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We perform approximate inference in state-space models with nonlinear state transitions. Without parameterizing a generative model, we apply Bayesian update formulas using a local linearity approximation parameterized by neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 David Ruhe , Patrick Forré

Data assimilation algorithms estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations, where the successful performance of these algorithms hinges on costly parameter tuning and on employing an accurate model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Data assimilation (DA) has increasingly emerged as a critical tool for state estimation across a wide range of applications. It is significantly challenging when the governing equations of the underlying dynamics are unknown. To this end,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Ziyi Wang , Lijian Jiang

We consider sequential state and parameter learning in state-space models with intractable state transition and observation processes. By exploiting low-rank tensor train (TT) decompositions, we propose new sequential learning methods for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-04 Yiran Zhao , Tiangang Cui

In state space models, smoothing refers to the task of estimating a latent stochastic process given noisy measurements related to the process. We propose an unbiased estimator of smoothing expectations. The lack-of-bias property has…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-07 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

We consider the discrete-time filtering problem in scenarios where the observation noise is low or degenerate. We focus on the case where the observation equation is a linear function of the state and the data involve additive noise.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-01 Abylay Zhumekenov , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

For challenging state estimation problems arising in domains like vision and robotics, particle-based representations attractively enable temporal reasoning about multiple posterior modes. Particle smoothers offer the potential for more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Ali Younis , Erik B. Sudderth

Predictive dynamical models for marine ecosystems are used for a variety of needs. Due to sparse measurements and limited understanding of the myriad of ocean processes, there is however significant uncertainty. There is model uncertainty…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Abhinav Gupta , Pierre F. J. Lermusiaux

Bayesian methods are increasingly being applied to parameterize mechanistic process models used in environmental prediction and forecasting. In particular, models describing ecosystem dynamics with multiple states that are linear and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-19 John W. Smith , Leah R. Johnson , Robert Q. Thomas

Although stochastic approximation learning methods have been widely used in the machine learning literature for over 50 years, formal theoretical analyses of specific machine learning algorithms are less common because stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-21 Richard M. Golden

This paper addresses the problem of decentralized, collaborative state estimation in robotic teams. In particular, this paper considers problems where individual robots estimate similar physical quantities, such as each other's position…

In this work, we investigate a novel training procedure to learn a generative model as the transition operator of a Markov chain, such that, when applied repeatedly on an unstructured random noise sample, it will denoise it into a sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-22 Florian Bordes , Sina Honari , Pascal Vincent

State-space models are a popular statistical framework for analysing sequential data. Within this framework, particle filters are often used to perform inference on non-linear state-space models. We introduce a new method, StateMixNN, that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Benjamin Cox , Santiago Segarra , Victor Elvira

The problem of state estimation has a long history with many successful algorithms that allow analytical derivation or approximation of posterior filtering distribution given the noisy observations. This report tries to conclude previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-06 Nikita Kostin

An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Vahid Bastani , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni

Autonomous robots require high degrees of cognitive and motoric intelligence to come into our everyday life. In non-structured environments and in the presence of uncertainties, such degrees of intelligence are not easy to obtain.…

This work proposes a learning-based statistical refinement method for improving the denoising results of a given denoiser without knowing the precise noise distribution or accessing clean images or calibration data. While there are many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Rihuan Ke

This work introduces a neural architecture for learning forward models of stochastic environments. The task is achieved solely through learning from temporal unstructured observations in the form of images. Once trained, the model allows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Marian Andrecki , Nicholas K. Taylor

Complex and nonlinear dynamical systems often involve parameters that change with time, accurate tracking of which is essential to tasks such as state estimation, prediction, and control. Existing machine-learning methods require full state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mohammadamin Moradi , Bryan Glaz , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

The idea of end-to-end learning of communication systems through neural network-based autoencoders has the shortcoming that it requires a differentiable channel model. We present in this paper a novel learning algorithm which alleviates…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Fayçal Ait Aoudia , Jakob Hoydis