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Understanding the joint impact of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 development is important for making public health decisions that control the pandemic. Recently, we created a method in forecasting the daily…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-19 Xiunan Wang , Hao Wang , Pouria Ramazi , Kyeongah Nah , Mark Lewis

The COVID-19 pandemic prompted a surge in computational models to simulate disease dynamics and guide interventions. Agent-based models (ABMs) are well-suited to capture population and environmental heterogeneity, but their rapid deployment…

The spreading dynamics of infectious diseases is influenced by individual behaviours, which are in turn affected by the level of awareness about the epidemic. Modelling the co-evolution of disease transmission and behavioural changes within…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-27 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) continue to present a complex and costly challenge to public health programs. The preferences and social dynamics of a population can have a large impact on the course of an outbreak as well as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Michael A. L. Hayashi , Marisa C. Eisenberg

The recent pandemic emphasized the need to consider the role of human behavior in shaping epidemic dynamics. In particular, it is necessary to extend beyond the classical epidemiological structures to fully capture the interplay between the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Leah LeJeune , Navid Ghaffarzadegan , Lauren Childs , Omar Saucedo

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the behavioral response to reported case numbers changed drastically over time. While a few dozen cases were enough to trigger government-induced and voluntary contact reduction in early 2020, less than a year…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-27 Bastian Heinlein , Manlio De Domenico

Epidemic models are invaluable tools to understand and implement strategies to control the spread of infectious diseases, as well as to inform public health policies and resource allocation. However, current modeling approaches have…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Caitlin Ward , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Motivated by epidemics such as COVID-19, we study the spread of a contagious disease when behavior responds to the disease's prevalence. We extend the SIR epidemiological model to include endogenous meeting rates. Individuals benefit from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-25 Krishna Dasaratha

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has led to an increasing interest in the modeling and analysis of infectious diseases. The pandemic has made a significant impact on the way we behave and interact in our daily life. The past year has witnessed…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Shutian Liu , Yuhan Zhao , Quanyan Zhu

Infectious diseases are a significant threat to human society which was over sighted before the incidence of COVID-19, although according to the report of the World Health Organisation (WHO) about 4.2 million people die annually due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-05 Md Shahzamal , Saeed Khan

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the critical role of human behavior in influencing infectious disease transmission and the need for models capturing this complex dynamic. We present an agent-based model integrating an epidemiological…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Konstantinos Mitsopoulos , Lawrence Baker , Christian Lebiere , Peter Pirolli , Mark Orr , Raffaele Vardavas

The COVID-19 pandemic has changed human life. To mitigate the pandemic's impacts, different regions implemented various policies to contain COVID-19 and residents showed diverse responses. These human responses in turn shaped the uneven…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-17 Binbin Lin , Lei Zou , Mingzheng Yang , Bing Zhou , Debayan Mandal , Joynal Abedin , Heng Cai , Ning Ning

The global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the livelihoods of people worldwide prompted the implementation of a range of preventive measures at local, national, and international levels. Early in the outbreak, before the vaccine became…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-03 Pranav Verma , Viney Kumar , Samit Bhattacharyya

Social contact patterns are key drivers of infectious disease transmission. During the COVID-19 pandemic, differences between pre-COVID and COVID-era contact rates were widely attributed to non-pharmaceutical interventions such as…

The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 has led to a surge in the interest in the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. Disease transmission may be modeled as compartmental models, in which the population under study is divided into…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-27 Malú Grave , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho

The outbreak of COVID-19, beginning in 2019 and continuing through the time of writing, has led to renewed interest in the mathematical modeling of infectious disease. Recent works have focused on partial differential equation (PDE) models,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-26 Malú Grave , Alex Viguerie , Gabriel F. Barros , Alessandro Reali , Roberto F. S. Andrade , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho

Current models of COVID-19 transmission predict infection from reported or assumed interactions. Here we leverage high-resolution observations of interaction to simulate infectious processes. Ultra-Wide Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-01-24 Yi Zhang , Yudong Tao , Mei-Ling Shyu , Lynn K. Perry , Prem R. Warde , Daniel S. Messinger , Chaoming Song

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

The last decade saw the advent of increasingly realistic epidemic models that leverage on the availability of highly detailed census and human mobility data. Data-driven models aim at a granularity down to the level of households or single…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-08-10 Nicola Perra , Duygu Balcan , Bruno Gonçalves , Alessandro Vespignani

Interaction-driven modeling of diseases over real-world contact data has been shown to promote the understanding of the spread of diseases in communities. This temporal modeling follows the path-preserving order and timing of the contacts,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-13 Yanir Marmor , Alex Abbey , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn
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