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Modeling complex physical dynamics is a fundamental task in science and engineering. Traditional physics-based models are sample efficient, and interpretable but often rely on rigid assumptions. Furthermore, direct numerical approximation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Rui Wang , Rose Yu

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Financial markets are integral to a country's economic success, yet their complex nature raises challenging issues for predicting their behaviors. There is a growing demand for an integrated system that explores the vast and diverse data in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-10 Ali Abrishami , Jafar Habibi , AmirAli Jarrahi , Dariush Amiri , MohammadAmin Fazli

Dynamic linear models (DLM) offer a very generic framework to analyse time series data. Many classical time series models can be formulated as DLMs, including ARMA models and standard multiple linear regression models. The models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Marko Laine

A large number of time series forecasting models including traditional statistical models, machine learning models and more recently deep learning have been proposed in the literature. However, choosing the right model along with good…

This survey delves into the application of diffusion models in time-series forecasting. Diffusion models are demonstrating state-of-the-art results in various fields of generative AI. The paper includes comprehensive background information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Caspar Meijer , Lydia Y. Chen

Forecasting the behaviour of complex dynamical systems such as interconnected sensor networks characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) is of paramount importance for making informed decisions and planning for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Shivam Gupta , Krishna Sai Sudhir Aripirala , Venkataramana Runkana

Accurately predicting the dynamics of robotic systems is crucial for model-based control and reinforcement learning. The most common way to estimate dynamics is by fitting a one-step ahead prediction model and using it to recursively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-02 Nathan O. Lambert , Albert Wilcox , Howard Zhang , Kristofer S. J. Pister , Roberto Calandra

Traditional time series analysis has long relied on pattern recognition, trained on static and well-established benchmarks. However, in real-world settings -- where policies shift, human behavior adapts, and unexpected events unfold --…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Xinlei Wang , Mingtian Tan , Jing Qiu , Junhua Zhao , Jinjin Gu

Modern time series data often display complex nonlinear dependencies along with irregular regime-switching behaviors. These features present technical challenges in modeling, inference, and in offering insightful understanding into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Xiuqin Xu , Hanqiu Peng , Ying Chen

Learning complex trajectories from demonstrations in robotic tasks has been effectively addressed through the utilization of Dynamical Systems (DS). State-of-the-art DS learning methods ensure stability of the generated trajectories;…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Andreas Sochopoulos , Michael Gienger , Sethu Vijayakumar

There has been much recent progress in forecasting the next observation of a linear dynamical system (LDS), which is known as the improper learning, as well as in the estimation of its system matrices, which is known as the proper learning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Quan Zhou , Jakub Marecek

Accurate energy time-series forecasting is crucial for ensuring grid stability and promoting the integration of renewable energy, yet it faces significant challenges from complex temporal dependencies and the heterogeneity of multi-source…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Mingnan Zhu , Qixuan Zhang , Yixuan Cheng , Fangzhou Gu , Shiming Lin

Dynamical System (DS)-based closed-loop control is a simple and effective way to generate reactive motion policies that well generalize to the robotic workspace, while retaining stability guarantees. Lately the formalism has been expanded…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Bernardo Fichera , Aude Billard

Energy time-series analysis describes the process of analyzing past energy observations and possibly external factors so as to predict the future. Different tasks are involved in the general field of energy time-series analysis and…

The problem of reconstructing nonlinear and complex dynamical systems from measured data or time series is central to many scientific disciplines including physical, biological, computer, and social sciences, as well as engineering and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-05-01 Wenxu Wang , Ying-Cheng Lai , Celso Grebogi

Time series modeling and forecasting has fundamental importance to various practical domains. Thus a lot of active research works is going on in this subject during several years. Many important models have been proposed in literature for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

In the current competitive environment, it is crucial for manufacturers to make the best decisions in the shortest time, in order to optimize the efficiency and effectiveness of the manufacturing systems. These decisions reach from the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Fadwa Oukhay , Pascale Zaraté , Taieb Romdhane

The emergence of deep learning has yielded noteworthy advancements in time series forecasting (TSF). Transformer architectures, in particular, have witnessed broad utilization and adoption in TSF tasks. Transformers have proven to be the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Liyilei Su , Xumin Zuo , Rui Li , Xin Wang , Heng Zhao , Bingding Huang

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang