhan , Vivek Vaidya , Ashish Kundu

Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrate remarkable performance in semantic understanding and generation, yet accurately assessing their output reliability remains a significant challenge. While numerous studies have explored calibration…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Liangru Xie , Hui Liu , Jingying Zeng , Xianfeng Tang , Yan Han , Chen Luo , Jing Huang , Zhen Li , Suhang Wang , Qi He

The most cited calibration result in deep learning -- post-temperature-scaling ECE of 0.012 on CIFAR-100 (Guo et al., 2017) -- is below the statistical noise floor. We prove this is not a failure of the experiment but a law: the minimax…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Jason Z Wang

With widespread adoption of AI models for important decision making, ensuring reliability of such models remains an important challenge. In this paper, we present an end-to-end generic framework for testing AI Models which performs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Aniya Aggarwal , Samiulla Shaikh , Sandeep Hans , Swastik Haldar , Rema Ananthanarayanan , Diptikalyan Saha

The rapid integration of AI algorithms in safety-critical applications such as autonomous driving and healthcare is raising significant concerns about the ability to meet stringent safety standards. Traditional tools for formal safety…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Oliver Schön , Zhengang Zhong , Sadegh Soudjani

AI-powered systems have gained widespread popularity in various domains, including Autonomous Vehicles (AVs). However, ensuring their reliability and safety is challenging due to their complex nature. Conventional test adequacy metrics,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Neelofar Neelofar , Aldeida Aleti

Large Language Models demonstrate remarkable capabilities yet remain fundamentally probabilistic, presenting critical reliability challenges for enterprise deployment. We introduce the Six Sigma Agent, a novel architecture that achieves…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Khush Patel , Siva Surendira , Jithin George , Shreyas Kapale