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An extended theoretical approach is proposed to predict the average power of wind turbines in a large finite-size wind farm. The approach is based on the two-scale momentum theory proposed recently for the modelling of ideal very large wind…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-12 Takafumi Nishino

Monitoring high-dimensional engineering structures in extreme environments is limited by non-stationary excitation, nonlinear structural kinematics, and stochastic forcing. Traditional model-based and black-box data-driven methods often…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Mohammad Mahdi Abaei , Ahmad BahooToroody , Arttu Polojärvi , Heikki Remes , Ulf Tyge Tygesen , Mikko Suominen , Michael Beer

With the rapid development of green energy, the efficiency and reliability of wind turbines are key to sustainable renewable energy production. For that reason, this paper presents a novel intelligent system architecture designed for the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Serhii Svystun , Oleksandr Melnychenko , Pavlo Radiuk , Oleg Savenko , Andrii Lysyi

In this paper, the time dynamics of the daily means of wind speed measured in complex mountainous regions are investigated. For 293 measuring stations distributed over all Switzerland, the Fisher information measure and the Shannon entropy…

Wind turbines operating within wind farms experience complex aerodynamic loading arising from the interplay between wake-induced velocity deficits, enhanced turbulence, and varying operational conditions. Understanding the relationship…

The prediction of wind speed is very important when dealing with the production of energy through wind turbines. In this paper, we show a new nonparametric model, based on semi-Markov chains, to predict wind speed. Particularly we use an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-12-16 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

We propose a framework employing stochastic differential equations to facilitate the long-term stability analysis of power grids with intermittent wind power generations. This framework takes into account the discrete dynamics which play a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Xiaozhe Wang , Tao Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu

In this paper we explore a covariance spectral modelling strategy for spatial-temporal processes which involves a spectral approach for time but a covariance approach for space.It facilitates the analysis of coherence between the temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-17 A. M. Mosammam , J. T. Kent

In this article we present an approach that enables joint wind speed and wind power forecasts for a wind park. We combine a multivariate seasonal time varying threshold autoregressive moving average (TVARMA) model with a power threshold…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-03 Florian Ziel , Carsten Croonenbroeck , Daniel Ambach

We develop a spatio-temporal model to forecast sensor output at five locations in North East England. The signal is described using coupled dynamic linear models, with spatial effects specified by a Gaussian process. Data streams are…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-15 Yingying Lai , Andrew Golightly , Richard Boys

The aim of this study is to provide a probabilistic gust analysis for the region of Germany that is calibrated with station observations and with an interpolation to unobserved locations. To this end, we develop a spatial Bayesian…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-04 Philipp Ertz , Petra Friederichs

Modern and future high precision pointing space missions face increasingly high challenges related to the widespread use of large flexible structures. The development of new modeling tools which are able to account for the multidisciplinary…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-06 Antonio Finozzi , Francesco Sanfedino , Daniel Alazard

As an important clean and renewable kind of energy, wind power plays an important role in coping with energy crisis and environmental pollution. However, the volatility and intermittency of wind speed restrict the development of wind power.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Haojian Huang

The increasing interest in renewable energy, particularly in wind, has given rise to the necessity of accurate models for the generation of good synthetic wind speed data. Markov chains are often used with this purpose but better models are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-09-10 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

This paper presents a computationally efficient, linearised numerical method for modelling aerodynamic interactions between wind farms. The linearised two-dimensional incompressible equations are solved using Fourier transforms in the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-07 Alexia Everley , Hossein A. Kafiabad , Majid Bastankhah

Lifecycle assessment of wind turbines is essential to improve their design and to optimum maintenance plans for preventing failures during the design life. A critical element of wind turbines is the composite blade due to uncertain cyclic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-17 Chizhi Zhang , Hua-Peng Chen

Long-horizon vessel trajectory forecasting under real ocean conditions is critical for collision avoidance, traffic management, and route planning. However, achieving accurate predictions is challenging due to long-range temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ganeshaaraj Gnanavel , Tharindu Fernando , Sridha Sridharan , Clinton Fookes

In the present paper we present a surrogate model, which can be used to estimate extreme tower loads on a wind turbine from a number of signals and a suitable simulation tool. Due to the requirements of the International Electrotechnical…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-04 Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Victor Rohde

Aggregated stochastic characteristics of geographically distributed wind generation will provide valuable information for secured and economical system operation in electricity markets. This paper focuses on the uncertainty set prediction…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-08 Xiaopeng Li , Jiang Wu , Zhanbo Xu , Kun Liu , Jun Yu , Xiaohong Guan

Ocean wave climate has a significant impact on near-shore and off-shore human activities, and its characterisation can help in the design of ocean structures such as wave energy converters and sea dikes. Therefore, engineers need long time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-27 Said Obakrim , Valérie Monbet , Nicolas Raillard , Pierre Ailliot