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Foundational modelling of multi-dimensional time-series data in industrial systems presents a central trade-off: channel-dependent (CD) models capture specific cross-variable dynamics but lack robustness and adaptability as model layers are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Michael Mayr , Georgios C. Chasparis

The drift diffusion model (DDM) is a model of sequential sampling with diffusion (Brownian) signals, where the decision maker accumulates evidence until the process hits a stopping boundary, and then stops and chooses the alternative that…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-12 Drew Fudenberg , Whitney K. Newey , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

The amount of real-time communication between agents in an information system has increased rapidly since the beginning of the decade. This is because the use of these systems, e. g. social media, has become commonplace in today's society.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Christoph Raab , Moritz Heusinger , Frank-Michael Schleif

Causal inference in spatio-temporal settings is critically hindered by unmeasured confounders with complex spatio-temporal dynamics and the prevalence of multi-resolution data. While diffusion models present a promising avenue for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-07 Xinwen Liu , Lei Qian , Song Xi Chen , Niansheng Tang

Generative modeling can be formulated as learning a mapping f such that its pushforward distribution matches the data distribution. The pushforward behavior can be carried out iteratively at inference time, for example in diffusion and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Mingyang Deng , He Li , Tianhong Li , Yilun Du , Kaiming He

Multi-Source Diffusion Models (MSDM) allow for compositional musical generation tasks: generating a set of coherent sources, creating accompaniments, and performing source separation. Despite their versatility, they require estimating the…

Sound · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Emilian Postolache , Giorgio Mariani , Luca Cosmo , Emmanouil Benetos , Emanuele Rodolà

The following work addresses the problem of frameworks for data stream processing that can be used to evaluate the solutions in an environment that resembles real-world applications. The definition of structured frameworks stems from a need…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Joanna Komorniczak , Paweł Ksieniewicz , Paweł Zyblewski

Machine learning approaches commonly rely on the assumption of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) data. In reality, however, this assumption is almost always violated due to distribution shifts between environments. Although…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Ronan Perry , Julius von Kügelgen , Bernhard Schölkopf

We provide a theoretical analysis for end-to-end training Discrete Flow Matching (DFM) generative models. DFM is a promising discrete generative modeling framework that learns the underlying generative dynamics by training a neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Maojiang Su , Mingcheng Lu , Jerry Yao-Chieh Hu , Shang Wu , Zhao Song , Alex Reneau , Han Liu

In this paper, we focus on estimating the causal effect of an intervention over time on a dynamical system. To that end, we formally define causal interventions and their effects over time on discrete-time stochastic processes (DSPs). Then,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Martina Cinquini , Isacco Beretta , Salvatore Ruggieri , Isabel Valera

The notion of drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time. Albeit many attempts were made to deal with drift, formal notions of drift are application-dependent and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Fabian Hinder , André Artelt , Barbara Hammer

A novel continuous-time framework is proposed for modeling neuromorphic image sensors in the form of an initial canonical representation with analytical tractability. Exact simulation algorithms are developed in parallel with closed-form…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-04 Aaron J. Hendrickson , David P. Haefner

Many data-driven modules in smart grid rely on access to high-quality power flow data; however, real-world data are often limited due to privacy and operational constraints. This paper presents a physics-informed generative framework based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Junfei Wang , Darshana Upadhyay , Marzia Zaman , Pirathayini Srikantha

Generating temporal data under conditions is crucial for forecasting, imputation, and generative tasks. Such data often has metadata and partially observed signals that jointly influence the generated values. However, existing methods face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Aditya Shankar , Lydia Y. Chen , Arie van Deursen , Rihan Hai

Irregular multivariate time series impose a trade-off for long-horizon forecasting: discrete methods can distort temporal structure via re-gridding, while continuous-time models often require sequential solvers prone to drift. To bridge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Zinuo You , Jin Zheng , John Cartlidge

We introduce a theory of sequential causal inference in which learners in a chain estimate a structural model from their upstream teacher and then pass samples from the model to their downstream student. It extends the population dynamics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-28 James P. Crutchfield , Sean Whalen

As autonomous driving technology matures, safety and robustness of its key components, including trajectory prediction, is vital. Though real-world datasets, such as Waymo Open Motion, provide realistic recorded scenarios for model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Benjamin Stoler , Ingrid Navarro , Meghdeep Jana , Soonmin Hwang , Jonathan Francis , Jean Oh

In Continual Learning (CL) contexts, concept drift typically refers to the analysis of changes in data distribution. A drift in the input data can have negative consequences on a learning predictor and the system's stability. The majority…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Sebastian Basterrech

Estimating causal effects from observational data requires identifying valid adjustment sets. This task is especially challenging in realistic settings where latent confounding and feedback loops are present. Existing approaches typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Ana Leticia Garcez Vicente , Gijs van Seeventer , Saber Salehkaleybar

Feature selection is fundamental to robust data-centric AI, but most existing methods optimize predictive performance under a single data distribution. This often selects spurious features that fail under distribution shifts. Motivated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Arun Vignesh Malarkkan , Xinyuan Wang , Kunpeng Liu , Denghui Zhang , Yanjie Fu