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This paper presents a novel, closed-form, and data/computation efficient online anomaly detection algorithm for time-series data. The proposed method, dubbed RPE, is a window-based method and in sharp contrast to the existing window-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-01 Mostafa Rahmani , Anoop Deoras , Laurent Callot

Anomaly detection is important for industrial automation and part quality assurance, and while humans can easily detect anomalies in components given a few examples, designing a generic automated system that can perform at human or above…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Anthony Garland , Kevin Potter , Matt Smith

This paper introduces TRACE-GPT, which stands for Time-seRies Anomaly-detection with Convolutional Embedding and Generative Pre-trained Transformers. TRACE-GPT is designed to pre-train univariate time-series sensor data and detect faults on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Sewoong Lee , JinKyou Choi , Min Su Kim

Deep generative models for anomaly detection in multivariate time-series are typically trained by maximizing data likelihood. However, likelihood in observation space measures marginal density rather than conformity to structured temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 David Baumgartner , Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Iñigo Urteaga

We propose a post-hoc adaptive conformal anomaly detection method for monitoring time series that leverages predictions from pre-trained foundation models without requiring additional fine-tuning. Our method yields an interpretable anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Natalia Martinez Gil , Fearghal O'Donncha , Wesley M. Gifford , Nianjun Zhou , Dhaval C. Patel , Roman Vaculin

Time-series anomaly detection (TSAD) is a critical component in monitoring complex systems, yet modern deep learning-based detectors are often highly sensitive to localized input corruptions and structured noise. We propose ARTA…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Hadi Hojjati , Narges Armanfard

Causal inference from observational datasets often relies on measuring and adjusting for covariates. In practice, measurements of the covariates can often be noisy and/or biased, or only measurements of their proxies may be available.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Wenshuo Guo , Mingzhang Yin , Yixin Wang , Michael I. Jordan

Organizations leverage anomaly and changepoint detection algorithms to detect changes in user behavior or service availability and performance. Many off-the-shelf detection algorithms, though effective, cannot readily be used in large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Sourav Chatterjee , Rohan Bopardikar , Marius Guerard , Uttam Thakore , Xiaodong Jiang

For modern industrial applications, accurately detecting and diagnosing anomalies in multivariate time series data is essential. Despite such need, most state-of-the-art methods often prioritize detection performance over model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Minha Kim , Kishor Kumar Bhaumik , Amin Ahsan Ali , Simon S. Woo

Semiconductor manufacturing is an extremely complex and precision-driven process, characterized by thousands of interdependent parameters collected across diverse tools and process steps. Multi-variate time-series analysis has emerged as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Daniel Sorensen , Bappaditya Dey , Minjin Hwang , Sandip Halder

Anomaly detection techniques enable effective anomaly detection and diagnosis in multi-variate time series data, which are of major significance for today's industrial applications. However, establishing an anomaly detection system that can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Lingrui Yu

Test time adaptation (TTA) equips deep learning models to handle unseen test data that deviates from the training distribution, even when source data is inaccessible. While traditional TTA methods often rely on entropy as a confidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Afshar Shamsi , Rejisa Becirovic , Ahmadreza Argha , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Hamid Alinejad-Rokny , Arash Mohammadi

We study the problem of learning conditional average treatment effects (CATE) from observational data with unobserved confounders. The CATE function maps baseline covariates to individual causal effect predictions and is key for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-09 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Angela Zhou

Climate anomalies significantly impact terrestrial carbon cycle dynamics, necessitating robust methods for detecting and analyzing anomalous behavior in plant productivity. This study presents a novel application of variational autoencoders…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Bharat Sharma , Jitendra Kumar

Test time adaptation (TTA) has emerged as a promising solution to adapt pre-trained models to new, unseen data distributions using unlabeled target domain data. However, most TTA methods are designed for independent data, often overlooking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Ting Dang , Soumyajit Chatterjee , Hong Jia , Yu Wu , Flora Salim , Fahim Kawsar

Wind turbine reliability is critical to the growing renewable energy sector, where early fault detection significantly reduces downtime and maintenance costs. This paper introduces a novel ensemble-based deep learning framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Rekha R Nair , Tina Babu , Alavikunhu Panthakkan , Balamurugan Balusamy , Wathiq Mansoor

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification in high dimensional regression and classification for which deep ensemble have proven to be promising methods. Recent observations have shown that deep ensemble often return…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Antoine de Mathelin , Francois Deheeger , Mathilde Mougeot , Nicolas Vayatis

Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

Ensemble forecasts of weather and climate are subject to systematic biases in the ensemble mean and variance, leading to inaccurate estimates of the forecast mean and variance. To address these biases, ensemble forecasts are post-processed…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-25 Stefan Siegert , Philip G. Sansom , Robin Williams

Defect detection is a critical research area in artificial intelligence. Recently, synthetic data-based self-supervised learning has shown great potential on this task. Although many sophisticated synthesizing strategies exist, little…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Yuxuan Cai , Dingkang Liang , Dongliang Luo , Xinwei He , Xin Yang , Xiang Bai