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In this work, we tackle two widespread challenges in real applications for time-series forecasting that have been largely understudied: distribution shifts and missing data. We propose SpectraNet, a novel multivariate time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Cristian Challu , Peihong Jiang , Ying Nian Wu , Laurent Callot

Recent advances in digitization have led to the availability of multivariate time series data in various domains, enabling real-time monitoring of operations. Identifying abnormal data patterns and detecting potential failures in these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Fan Wang , Keli Wang , Boyu Yao

The continued digitization of societal processes translates into a proliferation of time series data that cover applications such as fraud detection, intrusion detection, and energy management, where anomaly detection is often essential to…

In scientific applications, multivariate observations often come in tandem with temporal or spatial covariates, with which the underlying signals vary smoothly. The standard approaches such as principal component analysis and factor…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Mark Koudstaal , Dengdeng Yu , Dehan Kong , Fang Yao

Deep generative models for anomaly detection in multivariate time-series are typically trained by maximizing data likelihood. However, likelihood in observation space measures marginal density rather than conformity to structured temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 David Baumgartner , Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Iñigo Urteaga

Rapid advancements in data science require us to have fundamentally new frameworks to tackle prevalent but highly non-trivial "irregular" inference problems, to which the large sample central limit theorem does not apply. Typical examples…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Minge Xie , Peng Wang

We present a simple yet novel time series imputation technique with the goal of constructing an irregular time series that is uniform across every sample in a data set. Specifically, we fix a grid defined by the midpoints of non-overlapping…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Andrew Baumgartner , Sevda Molani , Qi Wei , Jennifer Hadlock

The dynamics of time-reversible systems are statistically indistinguishable when observed forward or backward in time. A rich literature of statistical methods to distinguish irreversible dynamics from the reversible dynamics of linear,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-20 Teresa Dalle Nogare , Ben D. Fulcher

Missing values are pervasive in large-scale time-series data, posing challenges for reliable analysis and decision-making. Many neural architectures have been designed to model and impute the complex and heterogeneous missingness patterns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Joseph Arul Raj , Linglong Qian , Zina Ibrahim

Longitudinal data are important in numerous fields, such as healthcare, sociology and seismology, but real-world datasets present notable challenges for practitioners because they can be high-dimensional, contain structured missingness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Maksim Sinelnikov , Manuel Haussmann , Harri Lähdesmäki

Time series anomaly detection is challenging due to the complexity and variety of patterns that can occur. One major difficulty arises from modeling time-dependent relationships to find contextual anomalies while maintaining detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Chih-Yu Lai , Fan-Keng Sun , Zhengqi Gao , Jeffrey H. Lang , Duane S. Boning

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin

Data imbalance is common in production data, where controlled production settings require data to fall within a narrow range of variation and data are collected with quality assessment in mind, rather than data analytic insights. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-17 Rune D. Kjærsgaard , Manja G. Grønberg , Line K. H. Clemmensen

Despite the prevalence of reconstruction-based deep learning methods, time series anomaly detection remains a tremendous challenge. Existing approaches often struggle with limited temporal contexts, insufficient representation of normal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Zhijie Zhong , Zhiwen Yu , Xing Xi , Yue Xu , Wenming Cao , Yiyuan Yang , Kaixiang Yang , Jane You

We propose a method for filling gaps and removing interferences in time series for applications involving continuous monitoring of environmental variables. The approach is non-parametric and based on an iterative pattern-matching between…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-08-11 Gregoire Mariethoz , Niklas Linde , Damien Jougnot , Hassan Rezaee

Missing values of varying patterns and rates in real-world tabular data pose a significant challenge in developing reliable data-driven models. The most commonly used statistical and machine learning methods for missing value imputation may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Ibna Kowsar , Shourav B. Rabbani , Yina Hou , Manar D. Samad

We describe the Bedside Patient Rescue (BPR) project, the goal of which is risk prediction of adverse events for non-ICU patients using ~200 variables (vitals, lab results, assessments, ...). There are several missing predictor values for…

Irregularly-sampled time series (ITS) are native to high-impact domains like healthcare, where measurements are collected over time at uneven intervals. However, for many classification problems, only small portions of long time series are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Thomas Hartvigsen , Jidapa Thadajarassiri , Xiangnan Kong , Elke Rundensteiner

Healthcare data frequently contain a substantial proportion of missing values, necessitating effective time series imputation to support downstream disease diagnosis tasks. However, existing imputation methods focus on discrete data points…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Mengxuan Li , Ke Liu , Jialong Guo , Jiajun Bu , Hongwei Wang , Haishuai Wang

Missingness and measurement frequency are two sides of the same coin. How frequent should we measure clinical variables and conduct laboratory tests? It depends on many factors such as the stability of patient conditions, diagnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Jiacheng Liu , Jaideep Srivastava