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In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger , Guillaume Pirot

We examine characteristic properties of deterministic and stochastic diffusion in low-dimensional chaotic dynamical systems. As an example, we consider a periodic array of scatterers defined by a simple chaotic map on the line. Adding…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Klages

This paper studies a novel approach for approximating the behavior of compartmental spreading processes. In contrast to prior work, the methods developed describe a dynamics which bound the exact moment dynamics, without explicitly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-21 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , Victor M. Preciado , George J. Pappas

This paper provides partial identification of various binary choice models with misreported dependent variables. We propose two distinct approaches by exploiting different instrumental variables respectively. In the first approach, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-31 Orville Mondal , Rui Wang

We study the learning problem of revealed preference in a stochastic setting: a learner observes the utility-maximizing actions of a set of agents whose utility follows some unknown distribution, and the learner aims to infer the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-06 John R. Birge , Xiaocheng Li , Chunlin Sun

Explicit finite-sample statistical guarantees on model performance are an important ingredient in responsible machine learning. Previous work has focused mainly on bounding either the expected loss of a predictor or the probability that an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Zhun Deng , Thomas P. Zollo , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Complex systems are often characterized by the interplay of multiple interconnected dynamical processes operating across a range of temporal scales. This phenomenon is widespread in both biological and artificial scenarios, making it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-08 Giorgio Nicoletti , Daniel M. Busiello

The Stochastic Block Model (Holland et al., 1983) is a mixture model for heterogeneous network data. Unlike the usual statistical framework, new nodes give additional information about the previous ones in this model. Thereby the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-01 Antoine Channarond , Jean-Jacques Daudin , Stéphane Robin

This paper is concerned with identifying linear system dynamics without the knowledge of individual system trajectories, but from the knowledge of the system's reachable sets observed at different times. Motivated by a scenario where the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-11 Taha Shafa , Roy Dong , Melkior Ornik

We derive learning rules for finding the connections between units in stochastic dynamical networks from the recorded history of a ``visible'' subset of the units. We consider two models. In both of them, the visible units are binary and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-04-13 Joanna Tyrcha , John Hertz

Complex behaviour in many systems arises from the stochastic interactions of spatially distributed particles or agents. Stochastic reaction-diffusion processes are widely used to model such behaviour in disciplines ranging from biology to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-23 David Schnoerr , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

Adaptive dynamical systems arise in a multitude of contexts, e.g., optimization, control, communications, signal processing, and machine learning. A precise characterization of their fundamental limitations is therefore of paramount…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-10-13 Maxim Raginsky

This Thesis explores how tools from Statistical Physics and Information Theory can help us describe and understand complex systems. In the first part, we study the interplay between internal interactions, environmental changes, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-01 Giorgio Nicoletti

We study data-driven learning of robust stochastic control for infinite-horizon systems with potentially continuous state and action spaces. In many managerial settings--supply chains, finance, manufacturing, services, and dynamic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Shengbo Wang , Jason Meng , Nian Si , Jose Blanchet , Zhengyuan Zhou

In stochastic optimal control, change of measure arguments have been crucial for stochastic analysis. Such an approach is often called static reduction in dynamic team theory (or decentralized stochastic control) and has been an effective…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Sina Sanjari , Tamer Başar , Serdar Yüksel

We consider a broad class of stochastic imitation dynamics over networks, encompassing several well known learning models such as the replicator dynamics. In the considered models, players have no global information about the game…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Lorenzo Zino , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

This thesis develops exact analytical tools to study strongly correlated stochastic systems, with a focus on extreme value statistics, gap statistics, and full counting statistics in multi-particle processes. A central contribution is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-19 Marco Biroli

We develop a new approach for quantifying uncertainty in finite populations, by using design distributions to calibrate sensitivity parameters in finite population identified sets. This yields uncertainty intervals that can be interpreted…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Brendan Kline , Matthew A. Masten

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

The identification of a linear system model from data has wide applications in control theory. The existing work that provides finite sample guarantees for linear system identification typically uses data from a single long system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-09 Lei Xin , Baike She , Qi Dou , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram
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