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Related papers: CaDrift: A Time-dependent Causal Generator of Drif…

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Causal discovery aims to extract qualitative causal knowledge in the form of causal graphs from data. Because causal ground truth is rarely known in the real world, simulated data plays a vital role in evaluating the performance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Rebecca J. Herman , Jonas Wahl , Urmi Ninad , Jakob Runge

We study a specific type of SCM, called a Dynamic Structural Causal Model (DSCM), whose endogenous variables represent functions of time, which is possibly cyclic and allows for latent confounding. As a motivating use-case, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Philip Boeken , Joris M. Mooij

Understanding directed temporal interactions in multivariate time series is essential for interpreting complex dynamical systems and the predictive models trained on them. We present Causal-INSIGHT, a model-agnostic, post-hoc interpretation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Benjamin Redden , Hui Wang , Shuyan Li

Data stream mining aims at extracting meaningful knowledge from continually evolving data streams, addressing the challenges posed by nonstationary environments, particularly, concept drift which refers to a change in the underlying data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Kleanthis Malialis , Jin Li , Christos G. Panayiotou , Marios M. Polycarpou

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

Discovering causal relationships in complex multivariate time series is a fundamental scientific challenge. Traditional methods often falter, either by relying on restrictive linear assumptions or on conditional independence tests that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Gian Marco Paldino , Gianluca Bontempi

Time-series forecasting increasingly demands not only accurate observational predictions but also causal forecasting under interventional and counterfactual queries in multivariate systems. We present DoFlow, a flow-based generative model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Dongze Wu , Feng Qiu , Yao Xie

Time-series data is widely studied in various scenarios, like weather forecast, stock market, customer behavior analysis. To comprehensively learn about the dynamic environments, it is necessary to comprehend features from multiple data…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Xumeng Wang , Wei Chen , Jiazhi Xia , Zexian Chen , Dongshi Xu , Xiangyang Wu , Mingliang Xu , Tobias Schreck

Concept drift is a phenomenon in which the distribution of a data stream changes over time in unforeseen ways, causing prediction models built on historical data to become inaccurate. While a variety of automated methods have been developed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Weikai Yang , Zhen Li , Mengchen Liu , Yafeng Lu , Kelei Cao , Ross Maciejewski , Shixia Liu

Data-driven deep learning models have enabled tremendous progress in change detection (CD) with the support of pixel-level annotations. However, collecting diverse data and manually annotating them is costly, laborious, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Qi Zang , Jiayi Yang , Shuang Wang , Dong Zhao , Wenjun Yi , Zhun Zhong

Time series generation is widely used in real-world applications such as simulation, data augmentation, and hypothesis testing. Recently, diffusion models have emerged as the de facto approach to time series generation, enabling diverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Jinseong Park , Seungyun Lee , Woojin Jeong , Yujin Choi , Jaewook Lee

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

Distribution-free prediction sets play a pivotal role in uncertainty quantification for complex statistical models. Their validity hinges on reliable calibration data, which may not be readily available as real-world environments often…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Elise Han , Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

Although many AI applications of interest require specialized multi-modal models, relevant data to train such models is inherently scarce or inaccessible. Filling these gaps with human annotators is prohibitively expensive, error-prone, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Tim R. Davidson , Benoit Seguin , Enrico Bacis , Cesar Ilharco , Hamza Harkous

Robust causal discovery in time series datasets depends on reliable benchmark datasets with known ground-truth causal relationships. However, such datasets remain scarce, and existing synthetic alternatives often overlook critical temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Muhammad Hasan Ferdous , Emam Hossain , Md Osman Gani

Systems and individuals produce data continuously. On the Internet, people share their knowledge, sentiments, and opinions, provide reviews about services and products, and so on. Automatically learning from these textual data can provide…

Many real-world applications adopt multi-label data streams as the need for algorithms to deal with rapidly changing data increases. Changes in data distribution, also known as concept drift, cause the existing classification models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Ege Berkay Gulcan , Fazli Can

Most predictive models assume that training and test data are generated from a stationary process. However, this assumption does not hold true in practice. In this paper, we consider the scenario of a gradual concept drift due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Subhro Das , Prasanth Lade , Soundar Srinivasan

Time-series causal discovery (TSCD) is a fundamental problem of machine learning. However, existing synthetic datasets cannot properly evaluate or predict the algorithms' performance on real data. This study introduces the CausalTime…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Yuxiao Cheng , Ziqian Wang , Tingxiong Xiao , Qin Zhong , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He

Model quantization, which aims to compress deep neural networks and accelerate inference speed, has greatly facilitated the development of cumbersome models on mobile and edge devices. There is a common assumption in quantization methods…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Yuzhang Shang , Bingxin Xu , Gaowen Liu , Ramana Kompella , Yan Yan
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