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Correlations between anomalous activity patterns can yield pertinent information about complex social processes: a significant deviation from normal behavior, exhibited simultaneously by multiple pairs of actors, provides evidence for some…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-11-19 Aaron Schein , Juston Moore , Hanna Wallach

The joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is an active area of statistics research that has received a lot of attention in the recent years. More recently, a new and attractive application of this type of models has been to…

A delay between the occurrence and the reporting of events often has practical implications such as for the amount of capital to hold for insurance companies, or for taking preventive actions in case of infectious diseases. The accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-24 Roel Verbelen , Katrien Antonio , Gerda Claeskens , Jonas Crevecoeur

Empirical temporal networks display strong heterogeneities in their dynamics, which profoundly affect processes taking place on these networks, such as rumor and epidemic spreading. Despite the recent wealth of data on temporal networks,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-13 Christian L. Vestergaard , Mathieu Génois , Alain Barrat

Burstiness, the tendency of interaction events to be heterogeneously distributed in time, is critical to information diffusion in physical and social systems. However, an analytical framework capturing the effect of burstiness on generic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-14 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , James P. Gleeson , Márton Karsai

Recurrent event analyses have found a wide range of applications in biomedicine, public health, and engineering, among others, where study subjects may experience a sequence of event of interest during follow-up. The R package reReg (Chiou…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-23 Sy Han Chiou , Gongjun Xu , Jun Yan , Chiung-Yu Huang

A variety of real-world processes (over networks) produce sequences of data whose complex temporal dynamics need to be studied. More especially, the event timestamps can carry important information about the underlying network dynamics,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-27 Shuai Xiao , Junchi Yan , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Le Song , Xiaokang Yang , Hongyuan Zha

Memory imprints of the significance of relationships are constantly evolving. They are boosted by social interactions among people involved in relationships, and decay between such events, causing the relationships to change. Despite the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-02-02 James Flamino , Ross DeVito , Omar Lizardo , Boleslaw K. Szymanski

Dynamic prediction of future clinical outcomes based on longitudinally measured predictors plays a crucial role in disease management and patient counseling, particularly when conventional static models are inadequate. Joint modeling of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Wenhao Li , Shikun Wang , Zhe Yin , Brad C. Astor , Wei Yang , Tom H. Greene , Liang Li

Dynamic prediction of time-to-event outcomes using longitudinal data is highly useful in clinical research and practice. A common strategy is the joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data. The shared random effect model has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Wenhao Li , Zhe Yin , Liang Li

We conduct a review to assess how the simulation of repeated or recurrent events are planned. For such multivariate time-to-events, it is well established that the underlying mechanism is likely to be complex and to involve in particular…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-20 Juliette Pénichoux , Thierry Moreau , Aurélien Latouche

We consider event-driven clinical trials, where the analysis is performed once a pre-determined number of clinical events has been reached. For example, these events could be progression in oncology or a stroke in cardiovascular trials. At…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-23 Vladimir Anisimov , Stephen Gormley , Rosalind Baverstock , Cynthia Kineza

The focus of this paper is an approach to the modeling of longitudinal social network or relational data. Such data arise from measurements on pairs of objects or actors made at regular temporal intervals, resulting in a social network for…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-18 Anton H. Westveld , Peter D. Hoff

Krivitsky and Handcock (2014) proposed a Separable Temporal ERGM (STERGM) framework for modeling social networks, which facilitates separable modeling of the tie duration distributions and the structural dynamics of tie formation. In this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Pavel N. Krivitsky

We propose a constructive approach to building temporal point processes that incorporate dependence on their history. The dependence is modeled through the conditional density of the duration, i.e., the interval between successive event…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

This paper investigates models of event implications. Specifically, how well models predict entity state-changes, by targeting their understanding of physical attributes. Nominally, Large Language models (LLM) have been exposed to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-11 Evangelia Spiliopoulou , Artidoro Pagnoni , Yonatan Bisk , Eduard Hovy

The explosion of digital information and the growing involvement of people in social networks led to enormous research activity to develop methods that can extract meaningful information from interaction data. Commonly, interactions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Tony Gracious , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Dynamical behaviors of complex interacting systems, including brain activities, financial price movements, and physical collective phenomena, are associated with underlying interactions between the system's components. The issue of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Shuhan Zheng , Ziqiang Li , Kantaro Fujiwara , Gouhei Tanaka

We are now witnessing the increasing availability of event stream data, i.e., a sequence of events with each event typically being denoted by the time it occurs and its mark information (e.g., event type). A fundamental problem is to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-12 Yongqing Wang , Shenghua Liu , Huawei Shen , Xueqi Cheng

Temporal and causal relations play an important role in determining the dependencies between events. Classifying the temporal and causal relations between events has many applications, such as generating event timelines, event…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Kritika Venkatachalam , Raghava Mutharaju , Sumit Bhatia