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Multistate dynamical processes on networks, where nodes can occupy one of a multitude of discrete states, are gaining widespread use because of their ability to recreate realistic, complex behaviour that cannot be adequately captured by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-29 Peter G. Fennell , James P. Gleeson

Dynamics model learning deals with the task of inferring unknown dynamics from measurement data and predicting the future behavior of the system. A typical approach to address this problem is to train recurrent models. However, predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Katharina Ensinger , Sebastian Ziesche , Sebastian Trimpe

Despite recent progress in predicting biomarker trajectories from real clinical data, uncertainty in the predictions poses high-stakes risks (e.g., misdiagnosis) that limit their clinical deployment. To enable safe and reliable use of such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-19 Vasiliki Tassopoulou , Charis Stamouli , Haochang Shou , George J. Pappas , Christos Davatzikos

Multistate process data are common in studies of chronic diseases such as cancer. These data are ideal for precision medicine purposes as they can be leveraged to improve more refined health outcomes, compared to standard survival outcomes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Giorgos Bakoyannis

As the aging population grows, particularly for the baby boomer generation, the United States is witnessing a significant increase in the elderly population experiencing multifunctional disabilities. These disabilities, stemming from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Suiyao Chen , Xinyi Liu , Yulei Li , Jing Wu , Handong Yao

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) can predict the future value of a time series based on its current and previous values, making it a powerful algorithm for handling various types of time series. Numerous studies have explored the improvement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 YeXin Huang

To date, we have seen the emergence of a large literature on multivariate disease mapping. That is, incidence of (or mortality from) multiple diseases is recorded at the scale of areal units where incidence (mortality) across the diseases…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Garazi Retegui , María Dolores Ugarte , Jaione Etxeberria , Alan E. Gelfand

We are witnessing a widespread adoption of artificial intelligence in healthcare. However, most of the advancements in deep learning in this area consider only unimodal data, neglecting other modalities. Their multimodal interpretation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Valerio Guarrasi , Lorenzo Tronchin , Domenico Albano , Eliodoro Faiella , Deborah Fazzini , Domiziana Santucci , Paolo Soda

In the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, empirical data have revealed that large-scale health crises not only cause immediate disruptions in mortality dynamics but also have persistent effects that may last for several years. Existing…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-26 Yanxin Liu , Kenneth Q. Zhou

We investigate joint modeling of longevity trends using the spatial statistical framework of Gaussian Process regression. Our analysis is motivated by the Human Mortality Database (HMD) that provides unified raw mortality tables for nearly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Nhan Huynh , Mike Ludkovski

Cycles are fundamental to human health and behavior. However, modeling cycles in time series data is challenging because in most cases the cycles are not labeled or directly observed and need to be inferred from multidimensional…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Emma Pierson , Tim Althoff , Jure Leskovec

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are probabilistic methods in which observations are seen as realizations of a latent Markov process with discrete states that switch over time. Moving beyond standard statistical tests, HMMs offer a statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 S. Mildiner Moraga , E. Aarts

Machine Learning (ML) algorithms are vital for supporting clinical decision-making in biomedical informatics. However, their predictive performance can vary across demographic groups, often due to the underrepresentation of historically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Ioannis Bilionis , Ricardo C. Berrios , Luis Fernandez-Luque , Carlos Castillo

Artificial intelligence holds strong potential to support clinical decision making in intensive care units where timely and accurate risk assessment is critical. However, many existing models focus on isolated outcomes or limited data…

Healthcare data now span EHRs, medical imaging, genomics, and wearable sensors, but most diagnostic models still process these modalities in isolation. This limits their ability to capture early, cross-modal disease signatures. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Md Talha Mohsin , Ismail Abdulrashid

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are a versatile statistical framework commonly used in ecology to characterize behavioural patterns from animal movement data. In HMMs, the observed data depend on a finite number of underlying hidden states,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-24 Fanny Dupont , Marianne Marcoux , Nigel Hussey , Marie Auger-Méthé

Interval-censored multi state data is collected when the state of a subject is observed periodically. The analysis of such data using non-parametric multi-state models was not possible until recently, but is very desirable as it allows for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Daniel Gomon , Hein Putter

We introduce a multivariate hidden Markov model to jointly cluster time-series observations with different support, i.e. circular and linear. Relying on the general projected normal distribution, our approach allows for bimodal and/or…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-27 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanna Jona Lasinio

Joint models are used in ageing studies to investigate the association between longitudinal markers and a time-to-event, and have been extended to multiple markers and/or competing risks. The competing risk of death must be considered in…