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Prediction of climate tipping is challenging due to the lack of recent observation of actual climate tipping. Despite many previous efforts to accurately predict the existence and timing of climate tippings under specific climate scenarios,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-01 Amane Kubo , Yohei Sawada

This note introduces a simple metric for benchmarking shock-capturing schemes. This metric is especially focused on the shock-capturing overshoots, which may undermine the robustness of numerical simulations, as well as the reliability of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-15 Huaibao Zhang , Fan Zhang

Models of complex dynamical systems like the Earth's climate often involve large numbers of uncertain parameters. Comprehensive exploration of the parameter space is typically prohibitive due to excessive computational costs. Systematic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-27 Daniel Pals , Sebastian Bathiany , Richard Wood , Joel Kuettel , Niklas Boers

Many natural and technological systems fail to adapt to changing external conditions and move to a different state if the conditions vary too fast. Such "non-adiabatic" processes are ubiquitous, but little understood. We identify these…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Clare Perryman , Sebastian Wieczorek

This paper proposes a data-driven motion-planning framework for nonlinear systems that constructs a sequence of overlapping invariant polytopes. Around each randomly sampled waypoint, the algorithm identifies a convex admissible region and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-04 Babak Esmaeili , Hamidreza Modares , Stefano Di Cairano

Recent advances have shown that introducing dependency interactions between two superconducting networks can trigger abrupt, hysteretic normal-superconductor phase transitions. In this study, we demonstrate that such behavior can also arise…

Safe multi-agent coordination in uncertain environments can benefit from learning constraints from other agents. Implicitly communicating safety constraints through actions is a promising approach, allowing agents to coordinate and maintain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Minh Nguyen , Jingqi Li , Gechen Qu , Claire J. Tomlin

Declines in resilience have been observed in several climate tipping elements over the past decades, including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the Amazon rainforest (AR). Large-scale nonlinear and possibly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-08 Annika Högner , Giorgia Di Capua , Jonathan F. Donges , Reik V. Donner , Georg Feulner , Nico Wunderling

Spontaneous symmetry breaking is a hallmark of equilibrium systems, typically characterized by a single critical point separating ordered and disordered phases. Recently, a novel class of non-equilibrium phase transitions was uncovered…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-16 Gustavo A. L. Forão , Jonas Berx , Tan Van Vu , Carlos E. Fiore

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key component of the climate system and considered to be a tipping element. There is still a large uncertainty on the critical global warming level at which the AMOC will start to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-30 René M. van Westen , Elian Y. P. Vanderborght , Michael Kliphuis , Henk A. Dijkstra

Coherent control of atomic and molecular scattering relies on the preparation of colliding particles in superpositions of internal states, establishing interfering pathways that can be used to tune the outcome of a scattering process.…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2024-12-20 Adrien Devolder , Timur V. Tscherbul , Paul Brumer

Control schemes for autonomous systems are often designed in a way that anticipates the worst case in any situation. At runtime, however, there could exist opportunities to leverage the characteristics of specific environment and operation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-11 Chao Huang , Shichao Xu , Zhilu Wang , Shuyue Lan , Wenchao Li , Qi Zhu

There is a growing awareness that catastrophic phenomena in biology and medicine can be mathematically represented in terms of saddle-node bifurcations. In particular, the term `tipping', or critical transition has in recent years entered…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-29 Jeremiah Li , Felix X. -F. Ye , Hong Qian , Sui Huang

We study a discrete-time asynchronous midpoint dynamics on the circle in which, at each step, a uniformly chosen neighboring pair moves to the midpoint along the shortest arc. Although the update rule is locally contractive, we show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Annika Brockhaus , Wioletta M. Ruszel , Cristian Spitoni

Autonomous Vehicle decisions rely on multimodal prediction models that account for multiple route options and the inherent uncertainty in human behavior. However, models can suffer from mode collapse, where only the most likely mode is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Maarten Hugenholtz , Anna Meszaros , Jens Kober , Zlatan Ajanovic

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a much studied component of the climate system, because its suspected multistability is associated with tipping behaviour yielding potentially large regional and global climatic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 Johannes Lohmann , Valerio Lucarini

Approaching a dangerous bifurcation, from which a dynamical system such as the Earth's climate will jump (tip) to a different state, the current stable state lies within a shrinking basin of attraction. Persistence of the state becomes…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Jan Sieber , J. Michael T. Thompson

Catastrophic transitions, where a system shifts abruptly between alternate steady states, are a generic feature of many nonlinear systems. Recently these regime shift were suggested as the mechanism underlies many ecological catastrophes,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Haim Weissmann , Nadav M. Shnerb

Inverse phase transitions are striking phenomena in which an apparently more ordered state disorders under cooling. This behavior can naturally emerge in tricritical systems on heterogeneous networks and it is strongly enhanced by the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2012-04-19 D. De Martino , S. Bradde , L. Dall'Asta , M. Marsili

Social tipping points are promising levers to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emission targets. They describe how social, political, economic or technological systems can move rapidly into a new state if cascading positive feedback…

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