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We present a methodology for predictable and safe covariance steering control of uncertain nonlinear stochastic processes. The systems under consideration are subject to general uncertainties, which include unbounded random disturbances…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-08 Aditya Gahlawat , Vivek Khatana , Duo Wang , Sambhu H. Karumanchi , Naira Hovakimyan , Petros Voulgaris

Asset Liability Management (ALM) represents a fundamental challenge for financial institutions, particularly pension funds, which must navigate the tension between generating competitive investment returns and ensuring the solvency of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-10 Alireza Ghahtarani , Ahmed Saif , Alireza Ghasemi

We consider settings in which the distribution of a multivariate random variable is partly ambiguous. We assume the ambiguity lies on the level of the dependence structure, and that the marginal distributions are known. Furthermore, a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-27 Stephan Eckstein , Michael Kupper , Mathias Pohl

We present a provably safe sampling-based motion planning algorithm for robotic systems affected by random disturbances of unknown distribution. We consider systems with linear or linearizable dynamics evolving in workspace with…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Ibon Gracia , Qi Heng Ho , Luca Laurenti , Morteza Lahijanian

We develop Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) formulations for Multivariate Linear Regression (MLR) and Multiclass Logistic Regression (MLG) when both the covariates and responses/labels may be contaminated by outliers. The DRO…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Ruidi Chen , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

In many real-world applications, ensuring the robustness and stability of deep neural networks (DNNs) is crucial, particularly for image classification tasks that encounter various input perturbations. While data augmentation techniques…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-26 Jiaming Hu , Debarghya Mukherjee , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

This work revisits optimal response-adaptive designs from a type-I error rate perspective, highlighting when and how much these allocations exacerbate type-I error rate inflation - an issue previously undocumented. We explore a range of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Lukas Pin , Sofía S. Villar , William F. Rosenberger

In this paper, a risk-aware motion control scheme is considered for mobile robots to avoid randomly moving obstacles when the true probability distribution of uncertainty is unknown. We propose a novel model predictive control (MPC) method…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

Distributionally-robust optimization is often studied for a fixed set of distributions rather than time-varying distributions that can drift significantly over time (which is, for instance, the case in finance and sociology due to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Iman Shames , Farhad Farokhi

A data-driven MPC scheme is proposed to safely control constrained stochastic linear systems using distributionally robust optimization. Distributionally robust constraints based on the Wasserstein metric are imposed to bound the state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Zhengang Zhong , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona , Panagiotis Petsagkourakis

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization offers a framework for model fitting in machine learning under potential shifts in the data distribution. We study a regularized variant of this problem in which entropic smoothing produces a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Tam Le

The performance of machine learning (ML) models critically depends on the quality and representativeness of the training data. In applications with multiple heterogeneous data generating sources, standard ML methods often learn spurious…

This paper presents a new variational data assimilation (VDA) approach for the formal treatment of bias in both model outputs and observations. This approach relies on the Wasserstein metric stemming from the theory of optimal mass…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Sagar K. Tamang , Ardeshir Ebtehaj , Dongmian Zou , Gilad Lerman

This paper expands the notion of robust moment problems to incorporate distributional ambiguity using Wasserstein distance as the ambiguity measure. The classical Chebyshev-Cantelli (zeroth partial moment) inequalities, Scarf and Lo (first…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Derek Singh , Shuzhong Zhang

We present a distribution optimization framework that significantly improves confidence bounds for various risk measures compared to previous methods. Our framework encompasses popular risk measures such as the entropic risk measure,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Hao Liang , Zhi-quan Luo

Stochastic programming is often challenged by epistemic uncertainty, where critical probability distributions are poorly characterized or unknown due to a lack of data. To address this, we pioneer a novel framework for stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Shixin Liu , Ming Gao , Jian Hu

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient optimization algorithm widely employed across various applications. In some challenging BO tasks, input uncertainty arises due to the inevitable randomness in the optimization process, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Lin Yang , Junlong Lyu , Wenlong Lyu , Zhitang Chen

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has gained prominence in operations research and machine learning as a powerful method for achieving solutions with favorable out-of-sample performance. Two compelling explanations for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Qinyu Wu , Jonathan Yu-Meng Li , Tiantian Mao

Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization, a cornerstone for building robust machine learning models capable of handling data diverging from the training set's distribution, is an ongoing challenge in deep learning. While significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Sergey Kolesnikov

Deep neural networks achieve superior performance in semantic segmentation, but are limited to a predefined set of classes, which leads to failures when they encounter unknown objects in open-world scenarios. Recognizing and segmenting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Arnold Brosch , Abdelrahman Eldesokey , Michael Felsberg , Kira Maag
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