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Estimating the impact of continuous treatment variables (e.g., dosage amount) on binary outcomes presents significant challenges in modeling and estimation because many existing approaches make strong assumptions that do not hold for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Muyan Jiang , Yunkai Zhang , Anil Aswani

We introduce a general approach for modeling the dynamic of multivariate time series when the data are of mixed type (binary/count/continuous). Our method is quite flexible and conditionally on past values, each coordinate at time $t$ can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-05 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet

The use of deep neural networks to make high risk decisions creates a need for global and local explanations so that users and experts have confidence in the modeling algorithms. We introduce a novel technique to find global and local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Xochitl Watts , Freddy Lecue

Many medical decisions involve the use of dynamic information collected on individual patients toward predicting likely transitions in their future health status. If accurate predictions are developed, then a prognostic mode can identify…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-22 Aasthaa Bansal , Patrick J. Heagerty

A central task in the analysis of human movement behavior is to determine systematic patterns and differences across experimental conditions, participants and repetitions. This is possible because human movement is highly regular, being…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-23 Lars Lau Raket , Britta Grimme , Gregor Schöner , Christian Igel , Bo Markussen

This paper develops computationally feasible methods for estimating random effects models in the context of regression modelling of multiple independent time series of discrete valued counts in which there is serial dependence. Given…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-10 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , C. McKendry , R. T. Dean

The objective is to model longitudinal and survival data jointly taking into account the dependence between the two responses in a real HIV/AIDS dataset using a shared parameter approach inside a Bayesian framework. We propose a linear…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-02 Rui Martins

In time-to-event analyses in social sciences, there often exist endogenous time-varying variables, where the event status is correlated with the trajectory of the covariate itself. Ignoring this endogeneity will result in biased estimates.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-28 Sophie Potts , Anja Rappl , Karin Kurz , Elisabeth Bergherr

Individual-specific, time-constant, random effects are often used to model dependence and/or to account for omitted covariates in regression models for longitudinal responses. Longitudinal studies have known a huge and widespread use in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Marco Alfo' , Roberto Rocci

Joint models for a wide class of response variables and longitudinal measurements consist on a mixed-effects model to fit longitudinal trajectories whose random effects enter as covariates in a generalized linear model for the primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-03 Rolando De la Cruz , Cristian Meza , Ana Arribas-Gil , Raymond J. Carroll

Investigating the relationship, particularly the lead-lag effect, between time series is a common question across various disciplines, especially when uncovering biological process. However, analyzing time series presents several…

Interventional effects have been proposed as a solution to the unidentifiability of natural (in)direct effects under mediator-outcome confounders affected by the exposure. Such confounders are an intrinsic characteristic of studies with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-30 Iván Díaz , Nicholas Williams , Kara E. Rudolph

Recent advancements have underscored the impact of deep learning techniques on multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). Generally, these techniques are bifurcated into two categories: Channel-independence and Channel-mixing approaches.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Shiyi Qi , Liangjian Wen , Yiduo Li , Yuanhang Yang , Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in practical studies, e.g., forecasting, modelling policy transmission mechanism, and measuring connection of economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper introduces a new…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-02 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

Recently, time series classification has attracted the attention of a large number of researchers, and hundreds of methods have been proposed. However, these methods often ignore the spatial correlations among dimensions and the local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Mingsen Du , Yanxuan Wei , Xiangwei Zheng , Cun Ji

We propose a Bayesian latent variable model to estimate covariate-assisted dependence structures across multiple modalities of multivariate data that may be observed asynchronously. This setting commonly arises in longitudinal biomedical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Kun Qian , Hyung G. Park

Many economic variables feature changes in their conditional mean and volatility, and Time Varying Vector Autoregressive Models are often used to handle such complexity in the data. Unfortunately, when the number of series grows, they…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 G. Cubadda , S. Grassi , B. Guardabascio

Estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects is an active area of research. Most of the existing methods, however, focus on estimating the conditional average treatment effects of a single, binary treatment given a set of pre-treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-30 Max Goplerud , Kosuke Imai , Nicole E. Pashley

While studying response trajectory, often the population of interest may be diverse enough to exist distinct subgroups within it and the longitudinal change in response may not be uniform in these subgroups. That is, the timeslope and/or…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Madan Gopal Kundu , Jaroslaw Harezlak

Estimating the effect of a treatment on a given outcome, conditioned on a vector of covariates, is central in many applications. However, learning the impact of a treatment on a continuous temporal response, when the covariates suffer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Guangyi Zhang , Reza Ashrafi , Anne Juuti , Kirsi Pietiläinen , Pekka Marttinen
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