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Gradient boosting is widely popular due to its flexibility and predictive accuracy. However, statistical inference and uncertainty quantification for gradient boosting remain challenging and under-explored. We propose a unified framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Haimo Fang , Kevin Tan , Giles Hooker

A new implementation of an adiabatically-trained ensemble model is derived that shows significant improvements over classical methods. In particular, empirical results of this new algorithm show that it offers not just higher performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Salvatore Certo , Andrew Vlasic , Daniel Beaulieu

We present a unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework for regression tasks that models and predicts the entire conditional distribution of a univariate response variable as a function of covariates. Our likelihood-based approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Alexander März , Thomas Kneib

Equivariance is a powerful prior for learning physical dynamics, yet exact group equivariance can degrade performance if the symmetries are broken. We propose object-centric world models built with geometric algebra neural networks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Hampus Linander , Conor Heins , Alexander Tschantz , Marco Perin , Christopher Buckley

In this work, we present a generalization of extended persistent homology to filtrations of graded sub-groups by defining relative homology in this setting. Our work provides a more comprehensive and flexible approach to get an algebraic…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Fang Sun , Shengwen Xie , Xuezhi Zhao

We develop a model-based boosting approach for multivariate distributional regression within the framework of generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape. Our approach enables the simultaneous modeling of all distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Annika Strömer , Nadja Klein , Christian Staerk , Hannah Klinkhammer , Andreas Mayr

Linear mixed models are widely used for clustered data, but their reliance on parametric forms limits flexibility in complex and high-dimensional settings. In contrast, gradient boosting methods achieve high predictive accuracy through…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Mitchell L. Prevett , Francis K. C. Hui , Zhi Yang Tho , A. H. Welsh , Anton H. Westveld

The (gradient-based) bilevel programming framework is widely used in hyperparameter optimization and has achieved excellent performance empirically. Previous theoretical work mainly focuses on its optimization properties, while leaving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Fan Bao , Guoqiang Wu , Chongxuan Li , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

Vector retrieval systems exhibit significant performance variance across queries due to heterogeneous embedding quality. We propose a lightweight framework for predicting retrieval performance at the query level by combining quantization…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Y. Du

Ensemble learning is traditionally justified as a variance-reduction strategy, explaining its strong performance for unstable predictors such as decision trees. This explanation, however, does not account for ensembles constructed from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Ernest Fokoué

Deep neural networks are known to be difficult to train due to the instability of back-propagation. A deep \emph{residual network} (ResNet) with identity loops remedies this by stabilizing gradient computations. We prove a boosting theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-15 Furong Huang , Jordan Ash , John Langford , Robert Schapire

We observe that if we are interested primarily in degeneration arguments, there is a weaker notion of (semi)stability for vector bundles on reducible curves, which is sufficient for many applications, and does not depend on a choice of…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Brian Osserman

Stability selection is a widely adopted resampling-based framework for high-dimensional variable selection. This paper seeks to broaden the use of an established stability estimator to evaluate the overall stability of the stability…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-04 Mahdi Nouraie , Samuel Muller

Confidence estimation, a task that aims to evaluate the trustworthiness of the model's prediction output during deployment, has received lots of research attention recently, due to its importance for the safe deployment of deep models.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Haoxuan Qu , Yanchao Li , Lin Geng Foo , Jason Kuen , Jiuxiang Gu , Jun Liu

This work addresses the classic machine learning problem of online prediction with expert advice. A new potential-based framework for the fixed horizon version of this problem has been recently developed using verification arguments from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Vladimir A. Kobzar , Robert V. Kohn , Zhilei Wang

Meta-learning aims to leverage information across related tasks to improve prediction on unlabeled data for new tasks when only a small number of labeled observations are available ("few-shot" learning). Increased task diversity is often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-16 Saptati Datta , Nicolas W. Hengartner , Yulia Pimonova , Natalie E. Klein , Nicholas Lubbers

The goal of object detection is to find objects in an image. An object detector accepts an image and produces a list of locations as $(x,y)$ pairs. Here we introduce a new concept: {\bf location-based boosting}. Location-based boosting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2013-09-05 Damian Eads , David Helmbold , Ed Rosten

Recurrent neural networks have been extensively studied in the context of neuroscience and machine learning due to their ability to implement complex computations. While substantial progress in designing effective learning algorithms has…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-01-21 Francesca Mastrogiuseppe , Srdjan Ostojic

Boosting combines weak (biased) learners to obtain effective learning algorithms for classification and prediction. In this paper, we show a connection between boosting and kernel-based methods, highlighting both theoretical and practical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-14 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Giulio Bottegal , Gianluigi Pillonetto

This paper introduces Mixed Effect Gradient Boosting (MEGB), which combines the strengths of Gradient Boosting with Mixed Effects models to address complex, hierarchical data structures often encountered in statistical analysis. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Paul Messer , Timo Schmid