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Financial time series forecasting presents significant challenges due to complex nonlinear relationships, temporal dependencies, variable interdependencies and limited data availability, particularly for tasks involving low-frequency data,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-11 Ben A. Marconi

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) advance generalization and data efficiency in time series forecasting by unified large-scale pretraining. But TSFMs remain lacking when adapting to specific downstream forecasting tasks for two reasons.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Siyang Li , Yize Chen , Zijie Zhu , Yuxin Pan , Yan Guo , Ming Huang , Hui Xiong

Recently proposed orthogonal time frequency space (OTFS) modulation has been considered as a promising candidate for accommodating various emerging communication and sensing applications in high-mobility environments. In this paper, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Shuangyang Li , Weijie Yuan , Zhiqiang Wei , Jinhong Yuan

Real-world time series data often present recurrent or repetitive patterns and it is often generated in real time, such as transportation passenger volume, network traffic, system resource consumption, energy usage, and human gait.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Ming-Chang Lee , Jia-Chun Lin , Ernst Gunnar Gran

Irregularly sampled time series with missing values are often observed in multiple real-world applications such as healthcare, climate and astronomy. They pose a significant challenge to standard deep learning models that operate only on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Christian Klötergens , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi , Maximilian Stubbemann , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Large companies need to monitor various metrics (for example, Page Views and Revenue) of their applications and services in real time. At Microsoft, we develop a time-series anomaly detection service which helps customers to monitor the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Hansheng Ren , Bixiong Xu , Yujing Wang , Chao Yi , Congrui Huang , Xiaoyu Kou , Tony Xing , Mao Yang , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is an important data mining task with numerous applications in the IoT era. In recent years, a large number of deep neural network-based methods have been proposed, demonstrating significantly better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-04 Wenkai Li , Cheng Feng , Ting Chen , Jun Zhu

The issue of source-free time-series domain adaptations still gains scarce research attentions. On the other hand, existing approaches rely solely on time-domain features ignoring frequency components providing complementary information.…

The zero-shot capabilities of foundation models (FMs) for time series forecasting offer promising potentials in conformal prediction, as most of the available data can be allocated to calibration. This study compares the performance of Time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Sami Achour , Yassine Bouher , Duong Nguyen , Nicolas Chesneau

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are widely used as generic feature extractors, yet the notion of non-stationarity in their embedding spaces remains poorly understood. Recent work often conflates non-stationarity with distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Jinmyeong Choi , Brad Shook , Artur Dubrawski

Time series reasoning is crucial to decision-making in diverse domains, including finance, energy usage, traffic, weather, and scientific discovery. While existing time series foundation models (TSFMs) can capture low-level dynamic patterns…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Fangxu Yu , Hongyu Zhao , Tianyi Zhou

Algorithmic recourse provides actionable recommendations to alter unfavorable predictions of machine learning models, enhancing transparency through counterfactual explanations. While significant progress has been made in algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Xiao Han , Lu Zhang , Yongkai Wu , Shuhan Yuan

Frequency-domain analysis has emerged as a powerful paradigm for time series analysis, offering unique advantages over traditional time-domain approaches while introducing new theoretical and practical challenges. This survey provides a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Qianru Zhang , Yuting Sun , Honggang Wen , Peng Yang , Xinzhu Li , Ming Li , Kwok-Yan Lam , Siu-Ming Yiu , Hongzhi Yin

An Anomaly Detection (AD) System for Self-diagnosis has been developed for Multiphase Flow Meter (MPFM). The system relies on machine learning algorithms for time series forecasting, historical data have been used to train a model and to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Tommaso Barbariol , Davide Masiero , Enrico Feltresi , Gian Antonio Susto

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is of widespread interest across many industries, including finance, healthcare, and manufacturing. Despite the development of numerous automatic methods for detecting anomalies, human oversight remains…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Alan Yang , Yulin Chen , Sean Lee , Venus Montes

Time series anomaly detection has applications in a wide range of research fields and applications, including manufacturing and healthcare. The presence of anomalies can indicate novel or unexpected events, such as production faults, system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Zahra Zamanzadeh Darban , Geoffrey I. Webb , Shirui Pan , Charu C. Aggarwal , Mahsa Salehi

Time series analysis stands as a focal point within the data mining community, serving as a cornerstone for extracting valuable insights crucial to a myriad of real-world applications. Recent advances in Foundation Models (FMs) have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Yuxuan Liang , Haomin Wen , Yuqi Nie , Yushan Jiang , Ming Jin , Dongjin Song , Shirui Pan , Qingsong Wen

Anomaly detection in time series data, to identify points that deviate from normal behaviour, is a common problem in various domains such as manufacturing, medical imaging, and cybersecurity. Recently, Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Md Abul Bashar , Richi Nayak

The detection of the abnormal area from urban data is a significant research problem. However, to the best of our knowledge, previous methods designed on spatio-temporal anomalies are road-based or grid-based, which usually causes the data…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Huaishao Luo , Chuishi Meng , Bowen Wu , Junbo Zhang , Tianrui Li , Yu Zheng