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In cargo logistics, a key performance measure is transport risk, defined as the deviation of the actual arrival time from the planned arrival time. Neither earliness nor tardiness is desirable for customer and freight forwarders. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-22 Yan Shang , David B. Dunson , Jing-Sheng Song

Urban transportation systems grow over time as city populations grow and move and their transportation needs evolve. Typical network growth models, such as preferential attachment, grow the network node by node whereas rail and metro…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-02-16 Daniel E. Whitney

We present a generative model of human mobility in which trajectories arise as realizations of a prescribed, time-dependent Markov dynamics defined on a spatial interaction network. The model constructs a hierarchical routing structure with…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-12 David A. Meyer , Asif Shakeel

We address two shortcomings in online travel time estimation methods for congested urban traffic. The first shortcoming is related to the determination of the number of mixture modes, which can change dynamically, within day and from day to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-14 Saif Eddin Jabari , Nikolaos M. Freris , Deepthi Mary Dilip

Public transportation systems play a crucial role in daily commutes, business operations, and leisure activities, emphasizing the need for effective management to meet public demands. One approach to achieve this goal is by predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Ali Behroozi , Ali Edrisi

Sociotechnological and geospatial processes exhibit time varying structure that make insight discovery challenging. To detect abnormal moments in these processes, a definition of `normal' must be established. This paper proposes a new…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-15 Jace Robinson , Derek Doran

Critical incident stages identification and reasonable prediction of traffic incident duration are essential in traffic incident management. In this paper, we propose a traffic incident duration prediction model that simultaneously predicts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Kaiqun Fu , Taoran Ji , Liang Zhao , Chang-Tien Lu

Many network analysis and graph learning techniques are based on models of random walks which require to infer transition matrices that formalize the underlying stochastic process in an observed graph. For weighted graphs, it is common to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-28 Vincenzo Perri , Luka V. Petrović , Ingo Scholtes

Network structures in a wide array of systems such as social networks, transportation, power and water distribution infrastructures, and biological and ecological systems can exhibit critical thresholds or tipping points beyond which there…

We generalize a wide class of time-continuous microscopic traffic models to include essential aspects of driver behaviour not captured by these models. Specifically, we consider (i) finite reaction times, (ii) estimation errors, (iii)…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Martin Treiber , Arne Kesting , Dirk Helbing

Changes in the timescales at which complex systems evolve are essential to predicting critical transitions and catastrophic failures. Disentangling the timescales of the dynamics governing complex systems remains a key challenge. With this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Giona Casiraghi , Georges Andres

Disruptions to transportation networks are inevitable. Currently, most mandated development-related transportation planning is intended to prepare for frequently occurring and observable disruptions while low probability events that have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-11 Margaret Kurth , William Kozlowski , Alexander Ganin , Avi Mersky , Billy Leung , Maksim Kitsak , Igor Linkov

Reliable platforms for data collation during airline schedule operations have significantly increased the quality and quantity of available information for effectively managing airline schedule disruptions. To that effect, this paper…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-17 Kolawole Ogunsina , Ilias Bilionis , Daniel DeLaurentis

This thesis proposes mathematical traffic models and control laws for metro lines with one junction. The models are based on the ones developed for linear metro lines (without junction) in [12, 14]. The train dynamics are described with a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Florian Schanzenbächer

Railway systems require regular manual maintenance, a large part of which is dedicated to inspecting track deformation. Such deformation might severely impact trains' runtime security, whereas such inspections remain costly for both finance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Yutao Chen , Yu Zhang , Fei Yang

In this research, we propose a series of methodologies to mine transit riders travel pattern and behavioral preferences, and then we use these knowledges to adjust and optimize the transit systems. Contributions are: 1) To increase the data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-08 Yongxin Liu

Time series data arising in many applications nowadays are high-dimensional. A large number of parameters describe features of these time series. We propose a novel approach to modeling a high-dimensional time series through several…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Arkaprava Roy , Anindya Roy , Subhashis Ghosal

Modelling passenger assignments in public transport networks is a fundamental task for city planners, especially when deliberating network infrastructure decisions. A key aspect of a realistic model is to integrate passengers' selfish…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Tobias Harks , Sven Jäger , Michael Markl , Philine Schiewe

Despite an extensive literature has been devoted to mine and model mobility features, forecasting where, when and whom people will encounter/colocate still deserve further research efforts. Forecasting people's encounter and colocation…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-07 Karim Karamat Jahromi , Matteo Zignani , Sabrina Gaito , Gian Paolo Rossi

Railway systems provide pivotal support to modern societies, making their efficiency and robustness important to ensure. However, these systems are susceptible to disruptions and delays, leading to accumulating economic damage. The large…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-28 Mark M. Dekker