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We study a new parametric approach for hidden discrete-time diffusion models. This method is based on contrast minimization and deconvolution and leads to estimate a large class of stochastic models with nonlinear drift and nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-01 Salima El Kolei , Florian Pelgrin

In this paper we consider a diffusion process obtained as a small random perturbation of a dynamical system attracted to a stable equilibrium point. The drift and the diffusive perturbation are assumed to evolve slowly in time. We describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-23 Mark Freidlin , Leonid Koralov

We consider statistical inference for a class of dynamic mixed-effect models described by stochastic differential equations whose drift and diffusion coefficients simultaneously depend on fixed- and random-effect parameters. Assuming that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Maud Delattre , Hiroki Masuda

The paper deals with numerical discretizations of separable nonlinear Hamiltonian systems with additive noise. For such problems, the expected value of the total energy, along the exact solution, drifts linearly with time. We present and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Chuchu Chen , David Cohen , Raffaele D'Ambrosio , Annika Lang

In this paper, we consider stochastic versions of three classical growth models given by ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Indeed we use stochastic versions of Von Bertalanffy, Gompertz, and Logistic differential equations as models.…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-22 F. Baltazar-Larios , F. J. Delgado-Vences , A. Ornelas Vargas

We analyse conditions for an evolution equation with a drift and fractional diffusion to have a Holder continuous solution. In case the diffusion is of order one or more, we obtain Holder estimates for the solution for any bounded drift. In…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-04-26 Luis Silvestre

We consider the general class of time-homogeneous stochastic dynamical systems, both discrete and continuous, and study the problem of learning a representation of the state that faithfully captures its dynamics. This is instrumental to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Vladimir R. Kostic , Pietro Novelli , Riccardo Grazzi , Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil

In the present paper, we consider that $N$ diffusion processes $X^1,\dots,X^N$ are observed on $[0,T]$, where $T$ is fixed and $N$ grows to infinity. Contrary to most of the recent works, we no longer assume that the processes are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

Diffusion models have recently been increasingly applied to temporal data such as video, fluid mechanics simulations, or climate data. These methods generally treat subsequent frames equally regarding the amount of noise in the diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 David Ruhe , Jonathan Heek , Tim Salimans , Emiel Hoogeboom

A truncated sequential procedure is constructed for estimating the drift coefficient at a given state point based on discrete data of ergodic diffusion process. A nonasymptotic upper bound is obtained for a pointwise absolute error risk.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 L. I. Galtchouk , S. M. Pergamenshchikov

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

For the concrete model of Brownian particles dynamics in non-uniform environment, the time interval estimation is constructed, on which phenomenological Fick laws for diffusion phenomenon description can be used. The knowledge of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 V. A Doobko

Extracting governing stochastic differential equation models from elusive data is crucial to understand and forecast dynamics for complex systems. We devise a method to extract the drift term and estimate the diffusion coefficient of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-21 Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan

Conservative-dissipative dynamics are ubiquitous across a variety of complex open systems. We propose a data-driven two-phase method, the Moment-DeepRitz Method, for learning drift decompositions in generalized diffusion systems involving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Fanze Kong , Chen-Chih Lai , Yubin Lu

Stochastic human motion prediction aims to forecast multiple plausible future motions given a single pose sequence from the past. Most previous works focus on designing elaborate losses to improve the accuracy, while the diversity is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Dong Wei , Huaijiang Sun , Bin Li , Jianfeng Lu , Weiqing Li , Xiaoning Sun , Shengxiang Hu

This paper proposes a physical-statistical modeling approach for spatio-temporal data arising from a class of stochastic convection-diffusion processes. Such processes are widely found in scientific and engineering applications where…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-07 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Siyuan Lu

Accurate prediction of human or vehicle trajectories with good diversity that captures their stochastic nature is an essential task for many applications. However, many trajectory prediction models produce unreasonable trajectory samples…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Qingze , Liu , Danrui Li , Samuel S. Sohn , Sejong Yoon , Mubbasir Kapadia , Vladimir Pavlovic

This paper is a survey of recent contributions on estimation in stochastic differential equations with mixed-effects. These models involve N stochastic differential equations with common drift and diffusion functions but random parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Maud Delattre

Stationary distributions of multivariate diffusion processes have recently been proposed as probabilistic models of causal systems in statistics and machine learning. Motivated by these developments, we study stationary multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Tobias Boege , Mathias Drton , Benjamin Hollering , Sarah Lumpp , Pratik Misra , Daniela Schkoda

Control barrier functions are widely used to synthesize safety-critical controls. However, the presence of Gaussian-type noise in dynamical systems can generate unbounded signals and potentially result in severe consequences. Although…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-21 Chuanzheng Wang , Yiming Meng , Jun Liu , Stephen Smith