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Nowadays insurers have to account for potentially complex dependence between risks. In the field of loss reserving, there are many parametric and non-parametric models attempting to capture dependence between business lines. One common…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Andrew Fleck , Edward Furman , Yang Shen

Local adaptivity and mesh refinement are key to the efficient simulation of wave phenomena in heterogeneous media or complex geometry. Locally refined meshes, however, dictate a small time-step everywhere with a crippling effect on any…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-03-24 Marcus J. Grote , Michaela Mehlin , Stefan Sauter

We investigate the continuity of expected exponential utility maximization with respect to perturbation of the Sharpe ratio of markets. By focusing only on continuity, we impose weaker regularity conditions than those found in the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-13 Erhan Bayraktar , Ross Kravitz

This paper presents the Virtual Element Method (VEM) for the modeling of crack propagation in 2D within the context of linear elastic fracture mechanics (LEFM). By exploiting the advantage of mesh flexibility in the VEM, we establish an…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Vien Minh Nguyen-Thanh , Xiaoying Zhuang , Hung Nguyen-Xuan , Timon Rabczuk , Peter Wriggers

We propose different schemes for option hedging when asset returns are modeled using a general class of GARCH models. More specifically, we implement local risk minimization and a minimum variance hedge approximation based on an extended…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-06 Alexandru Badescu , Robert J. Elliott , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) algorithms are widely used in a variety of estimation and prediction tasks in signal-processing and machine learning applications. Despite their popularity, a theory that explains their statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-07 Hossein Taheri , Ramtin Pedarsani , Christos Thrampoulidis

Existing results for the estimation of the L\'evy measure are mostly limited to the onedimensional setting. We apply the spectral method to multidimensional L\'evy processes in order to construct a nonparametric estimator for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Maximilian F. Steffen

We propose a fully data-driven approach to calibrate local stochastic volatility (LSV) models, circumventing in particular the ad hoc interpolation of the volatility surface. To achieve this, we parametrize the leverage function by a family…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-30 Christa Cuchiero , Wahid Khosrawi , Josef Teichmann

This paper proposes the capped least squares regression with an adaptive resistance parameter, hence the name, adaptive capped least squares regression. The key observation is, by taking the resistant parameter to be data dependent, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Qiang Sun , Rui Mao , Wen-Xin Zhou

Many modern computational approaches to classical problems in quantitative finance are formulated as empirical loss minimization (ERM), allowing direct applications of classical results from statistical machine learning. These methods,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-27 A. Max Reppen , H. Mete Soner

While mixture of linear regressions (MLR) is a well-studied topic, prior works usually do not analyze such models for prediction error. In fact, {\em prediction} and {\em loss} are not well-defined in the context of mixtures. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-27 Avishek Ghosh , Arya Mazumdar , Soumyabrata Pal , Rajat Sen

A semi-parametric joint Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) forecasting framework employing multiple realized measures is developed. The proposed framework extends the realized exponential GARCH model to be semi-parametrically…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-06 Rangika Peiris , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Minh-Ngoc Tran

Numerous empirical proofs indicate the adequacy of the time discrete auto-regressive stochastic volatility models introduced by Taylor in the description of the log-returns of financial assets. The pricing and hedging of contingent products…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-31 Joan del Castillo , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We consider a class of assets whose risk-neutral pricing dynamics are described by an exponential L\'evy-type process subject to default. The class of processes we consider features locally-dependent drift, diffusion and default-intensity…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-19 Antoine Jacquier , Matthew Lorig

Variance plays a crucial role in risk-sensitive reinforcement learning, and most risk measures can be analyzed via variance. In this paper, we consider two law-invariant risks as examples: mean-variance risk and exponential utility risk.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Shuai Ma , Jia Yuan Yu

Given a discrete time sample $X_1,... X_n$ from a L\'evy process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ of a finite jump activity, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the characteristic triplet $(\gamma,\sigma^2,\rho)$ corresponding to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili

Standard variational lower bounds used to train latent variable models produce biased estimates of most quantities of interest. We introduce an unbiased estimator of the log marginal likelihood and its gradients for latent variable models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yucen Luo , Alex Beatson , Mohammad Norouzi , Jun Zhu , David Duvenaud , Ryan P. Adams , Ricky T. Q. Chen

For complex latent variable models, the likelihood function is not available in closed form. In this context, a popular method to perform parameter estimation is Importance Weighted Variational Inference. It essentially maximizes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Badr-Eddine Cherief-Abdellatif , Randal Douc , Arnaud Doucet , Hugo Marival

Optimizing machine learning algorithms that are used to solve the objective function has been of great interest. Several approaches to optimize common algorithms, such as gradient descent and stochastic gradient descent, were explored. One…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Hilal AlQuabeh , Farha AlBreiki , Dilshod Azizov

The Stochastic Approximation EM (SAEM) algorithm, a variant stochastic approximation of EM, is a versatile tool for inference in incomplete data models. In this paper, we review the fundamental EM algorithm and then focus especially on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-30 Vahid Tadayon
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