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The accuracy and precision of high-energy spallation models are key issues for the design and development of new applications and experiments. We present a method to estimate model parameters and associated uncertainties by leveraging the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-06-28 Jason Hirtz , Jean-Christophe David , Joseph Cugnon , Ingo Leya , José Luís Rodríguez-Sánchez , Georg Schnabel

Predictions of nuclear models guide the design of nuclear facilities to ensure their safe and efficient operation. Because nuclear models often do not perfectly reproduce available experimental data, decisions based on their predictions may…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-11-22 Georg Schnabel

Sparse Bayesian Learning (SBL) models are extensively used in signal processing and machine learning for promoting sparsity through hierarchical priors. The hyperparameters in SBL models are crucial for the model's performance, but they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Feng Yu , Lixin Shen , Guohui Song

Bayesian parameter estimation provides a systematic approach to compare heavy ion collision models with measurements, leading to constraints on the properties of nuclear matter with proper accounting of experimental and theoretical…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-05-31 Brandon Weiss , Jean-François Paquet , Steffen A. Bass

To ensure agreement between theoretical calculations and experimental data, parameters to selected nuclear physics models, are perturbed, and fine-tuned in nuclear data evaluations. This approach assumes that the chosen set of models…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-02-23 E. Alhassan , D. Rochman , G. Schnabel , A. J. Koning

The integrated nested Laplace approximations (INLA) method has become a widely utilized tool for researchers and practitioners seeking to perform approximate Bayesian inference across various fields of application. To address the growing…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-15 Esmail Abdul-Fattah , Janet Van Niekerk , Haavard Rue

Pattern formation in biological tissues plays an important role in the development of living organisms. Since the classical work of Alan Turing, a pre-eminent way of modelling has been through reaction-diffusion mechanisms. More recently,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Alexey Kazarnikov , Robert Scheichl , Heikki Haario , Anna Marciniak-Czochra

Misclassified variables used in regression models, either as a covariate or as the response, may lead to biased estimators and incorrect inference. Even though Bayesian models to adjust for misclassification error exist, it has not been…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Emma Skarstein , Leonardo Soares Bastos , Håvard Rue , Stefanie Muff

Calibrating mathematical models of biological processes is essential for achieving predictive accuracy and gaining mechanistic insight. However, this task remains challenging due to limited and noisy data, significant biological…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-04 Piotr Gwiazda , Alexey Kazarnikov , Anna Marciniak-Czochra , Zuzanna Szymańska

The INLA package provides a tool for computationally efficient Bayesian modeling and inference for various widely used models, more formally the class of latent Gaussian models. It is a non-sampling based framework which provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-26 Janet van Niekerk , Haakon Bakka , Haavard Rue , Olaf Schenk

To account for measurement error (ME) in explanatory variables, Bayesian approaches provide a flexible framework, as expert knowledge about unobserved covariates can be incorporated in the prior distributions. However, given the analytic…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-19 Stefanie Muff , Andrea Riebler , Havard Rue , Philippe Saner , Leonhard Held

In the context of a high-dimensional linear regression model, we propose the use of an empirical correlation-adaptive prior that makes use of information in the observed predictor variable matrix to adaptively address high collinearity,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Chang Liu , Yue Yang , Howard Bondell , Ryan Martin

Model merging combines multiple homologous models into one model, achieving convincing generalization without the necessity of additional training. A key challenge in this problem is resolving parameter redundancies and conflicts across…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Fanshuang Kong , Richong Zhang , Ziqiao Wang

Inferring the parameters of models describing biological systems is an important problem in the reverse engineering of the mechanisms underlying these systems. Much work has focused on parameter inference of stochastic and ordinary…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-09 Thomas Thorne , Paul D. W. Kirk , Heather A. Harrington

Reliable predictions of light charged particle production in spallation reactions are important to correctly assess gas production in spallation targets. In particular, the helium production yield is important for assessing damage in the…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2014-11-20 S. Leray , A. Boudard , J. Cugnon , J. C. David , A. Kelic-Heil , D. Mancusi , M. V. Ricciardi

Interpretability studies often involve tracing the flow of information through machine learning models to identify specific model components that perform relevant computations for tasks of interest. Prior work quantifies the importance of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Maximilian Li , Lucas Janson

The Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) is a deterministic approach to Bayesian inference on latent Gaussian models (LGMs) and focuses on fast and accurate approximation of posterior marginals for the parameters in the models.…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-05 Martin Outzen Berild , Sara Martino , Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Håvard Rue

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

This paper studies prediction with multiple candidate models, where the goal is to combine their outputs. This task is especially challenging in heterogeneous settings, where different models may be better suited to different inputs. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-28 Yuli Slavutsky , Sebastian Salazar , David M. Blei

Spallation-induced fission reactions, in combination with state-of-the-art dynamical calculations, provide a robust framework for studying the nuclear dissipation mechanism in nuclear matter over a wide range of deformations. Experimental…

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