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We consider discrete-time observations of a continuous martingale under measurement error. This serves as a fundamental model for high-frequency data in finance, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Markus Reiß

In this paper we provide an asymptotic analysis of generalised bipower measures of the variation of price processes in financial economics. These measures encompass the usual quadratic variation, power variation and bipower variations which…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Svend E. Graversen , Jean Jacod , Neil Shephard

We propose a new method to obtain kinetic properties of infrequent events from molecular dynamics simulation. The procedure employs a recently introduced variational approach [Valsson and Parrinello, Phys. Rev. Lett. 113, 090601 (2014)] to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-19 James McCarty , Omar Valsson , Pratyush Tiwary , Michele Parrinello

We study the asymptotic theory of misspecified models for diffusion processes with noisy nonsynchronous observations. Unlike with correctly specified models, the original maximum-likelihood-type estimator has an asymptotic bias under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Teppei Ogihara

We consider parametric inference for an ergodic and stationary diffusion process, when the data are high-frequency observations of the integral of the diffusion process. Such data are obtained via certain measurement devices, or if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

Multivariable Mendelian randomization (MVMR) uses genetic variants as instrumental variables to infer the direct effects of multiple exposures on an outcome. However, unlike univariable Mendelian randomization, MVMR often faces greater…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Yinxiang Wu , Hyunseung Kang , Ting Ye

In this paper, we obtain sharp asymptotic formulas with error estimates for the Mellin convolution of functions, and use these formulas to characterize the asymptotic behavior of marginal distribution densities of stock price processes in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-24 Archil Gulisashvili , Josep Vives

Volatility estimation based on high-frequency data is key to accurately measure and control the risk of financial assets. A L\'{e}vy process with infinite jump activity and microstructure noise is considered one of the simplest, yet…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-12 Qi Wang , José E. Figueroa-López , Todd Kuffner

It is generally accepted that the asset price processes contain jumps. In fact, pure jump models have been widely used to model asset prices and/or stochastic volatilities. The question is: is there any statistical evidence from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Bing-Yi Jing , Xin-Bing Kong , Zhi Liu

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

This paper investigates asymptotic estimates for the entrance probability of the discounted aggregate claim vector from a multivariate renewal risk model into some rare set. We provide asymptotic results for the entrance probability on both…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Zhangting Chen , Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

Several studies have focused on the Realized Range Volatility, an estimator of the quadratic variation of financial prices, taking into account the impact of microstructure noise and jumps. However, none has considered direct modeling and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-28 Giovanni Bonaccolto , Massimiliano Caporin

This paper proposes a novel multiscale estimator for the integrated volatility of an Ito process, in the presence of market microstructure noise (observation error). The multiscale structure of the observed process is represented…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-19 Sofia Olhede , Adam Sykulski , Grigorios Pavliotis

This paper develops a flexible and computationally efficient multivariate volatility model, which allows for dynamic conditional correlations and volatility spillover effects among financial assets. The new model has desirable properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Wenyu Li , Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

Range-measured return contains more information than the traditional scalar-valued return. In this paper, we propose to model the [low, high] price range as a random interval and suggest an interval-valued GARCH (Int-GARCH) model for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-11 Yan Sun , Guanghua Lian , Zudi Lu , Jennifer Loveland , Isaac Blackhurst

It is now widely accepted that volatility models have to incorporate the so-called leverage effect in order to to model the dynamics of daily financial returns.We suggest a new class of multivariate power transformed asymmetric models. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Othman Kadmiri , Bruno Saussereau

Extreme value theory provides an asymptotically justified framework for estimation of exceedance probabilities in regions where few or no observations are available. For multivariate tail estimation, the strength of extremal dependence is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

This study presents contemporaneous modeling of asset return and price range within the framework of stochastic volatility with leverage. A new representation of the probability density function for the price range is provided, and its…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-28 Yuta Kurose

In this paper, we are interested in testing if the volatility process is constant or not during a given time span by using high-frequency data with the presence of jumps and microstructure noise. Based on estimators of integrated volatility…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-16 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu , Chuanhai Zhang

We discuss the probabilistic properties of the variation based third and fourth moments of financial returns as estimators of the actual moments of the return distributions. The moment variations are defined under non-parametric assumptions…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Kyungsub Lee