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Real-time network traffic forecasting is crucial for network management and early resource allocation. Existing network traffic forecasting approaches operate under the assumption that the network traffic data is fully observed. However, in…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Lei Deng , Wenhan Xu , Jingwei Li , Danny H. K. Tsang

We present a probabilistic generative model and efficient algorithm to model reciprocity in directed networks. Unlike other methods that address this problem such as exponential random graphs, it assigns latent variables as community…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Hadiseh Safdari , Martina Contisciani , Caterina De Bacco

Continuous mixtures of distributions are widely employed in the statistical literature as models for phenomena with highly divergent outcomes; in particular, many familiar heavy-tailed distributions arise naturally as mixtures of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-10 Carter T. Butts

A fully nonparametric approach for making probabilistic predictions in multi-response regression problems is introduced. Random forests are used as marginal models for each response variable and, as novel contribution of the present work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Marius Hofert , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu

Missing data is a pervasive problem in data analyses, resulting in datasets that contain censored realizations of a target distribution. Many approaches to inference on the target distribution using censored observed data, rely on missing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-02 Rohit Bhattacharya , Razieh Nabi , Ilya Shpitser , James M. Robins

This paper develops an inferential theory for high-dimensional matrix-variate factor models with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose method that involves two straightforward steps. First, we perform principal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Yongxia Zhang , Jinwen Liang , Liwen Xu , Keming Yu , Maozai Tian

Eliciting preferences from human judgements is inherently imprecise, yet most decision analysis methods force a single priority vector from pairwise comparisons, discarding the information embedded in inconsistencies. We instead leverage…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-27 Salvatore Greco , Sajid Siraj , Michele Lundy

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

In this paper, we consider the multivariate Bernoulli distribution as a model to estimate the structure of graphs with binary nodes. This distribution is discussed in the framework of the exponential family, and its statistical properties…

Applications · Statistics 2013-11-13 Bin Dai , Shilin Ding , Grace Wahba

A very simple interpretation of matrix completion problem is introduced based on statistical models. Combined with the well-known results from missing data analysis, such interpretation indicates that matrix completion is still a valid and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Tianxi Li

Missing data are frequently encountered in various disciplines and can be divided into three categories: missing completely at random (MCAR), missing at random (MAR) and missing not at random (MNAR). Valid statistical approaches to missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Hairu Wang , Zhiping Lu , Yukun Liu

The problem of nonparametric functional data classification and bandwidth selection is considered when the response variable, also called the class label, might be missing but not at random (MNAR). This setup is broadly acknowledged to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-12 Majid Mojirsheibani

Graph neural networks (GNNs) can learn effective node representations that significantly improve link prediction accuracy. However, most GNN-based link prediction algorithms are incompetent to predict weak ties connecting different…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Weiwei Gu , Linbi Lv , Gang Lu , Ruiqi Li

Modern datasets commonly feature both substantial missingness and many variables of mixed data types, which present significant challenges for estimation and inference. Complete case analysis, which proceeds using only the observations with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-10 Joseph Feldman , Daniel R. Kowal

There is a growing need for methods which can capture uncertainties and answer queries over graph-structured data. Two common types of uncertainty are uncertainty over the attribute values of nodes and uncertainty over the existence of…

Databases · Computer Science 2013-05-31 Walaa Eldin Moustafa , Angelika Kimmig , Amol Deshpande , Lise Getoor

Collecting complete network data is expensive, time-consuming, and often infeasible. Aggregated Relational Data (ARD), which capture information about a social network by asking a respondent questions of the form ``How many people with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-24 Emily Breza , Arun G. Chandrasekhar , Shane Lubold , Tyler H. McCormick , Mengjie Pan

We consider general Gaussian latent tree models in which the observed variables are not restricted to be leaves of the tree. Extending related recent work, we give a full semi-algebraic description of the set of covariance matrices of any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Dennis Leung , Mathias Drton

In this paper we consider alignment of sparse graphs, for which we introduce the Neighborhood Tree Matching Algorithm (NTMA). For correlated Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graphs, we prove that the algorithm returns -- in polynomial time -- a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-11-02 Luca Ganassali , Laurent Massoulié

We investigate the relationship between the structure of a discrete graphical model and the support of the inverse of a generalized covariance matrix. We show that for certain graph structures, the support of the inverse covariance matrix…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-07 Po-Ling Loh , Martin J. Wainwright

Inferring graph structure from observations on the nodes is an important and popular network science task. Departing from the more common inference of a single graph and motivated by social and biological networks, we study the problem of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-19 Madeline Navarro , Yuhao Wang , Antonio G. Marques , Caroline Uhler , Santiago Segarra