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Statistical models typically capture uncertainties in our knowledge of the corresponding real-world processes, however, it is less common for this uncertainty specification to capture uncertainty surrounding the values of the inputs to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-10 Samuel E. Jackson , David C. Woods

This paper considers the estimation and inference of the low-rank components in high-dimensional matrix-variate factor models, where each dimension of the matrix-variates ($p \times q$) is comparable to or greater than the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-20 Elynn Y. Chen , Jianqing Fan

The rampant adoption of ML methodologies has revealed that models are usually adopted to make decisions without taking into account the uncertainties in their predictions. More critically, they can be vulnerable to adversarial examples.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-29 Víctor Gallego

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

We study the law of the iterated logarithm (LIL) for the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters (as a convex optimization problem) in the generalized linear models with independent or weakly dependent ($\rho$-mixing, $m$-dependent)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Xiaowei Yang , Shuang Song , Huiming Zhang

In this paper, we conduct a comprehensive study of In-Context Learning (ICL) by addressing several open questions: (a) What type of ICL estimator is learned by large language models? (b) What is a proper performance metric for ICL and what…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-11 Yufeng Zhang , Fengzhuo Zhang , Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang

Objective: In this review, we aim to provide an analysis of current cardiac ablation techniques, such as radiofrequency ablation (RF), cryoablation, and pulsed-field ablation (PFA), with a focus on the role of computational modeling in…

Insurance products frequently cover significant claims arising from a variety of sources. To model losses from these products accurately, actuarial models must account for high-severity claims. A widely used strategy is to apply a mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-30 Sébastien Jessup , Mélina Mailhot , Mathieu Pigeon

Training data compositions for Large Language Models (LLMs) can significantly affect their downstream performance. However, a thorough data ablation study exploring large sets of candidate data mixtures is typically prohibitively expensive…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Clara Na , Ian Magnusson , Ananya Harsh Jha , Tom Sherborne , Emma Strubell , Jesse Dodge , Pradeep Dasigi

We introduce a new copula-based correction for generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) within the integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA) approach for approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models. While INLA is usually…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-16 Egil Ferkingstad , Håvard Rue

Model fitting is possibly the most extended problem in science. Classical approaches include the use of least-squares fitting procedures and maximum likelihood methods to estimate the value of the parameters in the model. However, in recent…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-12 J. Lopez-Santiago , L. Martino , J. Miguez , M. A. Vazquez

Fitting cross-classified multilevel models with binary response is challenging. In this setting a promising method is Bayesian inference through Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations (INLA), which performs well in several latent variable…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-21 Leonardo Grilli , Francesco Innocenti

Ion Beam Analysis (IBA) is an established tool for material characterization, providing precise information on elemental composition, depth profiles, and structural information in the region near the surface of materials. However,…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-02-21 Tiago Fiorini da Silva

We propose Bayesian model averaging (BMA) as a method for postprocessing the results of model-based clustering. Given a number of competing models, appropriate model summaries are averaged, using the posterior model probabilities, instead…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-01 Niamh Russell , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Adrian E Raftery

Integrative modeling of macromolecular assemblies allows for structural characterization of large assemblies that are recalcitrant to direct experimental observation. A Bayesian inference approach facilitates combining data from…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Shreyas Arvindekar , Kartik Majila , Shruthi Viswanath

Model selection based on classical information criteria, such as BIC, is generally computationally demanding, but its properties are well studied. On the other hand, model selection based on parameter shrinkage by $\ell_1$-type penalties is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-10 Kun Zhang , Heng Peng , Laiwan Chan , Aapo Hyvarinen

Data assimilation (DA) methods use priors arising from differential equations to robustly interpolate and extrapolate data. Popular techniques such as ensemble methods that handle high-dimensional, nonlinear PDE priors focus mostly on state…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Rafael Anderka , Marc Peter Deisenroth , So Takao

Ensemble learning algorithms, the gradient boosting and bagging regressors, are employed to correct the residuals of nuclear mass excess for a diverse set of six nuclear mass models. The weighted average of these corrected residuals reduces…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-09-04 Srikrishna Agrawal , N. Chandnani , T. Ghosh , G. Saxena , B. K. Agrawal , N. Paar

In the drug discovery process, where experiments can be costly and time-consuming, computational models that predict drug-target interactions are valuable tools to accelerate the development of new therapeutic agents. Estimating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Hannah Rosa Friesacher , Ola Engkvist , Lewis Mervin , Yves Moreau , Adam Arany

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler
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